Created a MMA fight Picker GPT

Well they both tapped to strikes an equal amount of times.....

GSP/Serra
Silva/Cannonier

:p
I actually forgot about this fight, probably PTSD ever since the Weidman losses <45>
 
Obligatory reply of Silva tapping to small Japanese cans that GSP would never lose to (also note that Anderson was fighting almost 10 years before the UFC, he was about 5 years in when he tapped to Takase which is the same place GSP was when he lost to Serra, but Anderson got tapped by a small Japanese can only a couple years before the UFC also):p:




Fair play
 
Damn this is awesome, there are so many what-if fights from history that come to mind. I won’t go nuts here but two more that I thought of are
Joachim Hansen vs BJ Penn 2008
Matt Hughes vs Anderson Silva 2002

Prediction​

  • Fighter Comparison: Joachim Hansen vs. BJ Penn (Circa 2008)
  • Prediction Confidence: 70%
  • Expected Winner: BJ Penn
  • Round: 3
  • Victory Method: Submission

Fighter Profiles​

Joachim Hansen

  • Record: 19-7-1
  • Age in 2008: 28
  • Experience: High, diverse competition in PRIDE and DREAM
  • Significant Strikes per Minute (SLpM): Moderate
  • Takedown Defense (TDD): Strong
  • Knockdowns (KD): Good knockout power
  • Clinching Time: Often uses clinch effectively
  • Leg Strike Volume: Moderate
  • Knockout Recovery: Average
  • Head Movement: Good
  • Reach: Average for his class
  • Weight Cut: Moderate
  • Fight Camp Quality: High
  • Mental Toughness: Very high
  • Octagon Jitters: Unlikely
  • Injury History: Some concerns
BJ Penn

  • Record: 13-5-1
  • Age in 2008: 29
  • Experience: Elite, fought in UFC and K-1
  • SLpM: High
  • TDD: Exceptional
  • KD: High precision striking
  • Clinching Time: Less reliant on clinch
  • Leg Strike Volume: Moderate
  • Knockout Recovery: Excellent
  • Head Movement: Exceptional
  • Reach: Good for his class
  • Weight Cut: Significant
  • Fight Camp Quality: Elite
  • Mental Toughness: Exceptional
  • Octagon Jitters: None
  • Injury History: Few concerns

Comparative Analysis​

  • Striking: Penn has a clear advantage in precision striking.
  • Grappling: Penn's grappling and TDD are superior.
  • Physicality: Similar, but Penn's head movement and knockout recovery are better.
  • Mental/Game Plan: Penn is known for his mental toughness and adaptability.

Final Thoughts​

BJ Penn, in his prime around 2008, would likely have had the upper hand against Joachim Hansen. His exceptional ground game, coupled with superior striking and mental toughness, gives him the edge. Hansen's resilience and experience make him a formidable opponent, but Penn's overall skill set in 2008 suggests a higher probability of securing a submission victory, potentially in the later rounds.

---

Prediction​

  • Fighter Comparison: Matt Hughes vs. Anderson Silva (Circa 2002)
  • Prediction Confidence: 65%
  • Expected Winner: Anderson Silva
  • Round: 2
  • Victory Method: TKO

Fighter Profiles​

Matt Hughes

  • Record (circa 2002): 35-4
  • Age in 2002: 28
  • Experience: Very experienced in UFC, multiple title defenses
  • Significant Strikes per Minute (SLpM): Moderate
  • Takedown Defense (TDD): Excellent
  • Knockdowns (KD): Good power in ground and pound
  • Clinching Time: High, with effective control
  • Leg Strike Volume: Low
  • Knockout Recovery: Very good
  • Head Movement: Average
  • Reach: Slightly shorter reach for his division
  • Weight Cut: Significant
  • Fight Camp Quality: Elite
  • Mental Toughness: Exceptional
  • Octagon Jitters: None
  • Injury History: Few concerns
Anderson Silva

