• Xenforo Cloud is upgrading us to version 2.3.8 on Monday February 16th, 2026 at 12:00 AM PST. Expect a temporary downtime during this process. More info here

UFN 92 - Caceres vs Rodriguez - Utah

Status
Not open for further replies.
Call me crazy but I like the Rodriguez vs Caceras fight @ over 2.5. They both have quite a few dec wins and losses.
 
Getting a chance now to look over new props

Camozzi +3.5 -150 seems like a decent play. As long as he can keep the pace high and make things tough, even if he loses the first two rounds gotta favor him to win the 3rd.

Tybura No SC -170 seems very reasonable. Pesta doesn't pack much power, and likely needs to wrestle for 3 rounds to win. But its HW so risky.

Swanson KO +205 not bad
 
Gonna lay some bets and stay the night in Nevada but will be in SLC tomorrow.
sd2obb.jpg
 


Vivisection also liking Steele at those nice dog odds :cool:

Confidence decrease Tybura. Pesta has been training with Blackzilians now instead of nobodies. Already thought I laid a little more on Tybura than I should've, might buy out a bit.
 
Joseph Budden said:


Vivisection also liking Steele at those nice dog odds :cool:

Confidence decrease Tybura. Pesta has been training with Blackzilians now instead of nobodies. Already thought I laid a little more on Tybura than I should've, might buy out a bit.
Click to expand...


I think Pesta is looking to take this one to the ground pretty fast, but Tybura has good enough grapling defence to avoid the subs. I actually favor Tubyra if it stays standing, but that will NEVER happen. Taking the elevation into consideration and how they are pretty equal on the grapling area, im currently looking at "fight goes to DEC" @ +165. Either I hit that, or I stay away from the fight. Checked the o1.5 while typing - perhaps a little value in that one, but still thinking DEC.
 
Lol if you're in the UK the chick fight is 1.83 to go over 1.5 rounds. 2.05 for over 2.5. Considering over 2.5 is at 1.87 at bestfightodds that's incredible value
 
Last edited:
robbiedawg said:
Lol if you're in the UK the chick fight is 1.83 to go over 1.5 rounds. 2.05 for over 2.5. Considering over 2.5 is at 1.87 at bestfightodds that's incredible value
Click to expand...

Which bookie mate?
 
Just done watching footage of Smith and Gigliotti.

Smith isn't hugely impressive at all but he does know his strengths and uses them well. However his punches are very telegraphed; dipping his head and throwing winging overhands and hooks. His striking defence really isn't great at all and fighters with decent boxing and power have exploited that. He does well against fighters who don't offer much power on the feet - Dan Miller and Tor Troeng for example. When he does get the clinch he is very strong and on the mat he has solid top control.

Gigliotti is still only 22 which is a pro and a con. He's got age on his side, explosiveness and power. But I'm still questioning his fight IQ when he meets a veteran like Smith who can impose a very frustrating and gruelling game plan. Although Smith is the bigger man in this contest, GIgliotti trains with some amazing bigger wrestlers at Power MMA and has fought and taken down a Heavyweight before when he fought Wilbanks; almost blast doubling him across the cage. He lacks finesse but has raw power, good wrestling and although cardio is a question it would be hard to imagine be not having good cardio at only 22 and training with a team like Power MMA.

Smith could take a decision here if he manages to weather the storm of Gigliotti but I can see Gigliotti tagging him early and getting the 1st round finish (where all Smith's TKO losses have come).

Gigliotti Round 1 @ 3.30
 
Joseph Budden said:
Getting a chance now to look over new props

Camozzi +3.5 -150 seems like a decent play. As long as he can keep the pace high and make things tough, even if he loses the first two rounds gotta favor him to win the 3rd.

Tybura No SC -170 seems very reasonable. Pesta doesn't pack much power, and likely needs to wrestle for 3 rounds to win. But its HW so risky.

Swanson KO +205 not bad
Click to expand...

