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Jones is the better (the best) fighter, but Tom would destroy him.

Rubios

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Jones is the best at range (and he has a reach edge against everyone) and close combat distance (elbows, knees).

He struggles the most at boxing distance. This is a no-brainer we can observe in many of his fights.

I'm pretty sure Jon could not keep Tom away with his kicks: Tom has trained/trains/would train with Rico Verhoeven, he'd be willing to eat a kick in order to get to punching distance.

And just throw. He had no problem to exchange with Pavlovich, he has a chin and Jones lacks the KO power.


I think Jones is the best to ever do it. Not the greatest, but the best.
But still, fighting vs someone able to eat whatever you throw at him to stay at the precise distance he wants (too far to be elbowed or knee'd, too close to shot a TD) and just throw punches at you... I can't see a path for victory here.
 
Tom doesn't seem confident in his own wrestling

He said DC would've been a nightmare matchup for him.

Tom can box, but how does he box while tired, after getting his face elbowed into the abyss for a round while also worrying about the threat of the takedown for the first time and simultaneously being taken into deeper waters, also for the first time in his career?

Seems Tom would want to get this done early, against one of the best defensive fighters in the sports history.

Tom is fast and Jon's reflexes aren't quite as good as they once were, even if his skills are very much in tact. But this is still an incredibly tough fight for Tom.
 
Tom doesn't seem confident in his own wrestling

He said DC would've been a nightmare matchup for him.

Tom can box, but how does he box while tired, after getting his face elbowed into the abyss for a round while also worrying about the threat of the takedown for the first time and simultaneously being taken into deeper waters, also for the first time in his career?

Seems Tom would want to get this done early, against one of the best defensive fighters in the sports history.

Tom is fast and Jon's reflexes aren't quite as good as they once were, even if his skills are very much in tact. But this is still an incredibly tough fight for Tom.
I agree it might be harder than we are predicting, still probably ends with a ko/tko for Aspinall though
 
Don’t forget Jon is past his prime and probably not on the special supplements he was on when he was younger. Tom has every possible physical advantage.

Jon nuthuggers are acting like it’s an easy win for him but if he thought the same, he’d sign the contract.
 
It does seem like Jones’ strikes are more powerful at HW but yeah Tom’s a beast
 
We never saw Tom in round 3 of a fight. Ever. If we had some footage, this might be easier to assess. Too many unknowns.
 
Tom doesn't seem confident in his own wrestling

He said DC would've been a nightmare matchup for him.

Tom can box, but how does he box while tired, after getting his face elbowed into the abyss for a round while also worrying about the threat of the takedown for the first time and simultaneously being taken into deeper waters, also for the first time in his career?

Seems Tom would want to get this done early, against one of the best defensive fighters in the sports history.

Tom is fast and Jon's reflexes aren't quite as good as they once were, even if his skills are very much in tact. But this is still an incredibly tough fight for Tom.

You keep thinking Jones is fighting the likes of Shogun. When's the last time Jones elbowed anyone's face into the abyss?

Can Jones win, sure....but after his showing against Stipe where he looked slow and Stipe tagged him a few times whilst being completely shot, Tom would be a healthy favourite in this fight.
 
I don't get how everyone can be so confident with Aspinall when Jones is more proven in every other area. Even at HW Jones continued to show a wide range of attacks and looks even better on the ground than he did at LHW. I think either Aspinall can get a quick KO, or it's going to be a long night for him. Aspinall has defended 2 takedowns his whole UFC career against Spivac in a 1 round fight.
 
JBJ either has to prove it int he cage or strip him of the title. If he'd win so easy, get in there and do it or give up the belt and chase his other fights he may want then
 
It's the only fight Jones has that we have no real clue how it will go down.

Jones feels the same so he will never do it.
 
Jones is the best at range (and he has a reach edge against everyone) and close combat distance (elbows, knees).

He struggles the most at boxing distance. This is a no-brainer we can observe in many of his fights.

I'm pretty sure Jon could not keep Tom away with his kicks: Tom has trained/trains/would train with Rico Verhoeven, he'd be willing to eat a kick in order to get to punching distance.

And just throw. He had no problem to exchange with Pavlovich, he has a chin and Jones lacks the KO power.


I think Jones is the best to ever do it. Not the greatest, but the best.
But still, fighting vs someone able to eat whatever you throw at him to stay at the precise distance he wants (too far to be elbowed or knee'd, too close to shot a TD) and just throw punches at you... I can't see a path for victory here.
Jones agrees with you. Which is why he's doing everything he can to duck that fight.
 
It all comes down to who can fight their fight. If Jones can't keep Aspinall off him and at distance, he will probably lose. If Aspinall can't avoid the takedown he will probably lose. Each has basically one path to victory. Jones will try to counter the blitz with a takedown or matador him and try to tire him out and Tom will be ready for the takedown and try to keep Jones upright in a clinch and force him to break and reset.
 
Even at HW Jones continued to show a wide range of attacks and looks even better on the ground than he did at LHW.

No he does not. He dominated Gane who had no grappling and shit the bed mentally anyway and he spent most of a round on top of Stipe who escaped relatively unscathed. Even worse than not being able to finish Stipe, he looked like he didn't have the gas tank for more than one round of wrestling, at least consecutively. A Jones takedown in no way means the fight is over.
 
I think Aspinall finishes Jones early if Jones can't get him down and keep him there. This isn't Gane or old man Stipe. Aspinall is so fast and a finisher of the highest order.
 
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For sure Reyes beat jones.
Spoiler alert:
Aspinall rushes in, gets taken down and choked out. 1st round
 
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