It's hard to see Jon easily wrestling Ciryl, when he struggled to take down, nevermind control Dominic. Everyone is acting like Francis is a bum grappler, it's really weird... He easily outwrestled Stipe in their rematch, and he's probably much much stronger than Jon. Getting thrown around by Francis is nothing to be ashamed of, and it's not like Ciryl was helpless, he had his moments too.
I wouldn't be surprised if Ciryl gets a tko, similar to the Tuivasa fight, like an accumulation of bodyshots or something along those lines. If Jones wins, it would have to be through relentless pressure, like he did with Dominic, unless he comes out with some never before seen power in his strikes, or surprises me with his grappling. He's always looked super dominant on the ground, but that Reyes fight was a really bad look.