International Russia/Ukraine Megathread V15

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Looks that they wants to do cycle : war till autumn mud season, then rest and if winter will have suitable weather conditions, will do next offensive cycle till spring mud season..then rest and summer 2026 th ...till autumn mud season. Then maybe winter 2026/2027 th...

Why not, they wants to get more and more land...Putin is reported about dvizuha...everything for him is cool and OK.

Russia now does control approx 198.5 sq km² in Sumy oblastj, so dvizuha again had been confirmed.

Luhansk oblastj. Putin had orderd to liberate and deNazify Luhansk oblastj 1200 days ago.
Now russia does control approx 97% from Luhansk oblastj area.
 
So called reasons for war in Ukraine alone are smokescreen and even all these their demands...all is im order to fool westerners and russians.
They doesn't cares also about russians....it is fairy tale for sheeps: they doesn't protect russians in russia from immigrants hiring instead of hiring russians...for example construction, flats and apartments repairs etc.

Russia might bear on paper independent ukraine existence if it is ruled by someone like Lukashenko.... or ukraine should not exist.

Their image of vassal state is that vassal state will do economic and financial, trades deals decisions according Kremlin's advised guidelines... This is core. Nothing else.

Literally East Germany 1946-1988 type stuff: Kremlin reccomends what stuff to manufacture and where (!) to sell, what kind of weapons and how much produce, % of GDP for police, KGB etc reccomended, reccomendations for currency policy and how and where to invest foreign reserves....reccomendations where to purchase commodities etc.

East Germany followed orders till default deFacto...

Does RUSSIA always help their vassals? Sometimes...however in 2008 th they didn't had helped Lukashenko, he was forced to launch money printing machine and print bel roubles + devalue currency and...to ask bad western IMF for ....loan.

Yes, they gave Lukashenko credit to build nuclear power plant and purchase nuclear fuel from TVEL.
However when Lukashenko wanted to build hydroelectric power plant ...then no and Bel borrowed for this from ....China!
 
One from coincidences I get when Lukashenko had started to hate Lithuania....
They always loved to talk how Lithuania is poor and stupid. When Lukashenko had get that financially stupid is he no Lithuania, he get mad.

Methods how 2008/2009 financial crisis had been balanced in Lithuania:
1. They had sold bonds with high interest rate %.
Methods in Belarus were:
1. To sell bonds with high interest rate %
2. Launch money printing machine.
3. Devaluation of national currency.
4. To borrow money from IMF.
All these 4 methods ....
 
Quality of pro russia oriented bloggers is going more and more below bottom of hole.
Ofc one thing is to " destroy " on daily basis Patriot batteries 120+ days in row ....and they ofc had " destroyed " more than 12000 ukr tanks....sorry, ukr never had 12000 tanks.


Now looks that only money and attention is they care about....
For example post Tu 160 picture and FAB bomb ...text for clickbait.
Obiviously 0 interest about airplanes: Tu 160 isn't used for dropping stuff like bombs.
It is designed and used to launch different cruise missiles while being >100 miles from targets....
No one will afford to use them to drop bombs: flight hour cost is very high, maintenance expensive and complicated....

For bombs dropping russia usually uses Su 34 .... sometimes Su 25 to attempt do CAS type stuff.
They sometimes had used Su 35 too but it is rare cases : Su 34 is specially designed for such tasks....
 
Some pro ukr bloggers, experts and other kind of specialists are since 2019 th on routine basis posting that soon, soon they will have serial ballistic missiles production.
Reality? 0
 
Russia had captured next abadoned small village in Sumy oblastj, now does control approx 199.8 sq km² in Sumy oblastj. Some posters are so happy with this " dvizuha ".
 
SandisLL said:
Will see, it is very difficult to asses damage done. Maybe miniscule, maybe very impacful damage.

Ukr might attempt to hire informants and saboteurs ....
Click to expand...

I don't have any doubt that Ukraine has hired people inside of Russia. When all of those young men fled Russia to avoid being sent to the meat-grinder, there was a lot of disillusioned Russians looking for an opportunity.
 
