oK.
I liked your response and thoroughly enjoyed reading it. Thank you very much for that.
I like these discussions because you put good points in a rational manner and they are well thought out points... even if I must disagree. But bear with me
Let me start with your description of boxing title explanations.
They are fine within themselves, but you see.... you missed a very big point here.
It's true they were not fighting for a belt. They were actually fighting for the biggest prize in MMA: To become the absolute GOAT. (well, at least UFC GOAT - just so I don't offend Fedor fans and alienate the discussion)
And say what you want about the importance of a division belt, they can be compared to being eastern/western conference champions. GSP & SIlva would be the super bowl.
So to that, all your explanaiton falls flat, and all other fighters in GSP/Silva divisions (and those above and below) are not competing for that spot, so they are irrelevant in this discussion.
And in that sense, GSP did duck Silva (I hate this term, as it seems he was afraid of Silva which I find a ridiculous notion for a fighter who faced top contenders all the time...but I'll be back at the reasonings later).
But I disagree with this being about money.
IMHO Dana/Fertitas/The UFC were very willing to pay very good money for that fight. Out of complete and utter ignorance, I venture to say money was never the issue.
And I also venture to say that GSP does NOT care about money. Well, not that he does not care, but he already had plenty of it, and is not desperate for it (at any cost).
IMHO what is far more important (to GSP) is his legacy. That is why he did not risk it against Silva, and why he ended up coming back and fighting Bisping for a second belt.
IMHO he saw other fighters (Conor, DC, Cejudo) getting belts in multiple divisions and probably thought this would cloud his accomplishments and status as one of the best in the sport.
So he saw an opportunity in Bisping to get another belt (and then again in Khabib, to one-up everyone and cement his legacy).
And that is also why he run from Whittaker IMO. Because he already had the MW belt (Whittaker's were the Interim). So defending/unifying it was meaningless in the great scheme of things (no one will remember the circumstances).
That is also what I think always defined his career. His unwillingness to take risks, finish fights, opting always for easy (dominating) decisions. That's because he does not want to take ANY risks. Ever.
Last but not least, I am still not locked that Silva was ever speaking seriously about Conor fight.
Silva is a joker. he LOVES to prank journalists. Heck, he did it multiple times.
Before Weidman first fight, a journalist asked what was his best scenario, and he said: "with Weidman's hands raised as the new champion"... do you think he was hinting he would lose on purpose (even though it happened) ??? Or was he simply clowning the reporter? I vote the latter.
You raise good points, including one I'd never really considered before. I still disagree, but there's a lot more to your side of the argument than I'd originally have thought -- and its always great when a discussion goes that way. You're forcing me to think through my opinions, and refine them. This is a long post again (joys of Covid-19 limitations I guess), so I hope you have time (or interest) in reading it.
Your point about fighting for the GOAT status (and I'm glad you limited it to the UFC, given that I'm one of those that include Fedor in that category, along with Anderson, Jones and GSP) is an excellent one. If that fight would really establish that, then it'd be far more important than a title fight -- at least legacy wise, given that it's an unofficial and very subjective title so unlike other titles it'd always be very disputed, as you point out yourself). Your analogy to conference titles vs the Superbowl is right on the money.
The problem is, while GSP beating Anderson at 185 would definitely have given GSP a huge claim to GOAT status, I don't think Anderson beating GSP at 185 would have done anything for Anderson's claim to GOAT status. As the bigger guy, he'd have been expected to win. Anderson could have lost GOAT status by losing, but gained nothing by winning. An example of this is GSP beating Penn, who at the time was the LW GOAT. Only GSP's most rabid fans would say him beating Penn does anything for his GOAT status -- GSP was bigger than Penn, so he was expected to win. For Anderson to go up in GOAT status he'd have had to beat an established LHW champ (beating Jones would have locked that in, but even beating Liddell, Machida or Shogun would have sufficed).
And of course, the situation would be reversed if they fought at 170. GSP would be expected to win, because Anderson would have had to fight partially drained. Beating Anderson at 170 would do nothing for GSP's GOAT legacy, but Anderson beating GSP at 170 would have been a huge boost to his GOAT status.
Basically, I don't think its possible to have a single fight between two guys from different weight divisions that would be for the GOAT title, because the bigger guy is always expected to win because of size alone. There's no way to have a Superbowl like competition between two equal conferences.
