Opinion polling shows support for Hamas has risen from 12% to 44% in the West Bank and from 38% to 42% in Gaza in the past three months. If it were possible to hold fair Palestinian elections now, they could produce results Israel would not like.
I've yet to hear how this military offensive achieves any good for Israel. I think it's pretty obvious it is doing more harm than good.
The support for the october 7th attacks, right after they took place, was overwhelming (after years of ceasefire).
So no this military campaign won't win over the hearts and minds of most Palestinians,
It's not supposed to either, as the recent past has shown, when Gazans get to freely rule themselves, they choose to support a party whose sole existance is dedicated to eradicating Israel.
So the short term aim of this campaing is to free hostages and stomp down Gaza/WB's abillity to do (significant) damage to Israel, the need of which was made obvious 3 months ago.
Long term Israel shouldn't be too interested in Gaza, at all. All it cares about are it's own security interests. God knows letting them rule themselves lead to this situation.
It's probably gonna end up with installing some arab puppet-leader with backing of some regional partners, but so far nations aren't exactly jumping at the chance to get involved in the Palestinian mess.
Hell, most were close to completely normalising relations with Israel a few months back.
They'll still do this, ofcourse. They just have to act upset for about a year or 2.
Wall it off, install a puppet, wait for ~50 years
This mess has been a strategically smart move by Iran imo, long term it's not gonna do too much.
They have little care for the lives of actual Palestinians, unfortunately there seem to be a lot of usefull idiots in the region willing to do their bidding,