UFN 92 - Caceres vs Rodriguez - Utah

[edole]

Is the elevation in slc something that might affect anyone on fight night? I know it was discussed itt but I don't feel like going through.

Its nothing like Denver or Mexico city, but might it affect those who tend to have poorer cardio?

What's the conclusion here -- who are the fighters on this card that get flagged for potential cardio issues?

 

[Sham5916910]

Is the elevation in slc something that might affect anyone on fight night? I know it was discussed itt but I don't feel like going through.

Its nothing like Denver or Mexico city, but might it affect those who tend to have poorer cardio?

What's the conclusion here -- who are the fighters on this card that get flagged for potential cardio issues?

Jason and Kawa have gassed in the past.

 

[PuertoRican]

Is the elevation in slc something that might affect anyone on fight night? I know it was discussed itt but I don't feel like going through.

Its nothing like Denver or Mexico city, but might it affect those who tend to have poorer cardio?

What's the conclusion here -- who are the fighters on this card that get flagged for potential cardio issues?

Los Angeles elevation: 305 ft (93 m)
San Diego elevation: 422 ft (129 m)
Las Vegas elevation: 2,001 ft (610 m)
Salt Lake City elevation: 4,226 ft (1,288 m)
Denver elevation: 5,130–5,690 ft (1,564–1,731 m)
Mexico City elevation: 7,380 ft (2,250 m)

Glendale, AZ (Alex Caceres @ The MMA Lab): 1,152 ft (351 m)
Albuquerque, NM (Yair Rodriguez @ Jackson/Wink MMA): 5,312 ft (1,619 m)

We had the classic gas-fest cards in Denver and Mexico City. The more heavyweights on the card, the sloppier it will get after Round 1.

On this card, we have the following weight classes:

1 strawweight
4 featherweight
1 lightweight
2 welterweight
2 middleweight
2 heavyweight

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Several guys ITT said Caceres might have week cardio. Since Yair has fought 2 times in Mexico City, and he trains at high elevation in Albuquerque, he'll have the advantage if it goes late.

Heavyweights will have issues past 1.5 rounds, and probably guys who are facing opponents who have an in-your-face dirty boxing and/or grinding style. People like Court McGee, Darren Elkins, and Rick Story would fight good in Salt Lake City, imo.

 

[Lightsout671]

Court Mcgee elevation+home advantage= Mcgee by decision

 

[PuertoRican]

Court Mcgee elevation+home advantage= Mcgee by decision

If Court does what we think he'll do, and if Steele gasses, then Court via TKO is a possibility, especially since Steele eats a lot of punches if he isn't able to get his opponent down or if he's on his back.

Also, will Court be extra motivated to get a finish in his home state? One thing is for sure: he'll want to give his Utah fans something fun to watch, which means a lot of violence.

 

[Lightsout671]

Im really big on Gigliotti What do u think of him vs Smith

 

[Rebel_LioN]

Basic leans, nothing strong -

I think Tybura/Pesta could possibly go 3. Both guys got good chins and aren't super heavy hitters. But they push a pretty heavy pace at elevation so maybe the o1.5 might be smarter.

I thought Trevor smith looked good in his last outing using control and GnP. New guy making his debut and he's a bit undersized for MW. He looks to jump for guillotines and if Dan Miller couldn't snatch his I don't see this new guy getting it, and it could possibly lead into trouble with the heavier Smith on top of him. But of course Trevor could easily just eat some big shots early and go down since the new guy looks to load up heavy. I'm taking Trevor by decision and a bit on his ML.

I think Moroz can snatch a finish here via armbar. The new black girl looks to be mostly a striker but I've seen her try for TDs from the body lock as well, which on turn I can see Moroz taking an arm in the process.

 

[Lightsout671]

Smith hasnt fought since july 2015 rust might be a factor, plus Smith last victory was against Miller who only fought 2 times in 4 years

 

[Joseph Budden]

Ponz -140 please keep going

 

[Joseph Budden]

Wish these interviews were more focused. First 6 mins was all about UFC 200 (interview was the day after) and now they're talking about Holly's "upcoming" fight vs Valentina....

 

[piglord]

Court Mcgee elevation+home advantage= Mcgee by decision

court trains out of provo (wherever the fuck that is) which is also at elevation.

"Provo lies in the Utah Valley at an elevation of 4,549 feet (1,387 m)"

edit: looks like the entire state of utah is at elevation, excuse my british ignorance.

 

[Lightsout671]

Yes thats why I said that

 

[mmaday4day]

Why is this loss not on Chase Sherman's record?



And did you ever see a more obvious dive?

 

[Johnbmma1]

Danny Brown. A hipster/ratchet rap artist. Check out the song I Will to get better acquainted. A fine piece of music that vulgarly covers the topic of eating pussy. A real classic.

dope boy

 

[Johnbmma1]

I made a 2 teamer with Bermudez + Yair/Caceres Over 2.5 rounds. 30$ to win 50$
Think Yair and Caceres will have a bit of a feeling out process since Caceres is a long southpaw and they will both be looking to pace themselves for later rounds in altitude. Yair only has one finish since being in the UFC and Caceres looked great in his last fight. Banking on him being crafty and experienced enough to survive 2.5 rounds

 

[null]

I made a 2 teamer with Bermudez + Yair/Caceres Over 2.5 rounds. 30$ to win 50$
Think Yair and Caceres will have a bit of a feeling out process since Caceres is a long southpaw and they will both be looking to pace themselves for later rounds in altitude. Yair only has one finish since being in the UFC and Caceres looked great in his last fight. Banking on him being crafty and experienced enough to survive 2.5 rounds

There are so many other fights on this card that are much more likely to go over 2½ rounds. The main event with those two wild fighters is one of the last ones I would think to throw in a parlay.

 

[Johnbmma1]

Is the elevation in slc something that might affect anyone on fight night? I know it was discussed itt but I don't feel like going through.

Its nothing like Denver or Mexico city, but might it affect those who tend to have poorer cardio?

What's the conclusion here -- who are the fighters on this card that get flagged for potential cardio issues?

I have fought in 4k altitude and let me tell you, it's enough to make a noticeable difference lol

 

[Johnbmma1]

There are so many other fights on this card that are much more likely to go over 2½ rounds. The main event with those two wild fighters is one of the last ones I would think to throw in a parlay.

I like the price. Think the styles and range will give each other problems in the beginning. Guess we will see

 

[robbiedawg]

I like the value (+450) on Yair by sub. His BJJ is incredibly crafty and Bruce Leeroy has been subbed 5 times and nearly got subbed by Cole Miller last time out, he leaves way too many openings. Might have a small bet there.

Also like the value on Jason to win in round 1 (+550). Bermudez is a wrestler that's very overrated and has been subbed 4 times. Jason is always dangerous early and has really good subs from his back. Another potential small bet.

I really don't want to force bets on this card though, I have a feeling this wil be one people regret betting on. A lot of people seem to be on Camozzi and Cummings. After watching tape on every fighter and finishing research I don't like Camozzi anymore, I think every fight is priced correctly right now. If Ponz's odds improve a little more that will be the play.

 

[PuertoRican]

Why is this loss not on Chase Sherman's record?

According to his record, Chase Sherman was still an amateur in January 2013, which is when this fight took place. He was going to take another amateur fight in the same fight league in September 2013, but it was cancelled.

His first pro fight was in January 2014.

http://www.tapology.com/fightcenter/fighters/55773-chase-sherman