UFC 318 underdog pick of the night

[Serge421]

Gotta go with Pitbull

 

[blunttruth]

I haven't been very successful in underdog picks lately but I am gonna bet my last bone that the Pitbull gets off his leash Saturday and goes rabid enough to get a finish.

 

[doozer]

Thanks for the tag @doozer. Fresh off my perfect pick last week, I think I'm going to pick Vetorri by decision. I was leaning Drod, he usually looks good in all striking match ups and he has a decent chance to crack Holland, however I'm going to lean Marvin here, with the history and what Marvin has recently been through, I think he comes in absolutely determined, we see the best Terminator Marvin yet and I think he's strong enough and ugly enough to win a grindy, brawl with Brandon, who I don't think will be strong enough to implement his grappling, and while his striking is decent, I think Marvins pressure and strength advantage will lead to more cage control and Marvin winning the dirty boxing battle.

Marvin via Dec is the play

Vettori was very close to being my pick of the night. I still believe he will win. I think he’s slipped a little but he’s still only losing to top guys. Granite chin and great take down defence.

 

[doozer]

P.s, picking DP as your underdog is playing it safe those odds are practically pick em

Definitely true. Though if picked and won you still make as much as you put down.
So often once I make my pick and then look it’s one of the ones with the narrowest lines and I feel like I almost cheated. Though I don’t pick them for that reason there is a reason those lines are that close. It feels much better when I’m picking a bigger underdog. Once again today I’m looking and my pick is tied for the second best odds. My pick last week Walker was a 2-1 dog, but still was tied for the 4th safest on the card.
At least I know it’s not as simple as picking the smallest dog each time. It would do well but wouldn’t keep me above the 50-50 line.

 

[doozer]

I haven't been very successful in underdog picks lately but I am gonna bet my last bone that the Pitbull gets off his leash Saturday and goes rabid enough to get a finish.

Good luck!

 

[mkess101]

I haven't been very successful in underdog picks lately but I am gonna bet my last bone that the Pitbull gets off his leash Saturday and goes rabid enough to get a finish.

Ige has been notoriously easy to finish over his career, your prediction is basically a lock.

 

[mkess101]

P.s, picking DP as your underdog is playing it safe those odds are practically pick em

Fair, and if it was "which dog has the best value relative to the line" I'd say D Rod. But since it's "all dogs are dogs"...Dustin baby!

 

[ChrisBenoit]

I'm picking all the favorites this time bit I'm not confident on a lot of them.

If I have to pick one, I'll go with Costa

 

[doozer]

Fair, and if it was "which dog has the best value relative to the line" I'd say D Rod. But since it's "all dogs are dogs"...Dustin baby!

You’re going with Dustin but feel ige is basically a lock. You must feel pretty confident with Dustin.

 

[doozer]

I'm picking all the favorites this time bit I'm not confident on a lot of them.

If I have to pick one, I'll go with Costa

Sometimes the most likely to beat the odds is still not expected to beat the odds.

 

[FEDORFAN44]

Porier
Costa
Vettori
Johnson
Phillips is up in the air

 

[mkess101]

You’re going with Dustin but feel ige is basically a lock. You must feel pretty confident with Dustin.

Wait...what? Now you're confusing me haha.

Ige is favored. I'm (good naturedly) mocking the guy picking Pitbull to finish because Ige has thus far been indestructible. Never been finished. But I couldn't pick Ige in this anyway because he's the favorite. I don't think Ige is "a lock"...I think you misread my post maybe?

 

[kingmob6]

I take Vettori, and a bet on DRod

 

[rollthedice]

Vettori was very close to being my pick of the night. I still believe he will win. I think he’s slipped a little but he’s still only losing to top guys. Granite chin and great take down defence.

Have you been keeping track of our records Sir Doozer? would be could since this has become a every week event. Imagine the stats a year or 2 from now

 

[doozer]

Wait...what? Now you're confusing me haha.

Ige is favored. I'm (good naturedly) mocking the guy picking Pitbull to finish because Ige has thus far been indestructible. Never been finished. But I couldn't pick Ige in this anyway because he's the favorite. I don't think Ige is "a lock"...I think you misread my post maybe?

Yeah. (I should have quoted your other post to to make it coherent). I did wonder though, when had ige ever been finished. That explains it.

 

[mkess101]

Yeah. (I should have quoted your other post to to make it coherent). I did wonder though, when had ige ever been finished. That explains it.

Right on. I don't think picking Pitbull is crazy (though I do think Ige wins) but picking Pitbull to finish a guy who's never been finished seems...very bold. Ige has shown a ridiculous chin and stellar sub defense.

 

[The Clark]

People saying Costa are crazy. He hasn't looked impressive in six years and just seems content to coast to a loss each time.

 

[Deltron 6060]

Vettori and the .

 

[doozer]

Have you been keeping track of our records Sir Doozer? would be could since this has become a every week event. Imagine the stats a year or 2 from now

I have not been keeping track of your guys stats, only my own. Part of me wonders if it would be a lot of work, but I could just copy and paste it and it would probably be pretty simple.
Ultimately though I thought it might not be nice to post people’s records since some people might have terrible records and I don’t want to parade their bad stats. I did wonder though if perhaps some people would start posting their own records. No one has but they certainly could.
If you or anyone else wanted me to tag their record onto the main message each week I could do that, though you might need to go back and let me know your record to date.

 

[doozer]

Right on. I don't think picking Pitbull is crazy (though I do think Ige wins) but picking Pitbull to finish a guy who's never been finished seems...very bold. Ige has shown a ridiculous chin and stellar sub defense.

lol very true. I saw your response but didn’t reread there’s. Finishing ige is very bold indeed, someone really believes in pitbull.