Hear me out
Ankalaev had a title shot and didn't get the belt. Since then, he has a NC and a KO win over Walker, whose stock is at an all-time low. That's it. I'm not saying Rountree's resume is amazing, but what differentiates the two is that Rountree signed on to fight Hill, which clearly would've made him worthy of a shot if he had won. Hill was the one who dropped out though. That's not Khalil's fault. It's like Edwards signing up to fight Khamzat and lucking out with Nate instead when Khamzat couldn't go. It's not ideal, but the idea that Ankalaev is clearly the #1 contender is iffy. I think this is about people seeing Ankalaev as better (which he is) and a tougher fight for Alex (which it is), but based on recent work, it's not like he's separated himself in a meaningful way. Oezdemir just knocked out Walker too. There's just nobody else. Jiri's done against Alex. Hill got ran through. Rakic is coming off a loss.
We also don't know the context behind the matchmaking. Maybe the UFC wanted Ank to fight sooner than he's scheduled to and he declined.
With all that being said, Alex by knockout within 2. Unless he fights really stupid or Khalil pulls some crazy fluke move out of his ass, we're simply talking about different levels of standup.
Was it Hill who dropped out? I thought it was Khalil who got suspended.
Honestly, the
only acceptable answer is that Pereira wanted to fight quicker than Mag wanted to come in. However, this is only 3 weeks difference, so that's bordering on doubtful. I'm not sure why anyone would think that a draw for a title shot is equivalent to a loss that needs a turnaround of significant wins, instead of what a draw for the title actually should be: an immediate rematch. That seems to be the biggest problem here, is that Dana needed a title, so he was petty about the fight not going the way he liked, and now people are following that pettiness in lock-step by thinking he needs to separate himself
again, when he had already separated himself enough. Ironically, the Leon example works pretty well for Magomed here, in that he put himself in title range a while ago, and has been trying to stay busy in the meantime, even though he was already in title range, and getting criticism that his most recent opponent wasn't up to snuff for the title shot he already deserved.
There certainly have been worse shots though. Frankly, even though Khalil's suspension is probably the most open and shut, admitted, accidental, tainted supplement cases ever, it's still real bad optics for a guy to lose a title shot earning fight for getting suspended, and then just skip it and get the title shot anyway when the suspension's over.
Whats weird to me is Ank not freaking out about not getting the titleshot. He seemed perfectly fine with fighting Rakic instead.
Well, he freaked out a bit once he learned about Alex-Khalil. Probably seems like he may have been led to believe a title shot wasn't on the table, and then realized he was screwed once a title shot
was on the table for Khalil