% Chance of Dustin hitting a gilly on Islam

[Almighty42]

What are the statistical chances of Dustin hitting a successful guillotine on Islam?
Guillotines are not some unusual submissions in MMA, and despite many things going in favor of Islam we CANNOT underestimate the potential for a guillotine submission to end the fight.
As they say even a broken clock is right twice a day

 

[Davidjacksonjones]

About 3.5 percent imo

 

[omawho402]

Chances of guillotine are zero.

 

[Willie]

Jumping a gilly ? 99.9% chances.
A successfful gilly ? 0.01%

 

[RemyR]

It's a sure thing. Bet the house.

Follow me for more financial advice.

 

[haj02]

It's the fans fault that he thinks they'll work, they told him he nearly finished Khabib with one and he believed it despite anyone who's more than a white belt in BJJ could see that would never get finished.

 

[Marko Polo]

It's the fans fault that he thinks they'll work, they told him he nearly finished Khabib with one and he believed it despite anyone who's more than a white belt in BJJ could see that would never get finished.

You believe that?

 

[biscuitsbrah]

Islam barely shoots onto the legs really. Uses more clinch trips and throws. Gonna be hard to even get his head in that position unless Dustin hurts him first

 

[HuskySamoan]

Islam barely shoots onto the legs really. Uses more clinch trips and throws. Gonna be hard to even get his head in that position unless Dustin hurts him first

Islam uses single legs a ton. The double leg he uses far less often but we saw him make midfight adjustments and time a couple slick double legs on Volk that caught the Aussie completely off guard. Regardless, I don't think he's at all concerned with Poiriers Guillotine, probably a lot more concerned with being able to avoid exchanging in boxing range at literally all cost.

 

[witt1021]

considering he has never won a fight with that submission id say he has less than 1% chance. could happen. but wont.

 

[Flower2dPeople]

 

[GrantB13]

The trend is showing zero.

 

[LoneLynx]

100%

 

[TheMadHatter]

.5% of finishing the fight with the guillotine. I think his best odds of winning are by KO

 

[usernamee]

Honestly with all the talk about how he keeps failing gillys Islam could underestimate it completely and just leave his neck out there for way too long and get caught.

Reminds me of Shogun vs Chael. I just don't think Shogun respected Chael's BJJ what so ever so he just left his neck out there in the open to be snatched and Chael grabbed it.

 

[HHJ]

It's possible. But it's not like The Mack ain't gonna be prepared for that. If he didn't get BSD it's not likely. Not impossible but not likely

 

[TheMMAnalyst]

About 3.5 percent imo

Also known as about tree fiddy?

 

[JakePaulMMA]

Jumping a gilly ? 99.9% chances.
A successfful gilly ? 0.01%

100% reason to remember the name.

 

[StonedLemur]

It's a sure thing. Bet the house.

Follow me for more financial advice.

Will the price of sand go up or down sir? Lol

 

[Cowboy Kurt Angle]

I think he’ll definitely go for it but it’s not gonna work