UFN 92 - Caceres vs Rodriguez - Utah

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by EzFlyer, Jul 30, 2016.

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  1. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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  2. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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  3. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    wouldn't be shocked if camozzi got bet.

    nothing JUMPING at me overall. favorites are favorites.

    mind you: i don't know who joseph gigliotti is. or danielle taylor.
     
  4. Joseph Budden

    Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    O2.5 Leites vs Camozzi -130?!?! Are you serious lol thanks bookies

    Don't know what to do for the rest just yet. Want to parlay Bermudez but no one available to do so with yet
     
  5. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    good call i like that

    taking O2.5 -130camozzi-leites
     
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  6. Joseph Budden

    Joseph Budden Banned Banned

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    Wowwwww I refreshed like crazy to get that opener and somehow it still jumped to -155 before I bet lol. Still took it for a unit, I honestly think that line could be -240ish
     
  7. robbiedawg

    robbiedawg Bettor Banned

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    Nothing jumps out at me either. Bad card


    Edit: Over 2.5 in the Camozzi fight is gonna be -200 by the time UK bookies get it
     
  8. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    thx for helping point it out, i got the -130
     
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  9. Tebowned

    Tebowned Boise Dime.

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    Gonna wait and see where these lines go.

    I picture an arm triangle finish for Thales but not at those odds(ML). I'll skip the over but I see why you guys like it.
    Thales is no Jacare but he is a legitimate killer on the mat.
     
  10. robbiedawg

    robbiedawg Bettor Banned

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    Camozzi has good TDD and wrestling and Leites won't get a sub off his back. I think it keeps standing for the most part and is a close but boring fight. Over at -130 is definitely a good bet
     
  11. Tebowned

    Tebowned Boise Dime.

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    Over at -130 is dead as a door nail or I'd bet it. It's like at -190 now or some shit.

    On the ground Thales needs only one chance on top to get the sub(That's not saying he'll get the sub).
    If Natal, Vitor miranda, bruno santos, and Tom Watson can get at least one takedown each on Camozzi I feel Leites has a chance.
    Just my two sense no bets as of yet.
     
  12. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    i think camozzi is at his peak right now, best he's ever been against miranda...

    ...but. i still don't know if it's enough. leites looked slower vs mousasi than he did vs bisping, maybe he's starting to decline, but this dude is SOOOO durable. both are. the only way i see O2.5 losing is if leites snatches a sub.

    in fact, 65 fights between the two, and lots at HIGH level... and neither guy has ever been kod
     
  13. burge13

    burge13 Blue Belt

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    I think I like Cummings as the dog. Hoping for slightly better odds so we'll see how that moves
     
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  14. piglord

    piglord Black Belt

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    like both camozzi and cummings as underdogs.
     
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  15. oliverinsix

    oliverinsix Yellow Belt

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    Late Replacements
    • Chris Camozzi filling in for Brad Tavares vs #12 Thales Leites (7.5 weeks)
    • Danielle Taylor filling in for Justine Kish vs. #8 Maryna Moroz (9 days)

    Hometown Fighters (Salt Lake City, Utah)
    • Court McGee

    UFC Debut
    • Joseph Gigliotti (Middleweight)
    • Danielle Taylor (Strawweight)
    • Jason Novelli (Lightweight)
    • Justin Ledet (Heavyweight)
    • Chase Sherman (Heavyweight)

    Fighters on Losing Streaks

    • Thales Leites - 2
    • Horacio Gutierrez - 2

    Long Layoff

    • Rony Jason (14 months - Nine-month suspension for banned diuretic)
    • Trevor Smith (13 months - Hand injury February 2016)
    • Viktor Pesta (11 months)
    • Horacio Gutierrez (9 months)

    New Weight Class
    • Horacio Gutierrez (Lightweight to Featherweight)
     
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  16. EzFlyer

    EzFlyer Titanium Belt

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    you think camozzi keeps it standing? and cummings gets takedowns?
     
  17. robbiedawg

    robbiedawg Bettor Banned

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    I can see the odds on Swanson being very low just because of the Hacran Dias win but he's still a guy coming off broken jaw injuries who was close to retirement. Kawajiri might have a shot if he can get Swanson on the ground and blanket him

    Will need to do tape study though
     
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  18. vkram

    vkram Brown Belt

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    I guess Smith may be worth a stab here, Gigliotti is a young kid with good wrestling but he seems to be a smaller MW whilst Smith an experienced vet and will have the size advantage.
     
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  19. Sham5916910

    Sham5916910 Silver Belt

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    He wont worry about his jaw too much much against kawa. Need to review tape but think i like cub as parlay fodder
     
  20. piglord

    piglord Black Belt

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    yeah i think camozzi can keep it standing and leites looked noticably worse in his last performance. could have just been a bad night but also could be declining. although everyone remembers camozzi as being distinctly mediocre, i think he's actually coming into his prime right now.

    as for cummings, i think his standup is underrated. i think he can actually hold his own against ponz standing but he also has the ability to mix in takedowns. ponz has very good boxing but i think cummings might have better hand speed and he looks to be bigger and stronger. i'll need to review some tape, but i think cummings is underrated in general and is a real dark horse in the division - i couldn't believe he was an underdog last time against dalby.

    i'm second guessing myself at the moment, seem to be alternating between winning and losing nights so strugglng to gain any momentum after a marathon winning streak from march to june.
     
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