I dont think you can discredit Tom, especially at this point in Jon’s career and considering it’s up a division. The talking point that Tom is a nobody is ridiculous - he cleared out the HW division in a matter of a few minutes.
Jon is almost 40, up a weight class and facing a natural HW with every possible physical advantage other than arm length. It’s one of the most intriguing fights (to me) of all time. Can the smartest fighter ever go up a weight class and actually have real success or is he just the guy who cherry-picked two easy HW fights and dipped. I’m not counting Jon out at all BTW but Jon fans dismissing Tom is ridiculous.