UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley

I like Grant at dog odds, Taveras will give him the type of fight he likes and unless Davey's chin is gone, I think he can land something big to take control. Feel like most of the favorites should cover, particularly the girls and Woodson.
 
Thesnake101 said:
I like Grant at dog odds, Taveras will give him the type of fight he likes and unless Davey's chin is gone, I think he can land something big to take control. Feel like most of the favorites should cover, particularly the girls and Woodson.
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Woodson could lose, Padilla has similar traits to Erosa, and Saldana who should have won. I noticed that Woodson does worst when he fights guys that are closer to his size.
 
Maverick by sub.
Jamey Lyn Horth gets into awkward positions on the ground, Miranda can solve it with her skills.

Knutsson by dec.
On output.
 
I'm heavy on Buckley for this one. I got him back a week or two ago when he was -175 and I feel like I was lucky to get him at those odds.
 
Guld said:
I'm heavy on Buckley for this one. I got him back a week or two ago when he was -175 and I feel like I was lucky to get him at those odds.
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Agree. One guy ascending and the other on the decline.
 
Stat_Collector said:
Woodson could lose, Padilla has similar traits to Erosa, and Saldana who should have won. I noticed that Woodson does worst when he fights guys that are closer to his size.
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He could, but both of those fights happened many years ago by this point. Padilla also showed against Nelson that he can't deal with fighters who have a solid grasp of their fundamentals, which Sean has imo.

He could have some scares early, but after the first round he should roll I think.
 
Thesnake101 said:
He could, but both of those fights happened many years ago by this point. Padilla also showed against Nelson that he can't deal with fighters who have a solid grasp of their fundamentals, which Sean has imo.

He could have some scares early, but after the first round he should roll I think.
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i haven’t rewatched the nelson fight but i remember he got his legs kicked a lot.

Both Woodson and Padilla have a boxing heavy style with vulnerabilities to guys that can kick well. Woodson also got choked by a Darce , a sub Padilla has. Padilla has a power advantage, it’s why he could ko erosa and Woodson couldn’t.

I see this possibly Woodson ud or sd or Padilla with a r3 stoppage, or winning a dec by a narrow hair, his fight with Nelson wasn’t that wide in the ss stats.

I dont think Sean is worth the juice, maybe a dec prop, buy you have a 45% chance of failure for about 120+ odds. I usually pass on these close striker vs striker matchups.
 
So far I have a single bet on Bruno Silva +250 and Josefin Knutsson to close some parlays.
 
guesswhoseback said:
Yea prime example luque vs gambino one guy ascending the other on the decline
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Fair, but would you say Gorimbo has proven himself vs top competition like Buckley has? (Including actually beating the dogshit out of Luque recently, coincidentally).
 
mkess101 said:
Fair, but would you say Gorimbo has proven himself vs top competition like Buckley has? (Including actually beating the dogshit out of Luque recently, coincidentally).
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So luque was top competition vs Buckley but not vs gormbino lol what? Also he was well on his way to losing a dec vs Thompson before he found that ko

With all that said I also like Buckley I think he takes it by dec
 
guesswhoseback said:
So luque was top competition vs Buckley but not vs gormbino lol what? Also he was well on his way to losing a dec vs Thompson before he found that ko

With all that said I also like Buckley I think he takes it by dec
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He just meant that Buckley is much better and more proven than Gorimbo. Thats why Buckley won and Gorimbo lost.

I like Buckley a lot but I can see some worrysome things about this fight. Buckley has shown great cardio but if Colby gets the wrestling going I think he may be able to bank three rounds.

But I see that as outside chance because I actually do see Buckley winning as well. But might be close.
 
sonhow said:
He just meant that Buckley is much better and more proven than Gorimbo. Thats why Buckley won and Gorimbo lost.

I like Buckley a lot but I can see some worrysome things about this fight. Buckley has shown great cardio but if Colby gets the wrestling going I think he may be able to bank three rounds.

But I see that as outside chance because I actually do see Buckley winning as well. But might be close.
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The Colby that rose up the ranks would've been a tough matchup for Joaquin, but he doesn't seem to have that fire anymore. The aggression is gone, the volume is gone and even his non-stop wrestling pace is gone as well, without those attributes Colby becomes a very middling fighter.

Anybody looking at Yanez as a dog? Both guys struggled heavily against Grant, but Daniel had the much worse performance imo. Yanez of course had that absolutely terrible showing against Martinez as well, but I don't know if Marcos has that type of kicking game, think he'd give up more openings to Adrian than Jonathan did.
 
Thesnake101 said:
The Colby that rose up the ranks would've been a tough matchup for Joaquin, but he doesn't seem to have that fire anymore. The aggression is gone, the volume is gone and even his non-stop wrestling pace is gone as well, without those attributes Colby becomes a very middling fighter.

Anybody looking at Yanez as a dog? Both guys struggled heavily against Grant, but Daniel had the much worse performance imo. Yanez of course had that absolutely terrible showing against Martinez as well, but I don't know if Marcos has that type of kicking game, think he'd give up more openings to Adrian than Jonathan did.
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I dunno I agree that Colby looked bad but maybe the pressure got to him and he looks normal again. Hes still to lose non-title aside from Alves. But Im not playing him just once again reserving myself from going ham on Buckley.

Agree on Yanez.
 
guesswhoseback said:
So luque was top competition vs Buckley but not vs gormbino lol what? Also he was well on his way to losing a dec vs Thompson before he found that ko

With all that said I also like Buckley I think he takes it by dec
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Well wherever Luque is in his career arc, you can still use him as a measuring stick to a degree in comparing Gorimbo and Buckley now right? They both fought him recently.
Yeah Buckley needed a late KO over WB but he found a way...and that's still a higher level of competition (even now) than what Gorimbo has even faced.

Your point about trajectory is still valid, it doesn't mean everything. I'm just saying it's not apples to apples comparing Buckley and Gorimbo.
 
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