Alright folks, 2023 and 2024 were amazing years for guys getting title shots coming off losses, long layoffs or wins over random bums, so time to start a new thread to keep track of this nonsense for 2025.
(Note that WMMA is not included because who knows what is and isn't earned in that context)
Islam vs Moicano: Unearned
Merab vs Umar: Earned (Umar may not have really earned his title eliminator bout in the first place, but once he won that, you can't argue against his title shot).
DDP vs Strickland: Unearned - cue incel tears. Zero defence champion. A one-fight split decision win streak over a non-serious contender coming off a loss and 1-3 in his last 4 fights.
Poatan vs Ank - Earned
Volk vs Lopes - Laughably unearned. Volk riding a double KO losing streak, 3 in 4 fights AND a year-long layoff. Even Lopes is getting the shot over an undefeated guy who beat him.
Belal vs JDM - Tough one. I'm not sure beating an elderly Burns in the middle of a 3-fight skid really 'earns' you a shot. But JDM is also on an undefeated 7-fight streak. Also a replacement. I'll be generous and go 'earned'.
Merab vs O'Malley: Unearned. Title shot rematch off a dominant loss.
Topuria vs Charles: Unearned. 1-0 in the division over a nobody 3 years ago
Pantoja vs KKF: Unearned. 1-2 in last 3. Win was over guy ranked 10 now riding a 3-fight losing streak.
DDP vs Khamzat: Earned.
JDM vs Islam: Unearned. Never fought at 170.