UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues

[EndlessCritic]

I don't see how you can justify robocop at -220 here. The guy finds ways to lose fights.

Cannonier has fought nothing but studs.

 

[Stat_Collector]

I don't see how you can justify robocop at -220 here. The guy finds ways to lose fights.

Cannonier has fought nothing but studs.

he’s washed. I actually believe Robocop has more lethal hands than Caio, the fact that Jared let that nerd rock him like that, i think Robocop is going to ko him.

the ko line is his true odds.

 

[sonhow]

Back on the hunt again this week.......

Is the line too wide in the Kattar and Avila fights?

As for Avila fight shes 36 and lots of anti momentum by getting slammed around by Tate and subbed before rnc was even in. If she were to win here Id say its because Cavalcanti does something incredibly dumb. Shes easily won her ufc fights but by split decision. So take that for whatever its worth.

That being said Avilas weakness has been tdd and and now shes fighting a striker.

 

[MidgardSerpent]

As for Avila fight shes 36 and lots of anti momentum by getting slammed around by Tate and subbed before rnc was even in. If she were to win here Id say its because Cavalcanti does something incredibly dumb. Shes easily won her ufc fights but by split decision. So take that for whatever its worth.

That being said Avilas weakness has been tdd and and now shes fighting a striker.

Apparently, she tore the ligaments on one of her knees when Tate took her down in the first. She also got some odd mouthpiece malfunction where it was dislodged and it was adding choking pressure. She may or may not pull from the big book of excuses, you decide.

And she mentioned injuring her other knee during sparring after that fight, so she had to get that fixed too.

 

[Kazda1]

As for Avila fight shes 36 and lots of anti momentum by getting slammed around by Tate and subbed before rnc was even in. If she were to win here Id say its because Cavalcanti does something incredibly dumb. Shes easily won her ufc fights but by split decision. So take that for whatever its worth.

That being said Avilas weakness has been tdd and and now shes fighting a striker.

Well not that it means that much, but she's fighting someone who's not going to take her down or may not try. Not sure if there's enough there to know Avila can win striking either....

 

[mkess101]

he’s washed. I actually believe Robocop has more lethal hands than Caio, the fact that Jared let that nerd rock him like that, i think Robocop is going to ko him.

the ko line is his true odds.

Yeah, IDK if he's washed to the point of "easy Robocop KO" but you can clearly see the decline with Jared. He went from pouring it on vs Vettori as the fight went on, to fading badly vs Imavov and Caio.

Likely, Jared comes out looking solid for a round or 2, then some damage accumulates and he wilts. Late KO/TKO for Robocop seems most likely.

Guy is 41 and has dropped 2 weight classes in his career (at the heaviest ones). The human body can only take so much. Maybe he has one "turn back the clock" night here but no way I'd bet on that.

 

[Hellowhosthat]

As for Avila fight shes 36 and lots of anti momentum by getting slammed around by Tate and subbed before rnc was even in. If she were to win here Id say its because Cavalcanti does something incredibly dumb. Shes easily won her ufc fights but by split decision. So take that for whatever its worth.

That being said Avilas weakness has been tdd and and now shes fighting a striker.

Her gas tank is pretty shit too, she's not looked the same post having a kid.

 

[Thesnake101]

So many MLs getting out of hand this week, don't really like many dogs at first glance but I'll have to peep some out, lol.

Yeah, IDK if he's washed to the point of "easy Robocop KO" but you can clearly see the decline with Jared. He went from pouring it on vs Vettori as the fight went on, to fading badly vs Imavov and Caio.

Likely, Jared comes out looking solid for a round or 2, then some damage accumulates and he wilts. Late KO/TKO for Robocop seems most likely.

Guy is 41 and has dropped 2 weight classes in his career (at the heaviest ones). The human body can only take so much. Maybe he has one "turn back the clock" night here but no way I'd bet on that.

Robocop is a finisher first and foremost, and given how badly Caio hurt Jared, I do think a KO is the most likely ptv for Gregory. Same thing for Jared as a hedge, since Rodrigues has been iced before by middling opposition.

Now, these types of fights sometimes go the distance against all odds, but it's really hard for me to see that happening here.

 

[Thesnake101]

Petroski and Mayes are two of the big dogs I could see pulling off upsets, Morales too but money has already came in on him.

Mayes has pretty bad IQ, which is a hang-up here, but Valter has already pulled off the unthinkable and gave Brzeski his only UFC win. That alone is enough to seriously consider someone like Don'Tale winning, he's not good, but he's willing to put stuff out there and has a weird style. If he manages to land hard enough it's not crazy to think he could steal two rounds. He's also someone who can match Valter's size which could make things awkward for Walker.

