I just can't get behind this "there's no way to know" argument. When we're talking about hypothetical fights, no one is speaking in absolutes. There isn't a way to know most things for sure. But we can use evidence to determine what would most likely happen. Aspinall just doesn't have enough evidence to say he could beat those guys. Those other guys have evidence to say they could beat Aspinall-- and they have a lot of it.
Like I said, we dont know his actual ceiling because we havent seen him tested or fight a really big name, because outside of Jon and Ngannou, there arent any right now. But he passes the eye test big time against the guys he faced, who imo, in the case of his top 3 wins, are guys that, while not ATG HWs, would likely be top 10 level in any era.
Just seems weird to outright dismiss a guy with his attributes.
They would, if we're talking them in their prime.
You seriously see Big Tim the sloth going 3-0 against Pav, Blayes and Volkov? I would not be shocked at all if Pav blasted him out in the first round like Fedor and Mercer did. Mir was inconsistent, he has some very good wins but some pretty shitty losses too. And UFC Nog was a shadow of himself.
I dont think Carwin or Brock would go 3-0 against Pav, Blaydes and Volkov either. Carwins gas tank was terrible and if Brock couldnt wrestlefuck someone he was screwed.
For Volkov in particular, he's actually been around for a while. There's some overlap in the timeline of him and the careers of those fighters you mentioned. Volkov just wasn't good enough to make it at the time. He was a Bellator tier fighter for the longest. Right now in my opinion, he's masquerading as UFC level.
Volkov started very young, he probably didnt hit full physical and mental maturity until a fair bit into his career. I dont see how hes "masquerading as UFC level" when, if he hadnt gotten robbed against Gane just now, he'd be on a 5 fight win streak and 13-4 at UFC level.
I think we have the right to say that until he proves himself.
What exactly would he have to do to "prove himself" though? hes been trying for years to fight Jon, and even if he did beat Jon he'd be beating a nearly 40 year old decade past prime bloated inactive career LHW with zero power who might not actually even be a top 3 current HW in reality.
I do think you're seriously underrating his wins over Pav, Blaydes and Volkov though, when you say they'd go a collective 0-9 against Tim, Mir and UFC Nog, and that Volkov isnt even UFC level.