UFC on ESPN 5 Covington vs Lawler

Discussion in 'MMA Betting Discussion' started by JimGunn, Jul 15, 2019.

  1. Monster Meat

    Monster Meat Purple Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 7, 2016
    Messages:
    1,622
    Likes Received:
    883
    Let’s talk about how borgata and fan duel limited me to shit. Borgata put up a +240 on Luis Pena when he fought wiman and I pounded them on it and got limited immediately...pussies. Anyway thank god for bet stars pointsbet and sugarhouse.
     
  2. Stefan Arambasic

    Stefan Arambasic White Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 4, 2019
    Messages:
    72
    Likes Received:
    100
    How do we feel about the Goldy fight? I can see why shes a favourite, she has a clear sprawl and brawl path to victory, although she gets tagged a lot and keeps her chin up. Granger is very tenacious, and has a longer reach.
    Iv seen 3 of Goldys fights and she always fights the same, circles and gets tagged by everyone but wins on output.
    Her output is still low though, so might be a close fight even if she dosent get taken down.

    Iv seen all of Grangers fights, and she dosent need a TD to win by submission. @ have come in the clinch against cage. Im hesitant to throw money on the dog just because of value, but i see a bit more in Granger, specialy if she pushes the pace all fight.
     
    matthew55 and Sadistics like this.
  3. Naught2Sixty

    Naught2Sixty Black Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 19, 2017
    Messages:
    5,937
    Likes Received:
    12,164
    Location:
    Wash
    8.5/10 post. Would like again.
     
  4. Naught2Sixty

    Naught2Sixty Black Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 19, 2017
    Messages:
    5,937
    Likes Received:
    12,164
    Location:
    Wash
    Working on an exercise bike to trim off today's Jack in box so I got some thots.

    Colby is facing probably one of his tougher matchups in the whole division. Well at least in the first round. Lately Robbie been taking rounds off to do nothing and we've seen Colby have cardio for days. I'm not confident Colby can get to the ground but I'm pretty confident he can hug against the cage. When on the ground Colby excels at mat returns and wrist control but God damn his passing game sucks. Overall don't rate him dangerous but very tough to be beat.

    Guida sucks. There I said it. Even Lyme diseased up Jim miller should be able to out grapple and sub Guida. Guida might also be the most pillow fisted dude at LW which is a real testament to how shot Joe Lauzon is. Miller gets tired but still fights for your money and could lose a decision but I like his chances to the neck of Guida pretty good.

    2u Miller -155
    .5u Miller Sub +260

    I regarded Neto BJJ as an Eryk Anders type...can dangerous WHEN he actually throws punches but otherwise a do nothing guy. Gordon brought the fight and EPO out of him and I think LW Kelvin Gastelum will do the same. Again I think Silva is more dangerous but Nasrat can win on pure activity.

    Got 1u on Silva NSC +275

    Huuuuge LFA fan but I don't remember Giles for shit and I've lost more money on GM3 than I care to mention so....pass.

    Scotty has every advantage in the book over fake stun gun imo. Line is justified.

    Donnie Darko Stosic is getting underrated against power punching can crusher Norwegian man imo. Line isnt wide enough

    Hey Naught you excited to see Salim Touahri?

    <FookIsThatGuy>

    Willing to blindly fade Mickey Gall at such a good price. Maybe hedge with Gall Sub +245.

    Shevchenko overvalued cause of her bond villan sister but I think she has a good matchup here. Dunno why everyone is confident Pud can just walk Antonina down and grab her. I think Shevs clinch game is a little more technical and dangerous and Pud has attempted exactly zero td's in the ufc thus far.

    Shev Dec +115 is value to me.

    Esponoza/Schnell

    [​IMG]

    Also rest of the card...

    [​IMG]
     
    Sono07, Austisthunder, Card and 8 others like this.
  5. Ryan Kelly

    Ryan Kelly Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Oct 17, 2017
    Messages:
    543
    Likes Received:
    596
    Wait, you don’t think Colby will lose on purpose? Time to re-examine the ME.
     
  6. Kamais_Ookin

    Kamais_Ookin Purple Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 28, 2019
    Messages:
    1,560
    Likes Received:
    862
    Trump uses his influence and awards Colby auto-win if fight hits the distance.
     
