Wow, what a horrible week for Trump. Besides the fact he is now 8% behind Hillary (irrespective of whether you include Stein / Johnson in polls or not), there are many points that make me believe he stands no chance in hell.
Trump is behind in all swing states.
Clinton is leading New Hampshire by 15%, Pennsylvania by 11%, and Florida - which Trump needs to win at all cost -
by 6%. The Clinton team knows it will win Virginia and Colorado and thus currently even air TV spots
according to Politico.
Trump's support among Blacks is abysmal.
According to NBC, Clinton is leading 91% to 1% (!!) among Blacks. According to McClatchy, it is 93% to 2%. Even if Fox is right (they say he's got 4%) this still would be worse than Romney in 2012.
Millennials don't give a fuck about Trump.
Among voters below 30, Trump is on rank 4. I repeat:
rank 4.
Clinton 41%
Johnson 23%
Stein 16%
Trump 9%
GOP Politicians who want to get (re-)elected are working on Anti-Trump plans.
The NYT
quoted several donors and politicians who are considering when the best time is to break with Trump to save re-election and Congress majority.
The nuclear issue is a big one.
People consider Trump to be better to fight ISIS, but if you ask people who should get the nuclear codes, Clinton
leads by 22 percentage points in a Fox poll.
Open questions about Trump remain.
Trump shot himself in the knee with the Khan controversy. Not only are people
overwhelmingly on the soldier's family's side, we now know how Trump dodged the draft. Trump still has not published his tax documents, so there's no way to know whether he even is a billionaire. And there have been strong arguments that Melania was an illegal immigrant via visa overstay that have not been refuted so far.
His rumored economic plans are a disaster and will be torn to pieces.
If what I read is true about Trump's plans (lower corporate tax from 35 to 15%, tax cuts for all Americans), punitive tariffs for Chinese and Mexican imports of 45 and 35%, respectively (thereby starting trade wars), then I doubt people will follow him. After all, he concurrently wants to increase military spending when he reduces the amount of taxes paid by about a third. And his economic expert team is quite funny, too. Bankers, hedgefund managers, fracking and real estate folks.