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UFC ON ESPN 72 underdog pick of the night

doozer

Blue Belt
@Blue
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Virtually every card there is a fighter who beats the odds. Which fighter do you think is most likely to this card?

Main Card
Roman Dolidze +275 (dog) vs. Anthony Hernandez -345
Steve Erceg -575 vs. Ode Osbourne +425 (dog)
Iasmin Lucindo -192 vs. Angela Hill +160 (dog)
Andre Fili +200 (dog) vs. Christian Rodriguez -245
Miles Johns +205 (dog) vs. Jean Matsumoto -250
Eryk Anders + 390 (dog) vs. Christian Leroy Duncan -520

Prelims
Julius Walker -700 vs. Raffael Cerqueira +500
Elijah Smith -800 vs. Toshiomi Kazama +550 (dog)
Joselyne Edwards -395 vs. Priscila Cachoeira +310 (dog)
Uroš Medić -340 vs. Gilbert Urbina +270 (dog)
Gabriella Fernandes -440 vs. Julija Stoliarenko +340 (dog)
Cody Brudage -170 vs Eric Mcconico +142 (dog)

Magny pulls out another win like the champ he is bringing me to 14-12 over all. This next card is a tough one for me, I don’t really trust anyone to pull off the upset. But I’ve decided I’m once again going to lean on the old faithful. Angela hill for me!

Tough night for the dogs, only winners were Duncan (who no one picked) and Magny. Shoutout to last cards winners. @Hymen Crusher @Koala @theincognito @ChrisBenoit
 
I don't like any of the dogs here but for games sake I'll pick Angela Hill
 
Not really a fan of any of these.

I'm deciding between Johns and Cachoeira.

Joselyn is more skilled, and rightfully the favorite, but Priscilla likes to bang and she swings hard. I wouldn't be surprised to see her get an upset KO.

Miles Johns I think might be a tad underrated here going into this fight.

I'm not confident in either here, but I guess I'll go with Johns.
 
Stoliarinka or whatever I dont ever think any woman is that much better then the other with a few exceptions. Hill is easy money as well
 
I got two in a row
Now I would go with Touchy Fili as C-Rod beats the prospects, not the vets
 
I will always bet on my girl Angie Hill as an underdog. Seen her do it too many times.
I've got her and Toshiomi Kazama.
-800 just seems like bookie bait for an unproven 22 year old kid.
 
Stoliarenko R1 SUB (Armbar).

I always bet this when Stoli fights. I got it for like 27.00 once and it hit lol.
 
Tough night for dogs on paper, who knows how many actually pull it off on fight night.

I'm 3-3 in Doozer's underdog of the night threads, looking at improving to an impressive 4-3 record with a Ode Osbourne pick, letsgooo!
 
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I will always bet on my girl Angie Hill as an underdog. Seen her do it too many times.
I've got her and Toshiomi Kazama.
-800 just seems like bookie bait for an unproven 22 year old kid.
Ive been considering a wager on Kazama for the exact reason you just listed. I'm a little unfamiliar with them though.
 
Stoliarenko R1 SUB (Armbar).

I always bet this when Stoli fights. I got it for like 27.00 once and it hit lol.
Armbar is like her only shot. It's the one thing she can actually do lmao
 
Armbar is like her only shot. It's the one thing she can actually do lmao

Yep. Only in round 1 as well lol.

She has 11 wins. One was a decision. The rest were all first round armbars.

Another cool stat: before her first decision win, she rattled off 4 straight armbar finishes and the longest any of them took her was 40 seconds haha. The last two of the set were 19 and 20 seconds each. She literally got 4 armbars in a row for a combined total of less than half a round lol.

The girl is sorta terrible, but sort of incredible at the same time haha.
 
I'll say Andre Fili.

Rodriguez schools the young and inexperienced, but struggles with grizzled vets.
 
Ive been considering a wager on Kazama for the exact reason you just listed. I'm a little unfamiliar with them though.
Kazama is a crafty grappler who looked like a grappling wizard in his road to ufc tournament fight. If you want to see some cool sweeps, watch this fight. (There's a gif worthy one with 2 minutes left in round 2.)

After a bye automatically put him into the finals, he got crushed by KO in 30 seconds by tournament winner, Rinya Nakamura.

His return fight to the UFC was against underrated Garrett Armfield. It was an embarrassing showing for Kazama's boxing, as Armfield embarrassed him in a first round finish.

Kazama's most recent fight saw him as an underdog to Grigorou. After a strong first round by Kazama, Grigorou badly hurt him in the second round, and it seemed Kazama was done. Instead, Kazama summoned a triangle from the heavens, submitting Grigorou, and keeping his UFC life alive.

This is a winnable fight for Kazama. Smith is a good athlete but relies heavily on his wrestling, has a tendency to gas out, and Kazama will have an advantage on the ground. But, it's easy to imagine Smith winning this either through a dominant striking performance, or simply outwrestling Kazama for a decision.
 
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