Of course a catchweight would have given both of them some increase in GOAT status, more for GSP than Anderson, but that was only mentioned a couple of times by Anderson -- fewer times than he'd talked about fighting Connor. I actually agree that Anderson likes to troll, and I suspect you're right that he was trolling about fighting Connor. But for the same reason I suspect he was trolling when he offered (once) to fight GSP at 170, and when he offered (twice) to fight GSP at catchweight. The problem with catchweight for Anderson, GSP, and the UFC is that they all make big money of PPV shares, and non-title fights lose casuals. MMA is a very niche sport (PPV's of around a million from a continent of 100+ million households is tiny), and most potential fans are casuals. Winning a catch-weight would have been good for either of their legacies, but very bad for their pocket books compared to winning a title fight.
So if it was about GOAT status, at 185 (the weight you think was the correct one for the fight), then the only one gaining would be GSP. And his status would go up for a win against any UFC MW, LHW or HW (just as Anderson's rightly went up for beating three non-champion LHW's). I should add at this point that I see GSP beating Bisping for the belt as only equivalent to Anderson beating Forest -- it raised his GOAT status a bit, but not significantly.
I also think you're wrong in saying it wasn't primarily about money. Dana is typically quick to say (or even exaggerate) how much he was offering to make a fight that fell through. If he'd done the normal business practice of offering GSP say a guaranteed $5 million above his normal contracted PPV shares etc for going up to 185, then he certainly would have being publicly saying that in order to shame GSP into taking the fight at 185. But Dana didn't even hint at paying extra for going up in weight. And I think the reason is simply that Dana wouldn't want to set that precedent (ie admit that Commerce 101 applies to the UFC), that guys fighting at a weight disadvantage should get the normal business incentive to do so.
In terms of whether GSP is primarily concerned with legacy or money, I also disagree. For a start, GSP would be aware of how many athletes who made far more than he has (Google for a depressingly long list of athletes who made over $100 million who are now broke) were unable to make money after retiring, and who ended up broke. Beyond that, if building up legacy were GSP's prime motivation, he would have done like Anderson did and fight some non-champion MW's (almost everyone but rabid Fedor, Jones and GSP fans rightly give Anderson a lot of credit for those non-title LHW fights). It'd even be the natural build up for a GSP-Anderson fight at 185 ... it'd get GSP used to fighting at MW, and be a natural way to further promote the fight to casuals). The only reason for wanting GSP to fight Anderson at 185 without warm-up fights would be fear of GSP losing one of those warm-up fights -- and that would be about losing money on GSP-Anderson PPV's rather than about status, since if GSP lost a MW warm-up fight then status would already be settled.
GSP's coming back against Bisping but then not defending is I think another example of his worrying about money more than legacy. Not defending was the first case where GSP clearly ducked (at least in what a lot of people say is the meaningful sense of not giving a challenger a title fight). That did more to hurt his legacy than beating Bisping gained for him. And not only his legacy as a fighter, it did a lot of damage to his legacy as a person of honor -- basically it looks like he sold his honor and legacy for a few (well more than a few) dollars. The reason he didn't want to fight Whittaker was that beating him would have done a lot for GSP's legacy, but relatively little for his pocket book -- Whittaker simply isn't a huge draw.
I'm kind of surprised that you say GSP never took risks -- and given the intelligence of your posts, I wonder if you're using risk is a very limited sense? Anybody who gets into the cage (or in fact actually competes in any sport) is taking risks (which is why so many people never compete in anything in their lives). When first starting training MMA GSP would have been, like every other beginner, beaten by all the regulars. Every practice would involve risk (well, probably guarantee) of being beaten, and of being injured. Someone who always played it safe would never have trained MMA, would absolutely never have stepped into the cage for that first fight, would never have gone against Penn or Hughes the first time. Its inherently a very risky business, and it'd have been much safer for him to simply not take part in it.
So I'd say he definitely regularly took risks, like every guy in the UFC (or any high level athlete in every contact sport took risks). However, for him the risk/reward was about money (understandably given that he came from lower middle class, and had no marketable skills) rather than legacy (poor people tend to know you can't eat legacy -- as a lot of ex-stars who end up selling their Superbowl rings because they're broke will attest). His fighting career -- going for decisions (enough to earn victory money), only doing title fights instead of legacy building but less lucrative fights against non-tile MW's (similar to Anderson's) shows concern about money over legacy. Even the fights he's been fishing for since the Bisping fight are about the biggest money fights out there. He wants to fight Khabib at 170. That would add nothing to his legacy (Khabib is a LW, it'd be like beating Penn again) but a lot to his pocket book.
Anyway, thanks for a great discussion. You raise excellent points I hadn't though of, and there's a lot to what you say, even if I ultimately disagree -- its a question of where the balance between legacy and money is for GSP, and though I think its more to money, you make a good case for legacy also being important.