Mobilozation of females might be very effective tool: females might be tasked to do essential jobs etc. Ukraine does have a lot of females and mobilization might be done with a glance.
 
aerius said:
When they've just passed a bill which allows men over the age of 60 to serve, it's pretty safe to say their casualties are far worse than reported.
english.nv.ua

Ukraine’s parliament backs bill for men over 60 to serve voluntarily

Ukraine’s legislature passed in its first reading on June 4 a bill allowing men aged 60 and older to voluntarily serve in the Defense Forces under a one-year contract, MP Oleksii Honcharenko reported on Telegram.
english.nv.ua english.nv.ua

Desertions are also going up substantially, it was 120k total at the end of 2024 and they're already up to 210k as of the end of May.


And half the army is no longer combat effective.


This is not sustainable, no one knows when Ukraine's army will finally break or simply run out of men, but it's a matter of when not if.
Click to expand...

Good post. I don't see any 'pushback,' so, you must have hit a nerve. You and I agree on the "when, not if" part.
 
GhostZ06 said:
they kinda suck, funny enough we captured one of in libya and i imagine the British took the one in the Ukraine.

Also it looks like US did in fact acquire and ship back he the 2 KA-52s
Click to expand...
Lybia had export version.

U.S now does have non export version of Pantsirj in mint condition because in 2022 th russia had abadoned one in Ukraine because fuel was left 0, kleptocrats didn't had delivered diesel fuel and crew abadoned Pantsirj.
Ukr had filled diesel in fuel tanks and Pantsirj had appeared 100 % usable and in mint condition, plus version banned for export.

There are piles of salt: russia in 2024 th started to produce new radars model for this Pantsirj.
 
aerius said:
This is not sustainable, no one knows when Ukraine's army will finally break or simply run out of men, but it's a matter of when not if.
Click to expand...
After this happens, how much of Ukraine do you think Russia is truly after? The current 5 oblats or an additional 4 oblast to form 'Novorossiya,' or New Russia? Odessa, Mykolaiv, Dnipropetrovsk, and Kharkiv. I don't think Putin has western Ukraine in mind. Folks have a hard time coming to the realization that the Ukrainian Army is in collapse. Ukraine must win because they were invaded. Where have we heard that before? Oh yeah, Vietnam. McNamara, Westmoreland, and Johnson. All 3 lying to the American public and saying the US had the war won. Well, the United States lost the Vietnam war after many years of fighting. We won most of the battles but lost the war. Zelensky is preaching from the same playbook. No mention of Ukrainian casualties or the size of the Ukrainian Army, but it is sure as shit winning this war and it will win this war as long as it takes. Russia unfortunately will come out on top.

Russia Is Winning the Ukraine War​

MSN

www.msn.com

Davis continued, explaining that: "Yet all these claims ignore the realities on the ground in Ukraine, where Russia is on a constant, methodical, if slow advance. On the global economic front, the 'crippled' Russian economy grew the last two years at over 4%, while Europe hovers between 0% and 1% growth. Russia has millions more men from whom to draw for soldiers to replenish their losses (and more than offsetting the losses, resulting in a growing force), while Ukraine is unable to offset losses and shrinks by the day."

Russia pushes forward on four fronts in Donetsk, Luhansk oblasts​

MSN

www.msn.com

US to cut military aid to Ukraine​

MSN

www.msn.com
 
If about spinmarina, he maybe should take skazkoterapia lectures from arestovich. This clown is propagandist dreaming that russians maybe will listen his skazkoterapia and " expert " opinions about economy and military, geopolitics and culture etc...
If you fight only with bums, you will become one from them. It is proven during century thing in boxing.

Abdirstovich is dreaming that russians doesn't have saved public videos from 2019 january - till late autumn 2023 th with " expert abdirstovich ".
He does have more than 944 hours with nice videos from this period.

It is real skazkoterapia and FUN for circus if to watch a bit from this 2019 january - 2023 th late autumn clownade and ....compare with modern brainwashing stuff he had started to tell when obiviviously huelensky office stopped to pay him...