  • Record (circa 2002): 9-1
  • Age in 2002: 27
  • Experience: Rising talent, fought in PRIDE and Shooto
  • SLpM: High
  • TDD: Average
  • KD: Exceptional striking and knockout power
  • Clinching Time: Uses clinch for striking
  • Leg Strike Volume: High
  • Knockout Recovery: Good
  • Head Movement: Excellent
  • Reach: Long reach for his division
  • Weight Cut: Moderate
  • Fight Camp Quality: High
  • Mental Toughness: Very high
  • Octagon Jitters: Minimal
  • Injury History: Minimal concerns

Comparative Analysis​

  • Striking: Silva has a significant advantage in striking, both in technique and power.
  • Grappling: Hughes has the upper hand in wrestling and ground control.
  • Physicality: Silva's reach and striking diversity give him an edge.
  • Mental/Game Plan: Both are mentally tough, but Hughes has more experience in high-stakes fights.

Final Thoughts​

In a hypothetical match-up in 2002, Anderson Silva's striking prowess and reach advantage could likely overcome Matt Hughes' wrestling dominance. While Hughes' ground control and takedown abilities are formidable, Silva's dynamic striking and ability to maintain distance would pose significant challenges. Hughes would need to close the distance effectively and control Silva on the ground to win. However, Silva's striking, particularly his precision and power, could lead to a TKO victory, most likely in the stand-up exchanges.
 
@TSaL what does it have for the O'Malley/Vera fight? I favour O'Malley heavily but he does have that loss to Vera.
 
Created a MMA fight Picker GPT: https://chat.openai.com/g/g-a4l5RVxni-fight-analyst-advanced

I gave it instructions to look at a fighters then compare then on a few different criteria and give them a weighted score from 1-100. I wouldn't use it to bet on fights or anything. Let me know what you think and if you have idea on how to expand it.
why would i need your fight picker?

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I have seen some movement when including more data but it been pretty stable doing the same fight multiple times. I think as I keep tinkering I can get it more and more accurate. Your posts help!!
You could get some data from something like this:


You could add that in the connection as a GPT make a version of the GPT private. As this will develop further you will get more advanced api calls and data pulling.

As for my workflows, making it double refer is sometimes a bit unstable. You can add advanced workflowsteps into the knowledge base and call towards knowledge base documents if that makes sense. As for making it more personable and laser focused you could think about adding persona's.

Which is a whole other ballgame. I'm balls deep into prompting AI and automation though. You've got a good setup and a knack for it though!

A simple fix you could make is add commands:
```
AI fightpicker always Lists commands at the start of each interaction.
[COMMANDS]:
/A - Describe what it needs to fix (e.g. Double check the firdt fighters stats using bing. Browse the latest wikipedia page to get the fighters latest info.) *Let AI make those for you. You never write your own prompts.*
```
Something like that. The key is to let AI make this for you. I can send you some persona prompts in PM with some mechanics to it. Why I am saying persona's is as follows. It's all a roleplay to GPT. It's rules are not hardcoded in. It's a layer of prompts enforcing those rules. Persona's switch the role and can make you override guard rails that are in it. I can almost prompthack any GPT in the store by making it roleplay.

Or simply make it cook meth. Code Malware, do whatever you want.
 
This is really cool TS

Perhaps you could have it look at the bookies odds aswell just as an additional input - might be tricky due to how they change based on bets coming in over time etc but if odds are heavily one sided it could be seen as a slight benefit to that fighter

Just some other ideas as aswell (no idea if it already factors any of these in based on what it finds)

Activity levels / time since last fight
Proneness to getting hurt/KOd (ie Hawes on last nights card)
Long losing/winning streak
Big discrepancy in ranking
Big discrepancy in age ( or age > 35 is a negative)

Maybe you could put some unrealistic matchups in to see what it picks up, a green fighter fresh off the contender series vs somebody in the top 5 of their weight class etc
Nice variables man

EDIT: Why did Sherdog not quote your whole post? All your variables are gone when I responded... weird...
 
