The thing that’s been on my mind is do voters even consider balance of powers when considering certain races. 2018 and 2020 make me feel like there might be something to that but it’s really hard to give any hard evidence to it. Like 2018 was originally going to be a bigger sweep for Dems in the Senate but then it narrowed either during the Kavanaugh hearings or impeachment talk. Now in 2020, you had very up hill battle for the GOP to retain seats and keep the senate with polls looking grim but they appeared to only lose two seats and it’s hard to not think that’s tied to the filibuster and court packing talks. Again, the races just may have narrowed as that got closer or the polling was just off but I really think the way Dems have run on Senate specific issues has been very very poor the past four years. I just don’t know if that matter to a voter or if it is just mostly localized and myself and others form a narrative for it.