For Petroski, well, it's your typical BJJ vs Wrestler fight, Andre can and should keep things standing at which point the fight could go anywhere. This will be Rodolfo's second fight since getting dropped by Brundage, someone who is very much a lesser version of Petroski everywhere, and it's also nearly a year since the last time we saw Vieira fight. Andre on the other hand has had 3 fights in that time, and while his last two were against very bad opposition, he fought smart and handled them with ease.

I think it's very possible he stuffs Rodolfo, makes him work and outhustles him in a shitty striking match. Rodolfo is more willing to throw out volume, but I'm betting on him not liking the power that comes back from Petroski's side and letting the fight get away from him. Imo the fight should be way closer than the odds suggest, so at +210 I'm taking Andre all day.

 

[PuertoRican]

Petroski and Mayes are two of the big dogs I could see pulling off upsets, Morales too but money has already came in on him.

Mayes has pretty bad IQ, which is a hang-up here, but Valter has already pulled off the unthinkable and gave Brzeski his only UFC win. That alone is enough to seriously consider someone like Don'Tale winning, he's not good, but he's willing to put stuff out there and has a weird style. If he manages to land hard enough it's not crazy to think he could steal two rounds. He's also someone who can match Valter's size which could make things awkward for Walker.

For Petroski, well, it's your typical BJJ vs Wrestler fight, Andre can and should keep things standing at which point the fight could go anywhere. This will be Rodolfo's second fight since getting dropped by Brundage, someone who is very much a lesser version of Petroski everywhere, and it's also nearly a year since the last time we saw Vieira fight. Andre on the other hand has had 3 fights in that time, and while his last two were against very bad opposition, he fought smart and handled them with ease.

I think it's very possible he stuffs Rodolfo, makes him work and outhustles him in a shitty striking match. Rodolfo is more willing to throw out volume, but I'm betting on him not liking the power that comes back from Petroski's side and letting the fight get away from him. Imo the fight should be way closer than the odds suggest, so at +210 I'm taking Andre all day.

Vieira is the better boxer with more output. Neither of them kick.

Petroski's only path is if he can take Vieira down and win via control time. If he fails at taking him down, then he might make himself tired in the process.

 

[Thesnake101]

Vieira is the better boxer with more output. Neither of them kick.

Petroski's only path is if he can take Vieira down and win via control time. If he fails at taking him down, then he might make himself tired in the process.

If Rodolfo hadn't gotten dropped by Cody, and tagged a lot before that, I'd agree. As it stands I think it's more likely that Andre employs a similar gameplan as he did vs GM3, strike for most of the round, hope you land some heavy shots and then try to burn the last minute off the clock with some ground control, though I don't know how likely it is that he pursues much grappling against Rodolfo.

Both are pretty basic strikers, and I do agree that offensively Rodolfo has better technique and does more, but Petroski's power is a great equalizer in this case and Vieira is there to be hit.

 

[ctelooming]

I feel like I have to place a small bet on Cannonier winning by tko/ko. Rodrigues was close to getting flatlined against Tavares not too long ago and Tavares can't bust a grape.

I know Cannonier is basically at the end of his career and has taken a lot of damage these last few fights, but Rodrgiues is there to be hit and Cannonier can still crack.

 

[Guld]

I put a sprinkle on Robocop by KO/TKO and another on Robocop by Sub.
I'm feeling like a Guillotine is coming.

 

[Domitian]

Don't really know too much about some of these fighters but I just read this thread and made some picks for small bets and were gonna see what happens.

Gregory 69 to win 30
Morales 20 to win 25
Mayes 10 to win 20.5
Delgado rd 3 6 to win 36
Kattar by decision 5 to win 35
Aguilar 5 to win 17.5
Petroski 10 to win 22.5

Probably going to circle back and put more on G Rod. I don't see how he loses this.

 

[Stat_Collector]

I put a sprinkle on Robocop by KO/TKO and another on Robocop by Sub.
I'm feeling like a Guillotine is coming.

i played both ko/sub for -135

 

[PuertoRican]

 

[Thesnake101]

Mayes ML (+205) and a stab at his KO line (+550). He already took a similar style fight in Hamdy to a close decision, mainly due to being stupid since he had the fight in the bag before the suicide throw fail, so at worst I'm expecting some sloppiness that leads to a split that could go either way.

Between the two I think he's the one who has the tools to sway the judges with damage over control, and if Valter has a chin as weak as Johnny's, the KO odds are a steal. Didn't go big since it's such a shitty fight though, but any green is good enough for me.

 

[Kazda1]

Is Angela Hill washed?

 

[austinblair]

Is Angela Hill washed?

Nope

 

[sonhow]

Is Angela Hill washed?

Losing a 50/50 dec to Ricci doesnt imply that just yet. If she were to get washed by Souza would be a bigger sign. Compared to Denise Gomes, Souza doesnt do anything that special imo. So losing to her would show that Angela clearly is on decline.