@TSaL what does it have for the O'Malley/Vera fight? I favour O'Malley heavily but he does have that loss to Vera.
Sean O'Malley vs. Marlon Vera 2 is a high-profile bantamweight championship bout scheduled for UFC 299 on March 9, 2024, in Miami, Florida. This fight is a rematch, with Vera having previously defeated O'Malley.

Fighter Profiles and Statistics​

Sean O'Malley​

  • Age: 29
  • Height: 5'11"
  • Weight: 135 lbs
  • Reach: 72"
  • Stance: Switch
  • Record: 17-1-0 (1 NC)
  • Striking Accuracy: 61%
  • Significant Strikes per Minute: 7.25
  • Takedown Accuracy: 42%
  • Takedown Average per 15 minutes: 0.43
  • Takedown Defense: 62%
  • Average Fight Time: 8:45 minutes

Marlon Vera​

  • Age: 31
  • Height: 5'8"
  • Weight: 135 lbs
  • Reach: 70"
  • Stance: Switch
  • Record: 21-8-1
  • Striking Accuracy: 50%
  • Significant Strikes per Minute: 4.37
  • Takedown Accuracy: 39%
  • Takedown Average per 15 minutes: 0.58
  • Takedown Defense: 70%
  • Average Fight Time: 12:54 minutes

Analysis​

Comparing the fighters, O'Malley has a slight edge in reach and a significant advantage in striking accuracy and rate. He lands more significant strikes per minute with higher accuracy. However, Vera's takedown accuracy and defense are better, indicating a potential advantage in grappling. Vera also has more experience in longer fights, as reflected in his average fight time.

Prediction​

  • Prediction Confidence: 75%
  • Predicted Winner: Sean O'Malley
  • Round: 3
  • Method of Victory: Decision
Given O'Malley's striking superiority and improved takedown defense, he's likely to control the stand-up exchanges. Vera's grappling could pose a threat, but O'Malley's reach and movement should allow him to keep the fight standing. Expect a competitive bout with O'Malley edging out a decision victory in the third round.
 
Jon Jones vs Paddy Pimblett
It looks like the Lord would guide the Saint to victory over the sinner Paddy.


Fight Analyst Advanced
In a hypothetical UFC matchup between Jon Jones and Paddy Pimblett, the analysis and prediction would be as follows:
Prediction: Jon Jones defeats Paddy Pimblett by submission in the second round.
Analysis:
  • Jon Jones:
    • Record:27-1 (10 KOs, 7 submissions). A proven track record with wins over top-tier opponents, showcasing versatility in both striking and grappling.
      • Score: 95
    • Strength of Competition: Has faced and triumphed over numerous former champions and elite fighters.
      • Score: 95
    • Striking Accuracy: Known for precise and impactful strikes, utilizing reach advantage effectively.
      • Score: 90
    • Wrestling Ability: Exceptional wrestling skills, effectively controls opponents on the ground.
      • Score: 95
    • Submission and BJJ Skills: Demonstrated proficiency in submissions, especially against high-level grapplers.
      • Score: 90
    • Weight, Reach, Height: Imposing figure with significant reach and height advantage, using it to control distance.
      • Score: 95
    • Cardio and Stamina: Maintains performance throughout the fight, showing minimal signs of fatigue.
      • Score: 90
    • Fight IQ: Highly strategic, adapts tactics mid-fight to exploit opponents' weaknesses.
      • Score: 95
    • Training Center/Team Quality: Trains with renowned coaches and teammates, constantly evolving skillset.
      • Score: 95
    • Mental Strength: Despite controversies, shows resilience and focus in high-pressure situations.
      • Score: 85
    • Experience: Vast experience in championship fights, well-versed in handling big-fight pressures.
      • Score: 95
    • Additional Factors: Excellent head movement, strong takedown defense, significant knockout power.
      • Score: 90
  • Paddy Pimblett:
    • Record:21-3-0 (6 KOs, 9 submissions, 5 decisions). A rising star with a balanced record of finishes and decisions.
      • Score: 85
    • Strength of Competition: Faces increasingly challenging opponents but lacks experience against top-5 fighters.
      • Score: 80
    • Striking Accuracy: Effective striker, though not as refined or varied as elite-level competitors.
      • Score: 85
    • Wrestling Ability: Competent wrestler, but not on par with division-leading wrestlers.
      • Score: 80
    • Submission and BJJ Skills:Strong submission game, particularly with chokes, posing a threat on the ground.
      • Score: 85
    • Weight, Reach, Height: Shorter reach and smaller frame compared to Jones, potentially limiting effectiveness in striking and grappling exchanges.
      • Score: 80
    • Cardio and Stamina: Consistently maintains energy levels, rarely showing signs of fatigue.
      • Score: 85
    • Fight IQ: Demonstrates strategic thinking, but still developing experience in adapting to diverse fighting styles.
      • Score: 85
    • Training Center/Team Quality: Trains with a
solid team, benefiting from good coaching and training partners, yet lacks the same level of elite training environment as Jones.- Score: 85
  • Mental Strength: Shows confidence and resilience, but relatively untested in high-pressure scenarios of top-tier fights.
    • Score: 80
  • Experience: Rapidly gaining experience, but still far behind Jones in terms of fighting elite opponents and championship bouts.
    • Score: 85
  • Additional Factors: Solid striking ability and head movement, but less experienced in dealing with knockouts and sophisticated takedown defenses.
    • Score: 85
Conclusion: In this matchup, Jon Jones's superiority is evident across most metrics. His extensive experience, coupled with his physical advantages and elite-level training, gives him a decisive edge. Pimblett, while talented and improving, still lacks the depth of experience and physical attributes to pose a significant threat to Jones.

