I've made a lot of $ on caceres.
...That said, hes in over his head here. Think urijah stops him, choke being most likely
Yea EZ, I love BLR, but this is a masive jump uo in comp for him here, before Urijah I thought a more proper step up for BLR would have been Erik Perez or even Mike Easton; but to jump from Roland Delorme to Sergio Pettis to "TCK" is just a huuuuuuuuuuuuuge leap in comop. I mean, this is essentially a title eliminator for BLR; if he were to beat Urijah he is 100% getting a title shot. But what's crazy is that BLR isn't even ranked in the top 10 and he's facing the #1 contender. I just think Faber wipes him off the map, and anything better than -500 is free money. Sadly, think we'll see Cody vs. Mendes numbers. :icon_sad:
i also hit that tito-shlemenko O1.5 line pretty hard.. but i did twice as much on shamwow-guerreiro O1.5. i can't believe it's still sitting around -145. i think it goes O1.5 at least 75% of the time
Yea, I fuckin' love this line.
I put Tito in a parlay but I've already accepted that the money I laid down is going into another persons bank account for good.
I hope Tito is lays on him for 15 minutes and weighs Schlemenko down with his enormous head.
I know he's made a lot of money but he's addicted to very high maintenance broads, if he's desperate for money he'll shamelessly lay, smother and avoid fighting just to get the win.
He's done it many times before, he was one of the worst of fighters to do that crap. Seems a lot of people forget how bad he would lay and pray because everyone focuses on his ridiculous persona.
Why would you put Tito in a parlay YI? I mean, his line is so high a parlay is not necessary.
However, I do think that you are on the right track when you talk about Tito laying on Alex to get the win -- this is my line of thinking as well. That is, thinking that the bigger Ortiz can get Alex to the mat at least once in the first two rounds and control him long enough to win both rounds thus placing the Russian in the position of having to finish Ortiz in the third and final frame.
Of course my thoughts are that Alex absolutely smokes Ortiz taking advantage of his speed and bewildering the flat footed Frankenstein -esque Ortiz to a dizzying UD as Tito just looks three steps slow out there. Indeed, Ortiz was slow 5 years ago and today he is absolutely like a sloth out there. I am only giving him a chance here based on the enormous size advantage Tito will have and b/c of the fact that Alex has never faced a LHW in his career.
The best bet IMO is o1.5 as I think Tito can withstand whatever Alex throws at him early possibly even getting the takedown early. If Alex finishes Tito I think it will be late r2 earl r3 as Tito has no gas left.
shit i completely forgot this was 3 rounds, definitely going to hedge a bit on tito now.
Thinking about it wasn't tito a similar price when he was scheduled to fight rampage?
Yep, it is only 3 rounds which gives Tito a far better chance to get the win.
BTW: Tito I think (IIRC) was actually favored early on vs. Rampage, or just a slight dog.