He had then underestimated and disrespected russians and their potential MORE than zelonka ever did.
Now he is attempting to sell skazkoterapia for someone that HE might negotiate with Kremlin etc...and bright future.
Like stuff he told 2019 january - till late autumn 2023 th?
Does he is dreaming that Putin doesn't have videos and will not watch?
Russians will not watch?

Literally stuff I never had told even when heavily drunk condition. He did this for public video.

Yes, I might post stuff from sometimes cocky attitude like plebs, ants etc but this is business type cocky flowchart etc and if from sometimes rude guy from da tech streetZ youth days it isn't fun.
However I can't deny that I had a bit supported Putin because I had assumed that he will help to develop businesses etc.

I do have some reputation in real life and I for example do not have attempts to deny that I had supported Putin. Before small special operation 2022 th.
Why?
I had posted that I do support Putin in my real Linked In profile.... ofc before 2022 th.
Yes, I should live with this and get that I wasn't correct. Really here isn't place to deny this reality.
They had agreed to delete some posts btw.

I even had assumed that rising disstatifation with Zelensky due to inflation etc will prevent them to get majority in next elections. In 2019 - 2020 th I had such opinion.
Pitin looked for me as something thinking about businesses and future etc.
I was wrong.
 
If about rus trolling: they long ago had destroyed ukr military 10x and now had destroyed x more patriot batteries than ever had been manufactured.. also with claimed by trolls 250k plus deserteurs ukr now had frontline in Lvov. Today.
 
San Marino said:
After this happens, how much of Ukraine do you think Russia is truly after? The current 5 oblats or an additional 4 oblast to form 'Novorossiya,' or New Russia? Odessa, Mykolaiv, Dnipropetrovsk, and Kharkiv. I don't think Putin has western Ukraine in mind. Folks have a hard time coming to the realization that the Ukrainian Army is in collapse. Ukraine must win because they were invaded. Where have we heard that before? Oh yeah, Vietnam. McNamara, Westmoreland, and Johnson. All 3 lying to the American public and saying the US had the war won. Well, the United States lost the Vietnam war after many years of fighting. We won most of the battles but lost the war. Zelensky is preaching from the same playbook. No mention of Ukrainian casualties or the size of the Ukrainian Army, but it is sure as shit winning this war and it will win this war as long as it takes. Russia unfortunately will come out on top.

Russia Is Winning the Ukraine War​

MSN

www.msn.com

Davis continued, explaining that: "Yet all these claims ignore the realities on the ground in Ukraine, where Russia is on a constant, methodical, if slow advance. On the global economic front, the 'crippled' Russian economy grew the last two years at over 4%, while Europe hovers between 0% and 1% growth. Russia has millions more men from whom to draw for soldiers to replenish their losses (and more than offsetting the losses, resulting in a growing force), while Ukraine is unable to offset losses and shrinks by the day."

Russia pushes forward on four fronts in Donetsk, Luhansk oblasts​

MSN

www.msn.com

US to cut military aid to Ukraine​

MSN

www.msn.com
Click to expand...

Russia is winning so much that they couldn't do anything after Spiderweb 1&2 other than the same thing they were doing of just bombing a few civilian areas.

Be real, neither country is at risk of running out of men. Russian economy however is close to a collapse.

Russia has effectively run out of tanks.

You can spin Russian death spiral all you want but even if Comrade Krasnov stops all US support for Ukraine, it will continue the status quo. Ukraine doesn't have to 'win', it just must not lose.
 
Pump maybe will cripple down future U.S weapons sales for europe till bottom.

For example one from toys they are earning a lot of profits are Patriot batteries sales for huge profit.

However if public stuff that they might produce just 650 missiles per year for these, then looks that invest $ in Patriot batteries is just waste of taxpayers money.

If launcher does have 4 ( if PAC -2 ), or 16 ( if PAC 3 ) missiles and 1 normal battery should have 6, better 8 launchers, imagine simple math.
Only one hope here is that public info about missiles production capacity per year is...fake.
 
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