Is it money down to the drain to bet Erik Silva ML? Dude is +450 at the moment.
I watched the last three fights of Silva and the last two of Naimov.
The performance against TJ was really bad and that's ofcourse why the line is what it is. He gassed fast and lost the grappling and looked sloppy on the feet. The two fights before that he didn't face particularly strong opposition, but the takedowns looked solid and he is powerful. I don't know, but I think it's pretty hard to gauge how good he is. Could have been an off night, could have been dealing with something in the TJ fight.
Naimov lost to Mullarky pretty handily until the flash KO. In the fight against Wood it was pretty competitive and he did look good at times, but he could really bully Wood with his size. However, he also got dropped in R1 and if the fight had been 30 seconds longer he probably gets finished in the 3rd.
For me it's a clear dog or pass at this current price... but I'm not sure I can get to the dog. Probably pass in the end.