UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues

[Stat_Collector]

Taped Morales and co-signing this. The only way I can justify the line is if people think Elijah is Taylor Lapilus.

For me he's inexperienced, has faded badly a couple of times before and is facing a guy with great cardio who will be pushing hard all fight. Probably Smith will be a bit faster on the feet but he can't seem to stop his wrestling inscint.

Smith has a typical wrestler/boxer stance, i think he is so far from Taylor. His striking mechanics aren't there, he looks like a wrestler who is learning how to strike but hasn't really come into full form. He's young and quick as you said, the only benefit is that those guys improve leaps with every fight and can show massive improvement that pre tape doesn't show. But Morales is so combat tested, he'd have to really drop the ball here and forget everything he knows.

 

[DalchaLungiambula]

10U - Valter Walker -200

The tip went out earlier on our discord at -150, but this line may be headed for -250, so the decision has been made to ship the pick out NOW

Cashing this bet out!

While I do think Valter Walker wins, and I'll still bet him, I pride myself on only sending out high quality picks to the members, and unfortunately I can't say that this is it after thoroughly reviewing tape and my data set

 

[mkess101]

Barboza vs garcia screams violence

Zalal vs kattar screams decision (for zalal most likely)

Barboza/Garcia on the next card but yeah. It's aways violence with Garcia. Unless he fought maybe like Evloev who would lay on him for 15 minutes.

 

[DoctorTaco]

Cashing this bet out!

While I do think Valter Walker wins, and I'll still bet him, I pride myself on only sending out high quality picks to the members, and unfortunately I can't say that this is it after thoroughly reviewing tape and my data set

An AI I follow broke it down like this and gives valter a 59.1% chance of winning

 

[rille31]

View attachment 1082600

An AI I follow broke it down like this and gives valter a 59.1% chance of winning

So according to the AI model there is some value on mayes around +190

 

[Thesnake101]

Delgado/Ismael parlay locked in, should have a big advantage on the feet and the defensive wrestling to dictate the pace.

 

[Hellowhosthat]

View attachment 1082600

An AI I follow broke it down like this and gives valter a 59.1% chance of winning

I think it's higher than that. I feel Walker only needs to get one takedown a round as Mayes barely even tries to get up and I feel that I can rely on Walker to shoot.

 

[humperdoo]

View attachment 1082600

An AI I follow broke it down like this and gives valter a 59.1% chance of winning

May I know which AI is this?

Very interesting to see theres another AI to be used.