Don't like the season payout much, but I agree on other two
 
Gentleman,
I think I've found arguably the most laughable MMA line this year and it's on UFC 92. It's not only the bookies setting these lines knowing suckers will bet the line waaaaaay into -EV land. It just amazes me how much free money can be made by exploiting public perception and just horribad casuals. To think I was once struggling to make $10 bucks an hour at the pizza joint to now where sky's the limit. I without a shadow of a doubt count my blessing each and everyday to have come across online sports betting. It's not only allowed me to do what I love for a living, but it's my passion and I get up everyday with a burning desire to see if I can one up profits from the previous days. Who would have thunk ditching the 9-5 for a gambling ... errrr "sports investing" career would pan out the way it has for I.
Trust me when I say this: If I can do it anyone can. When I came into this game I was a mess and I'll just leave it at that because I don't like dwelling in the past and like Tony Robbins I'm all about POSITIVITY!!! TGIF

- Barry (PS Remember guys @ 198 Likes I'll dish out one massively +EV UFC pick and 1 $harp sports pick)
 
barrygood1 said:
Gentleman,
I think I've found arguably the most laughable MMA line this year and it's on UFC 92. It's not only the bookies setting these lines knowing suckers will bet the line waaaaaay into -EV land. It just amazes me how much free money can be made by exploiting public perception and just horribad casuals. To think I was once struggling to make $10 bucks an hour at the pizza joint to now where sky's the limit. I without a shadow of a doubt count my blessing each and everyday to have come across online sports betting. It's not only allowed me to do what I love for a living, but it's my passion and I get up everyday with a burning desire to see if I can one up profits from the previous days. Who would have thunk ditching the 9-5 for a gambling ... errrr "sports investing" career would pan out the way it has for I.
Trust me when I say this: If I can do it anyone can. When I came into this game I was a mess and I'll just leave it at that because I don't like dwelling in the past and like Tony Robbins I'm all about POSITIVITY!!! TGIF

- Barry (PS Remember guys @ 198 Likes I'll dish out one massively +EV UFC pick and 1 $harp sports pick)
Click to expand...
198 likes? As in 198 people have to like your post for you to give away your free play?
 
barrygood1 said:
Gentleman,
I think I've found arguably the most laughable MMA line this year and it's on UFC 92. It's not only the bookies setting these lines knowing suckers will bet the line waaaaaay into -EV land. It just amazes me how much free money can be made by exploiting public perception and just horribad casuals. To think I was once struggling to make $10 bucks an hour at the pizza joint to now where sky's the limit. I without a shadow of a doubt count my blessing each and everyday to have come across online sports betting. It's not only allowed me to do what I love for a living, but it's my passion and I get up everyday with a burning desire to see if I can one up profits from the previous days. Who would have thunk ditching the 9-5 for a gambling ... errrr "sports investing" career would pan out the way it has for I.
Trust me when I say this: If I can do it anyone can. When I came into this game I was a mess and I'll just leave it at that because I don't like dwelling in the past and like Tony Robbins I'm all about POSITIVITY!!! TGIF

- Barry (PS Remember guys @ 198 Likes I'll dish out one massively +EV UFC pick and 1 $harp sports pick)
Click to expand...

A Tony Robbins shout out/reference in an MMA betting thread. I have seen it all now.

"If I use the power of positivity, TO WILL the fighter I am betting on to win, THEN THERE'S NOW WAY HE CAN FAIL!"
 
barrygood1 said:
Gentleman,
I think I've found arguably the most laughable MMA line this year and it's on UFC 92. It's not only the bookies setting these lines knowing suckers will bet the line waaaaaay into -EV land. It just amazes me how much free money can be made by exploiting public perception and just horribad casuals. To think I was once struggling to make $10 bucks an hour at the pizza joint to now where sky's the limit. I without a shadow of a doubt count my blessing each and everyday to have come across online sports betting. It's not only allowed me to do what I love for a living, but it's my passion and I get up everyday with a burning desire to see if I can one up profits from the previous days. Who would have thunk ditching the 9-5 for a gambling ... errrr "sports investing" career would pan out the way it has for I.
Trust me when I say this: If I can do it anyone can. When I came into this game I was a mess and I'll just leave it at that because I don't like dwelling in the past and like Tony Robbins I'm all about POSITIVITY!!! TGIF

- Barry (PS Remember guys @ 198 Likes I'll dish out one massively +EV UFC pick and 1 $harp sports pick)
Click to expand...
Good post
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Latest posts

Forum statistics

Threads
1,281,965
Messages
58,405,586
Members
176,030
Latest member
santozsbjj

Share this page

Back
Top