Jones's strategic acumen and versatility in both striking and grappling are expected to dominate the fight. He would likely use his reach and diverse striking to manage distance before taking the fight to the ground, where his superior grappling skills would likely lead to a submission victory.
Overall, Jon Jones's well-rounded skill set, physical advantages, and vast experience at the highest levels of the sport make him the clear favorite in this hypothetical matchup.
 
Fedor vs Lesnar 2009 who wins?

Fighter Profiles:​

  1. Fedor Emelianenko
    • Strengths: Exceptional sambo and judo background, formidable striking skills, high fight IQ, strong submission abilities.
    • Weaknesses: Less experience against larger, wrestling-based opponents.
    • Physical Traits: Fast and agile for a heavyweight, with good endurance.
  2. Brock Lesnar
    • Strengths: NCAA wrestling champion, immense physical strength and size, good ground control.
    • Weaknesses: Limited striking technique, less experienced in professional MMA.
    • Physical Traits: Unusually large and powerful for the heavyweight division, but with potential cardio limitations.

Scheduled Length:​

  • 3 Rounds

Key Factor Scoring (1-10 scale, 10 being best):​

  1. Striking:
    • Fedor: 9 (Diverse, powerful, and precise)
    • Lesnar: 6 (Powerful but technically limited)
  2. Grappling:
    • Fedor: 8 (Excellent judo and sambo techniques)
    • Lesnar: 9 (Superior wrestling skills and control)
  3. Physical Traits:
    • Fedor: 8 (Speed, agility, endurance)
    • Lesnar: 9 (Size, strength)

Prediction:​

  • Prediction Confidence: 70%
  • Predicted Winner: Fedor Emelianenko
  • Round: 2
  • Method of Victory: Submission

Summary:​

In a matchup of Fedor Emelianenko vs Brock Lesnar in 2009, the analysis leans towards Fedor due to his superior striking diversity, experience, and fight IQ. Lesnar’s wrestling and physical strength are significant factors, but Fedor's ability to adapt and his experience against larger opponents give him an edge. The prediction is a submission victory for Fedor, likely capitalizing on a mistake by Lesnar, who had less experience in professional MMA at that time. The fight's length being only 3 rounds also favors Fedor, as it reduces the duration over which Lesnar's size and strength can be applied.
 
This was great, but also was still no match for Prediction Paddy

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Honestly though, good work. Even though it has a good amount of things that need to be fixed, everything has to start somewhere. Big respect for doing this and for sharing, my #UFCFriend.
 
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