  7. Invictis

    Invictis Purple Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 5, 2011
    Messages:
    1,722
    Likes Received:
    384
    I think Usman's striking, as shit as it may be, it way better than Colby's.

    Usman in general is just a bigger dude, with much better cardio, slightly better stand up, and as good if not better wrestling than Colby.

    If Usman is -1xx in that fight, there's some serious money to be made.

    edit: assuming Colby gets past Robbie. I have 2u on Robbie for the sake of just wanting to see Colby get ktfo. And It's entirely possible.
     
    Ryan Kelly likes this.
  8. Ryan Kelly

    Ryan Kelly Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Oct 17, 2017
    Messages:
    543
    Likes Received:
    596
    Would be a max bet situation imo
     
  9. Broe.

    Broe. Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Aug 28, 2017
    Messages:
    737
    Likes Received:
    557
    There were odds for thay fight already. I think usman was like 1.33 or something
     
  10. longway

    longway Orange Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 6, 2017
    Messages:
    299
    Likes Received:
    179
    Location:
    Thailand
    So can Robbie win outside r1 or r2? I have played covington ml and covington dec hedged by Robbie r1 or r2.
     
  11. Rickson

    Rickson LOL @ Askren & his fans who thought he was elite

    Joined:
    Mar 4, 2019
    Messages:
    774
    Likes Received:
    1,581
    The only question is which Robbie do we get ?

    The pissed off and violent Robbie who wants to kill you or the annoyed Robbie with Colby‘s head between his legs ?
     
    theTKDguy likes this.
  12. theTKDguy

    theTKDguy Platinum Native

    Joined:
    Jun 28, 2014
    Messages:
    5,472
    Likes Received:
    5,725
    Location:
    Peru
    Event starts earlier? Didn't know that until colby mentioned it during the workouts
     
    Sono07 likes this.
  13. ill800

    ill800 Founder of Eugenics Society of Gambling

    Joined:
    Mar 10, 2017
    Messages:
    6,145
    Likes Received:
    4,690
    12 pm eastern. Nice change of pace for me. Come home from work and watch ufc and the rest of the evening off
     
  14. zeckdo

    zeckdo Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Jan 17, 2018
    Messages:
    916
    Likes Received:
    873
    Location:
    philly
  15. Oblivian

    Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

    Joined:
    Mar 7, 2006
    Messages:
    40,976
    Likes Received:
    11,108
    Location:
    Merica
    I'm liking Miller's line now. I've backed Guida in a lot of fights, but I did not like how he looked vs. Penn. Miller has been looking pretty damn solid lately too.
     
  16. Naught2Sixty

    Naught2Sixty Black Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 19, 2017
    Messages:
    5,937
    Likes Received:
    12,164
    Location:
    Wash
    Yesssss O, join us on the Miller free money train...

    [​IMG]
     
    Oblivian, longway, Card and 2 others like this.
  17. Vir_Ars

    Vir_Ars Orange Belt

    Joined:
    Dec 4, 2018
    Messages:
    413
    Likes Received:
    257
    why the confidence in Granger?
     
  18. zeckdo

    zeckdo Blue Belt

    Joined:
    Jan 17, 2018
    Messages:
    916
    Likes Received:
    873
    Location:
    philly
    I question how someone can have legitimate animosity towards another dude from posting on a forum. I like their individual takes, which is unfortunate because the constant beef kind of overshadows their analysis.
     
    Kamais_Ookin likes this.
  19. Invictis

    Invictis Purple Belt

    Joined:
    Feb 5, 2011
    Messages:
    1,722
    Likes Received:
    384
    Grabbed Guida @ +150 last weekend, and I'm pretty confident, despite going against most people on here.

    I think Guida just outworks him, and gets a relatively close decision. Miller tends to fade pretty easily after round 1, Guida should be able to edge out rounds 2/3.
     
    matthew55 likes this.
  20. Naught2Sixty

    Naught2Sixty Black Belt

    Joined:
    Nov 19, 2017
    Messages:
    5,937
    Likes Received:
    12,164
    Location:
    Wash
    Guida been fading too. Granted not as much but was uncharacteristically tired in RD 3 vs 2019 BJ Penn.
     
    ill800 likes this.

Share This Page

  1. This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
    By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.