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UFC 319 underdog pick of the night

Lerone Murphy if you want to pick an underdog
Alex Hernandez at +255 is a good line if you want to max the money. Hooper has been beating old fighters (I think Miller and Guida are close to 40 yo), and Hernandez is very physical
 
He will probably get koed early but Elliot’s odds are tempting. He can make a fight ugly and if Kai can’t stop the takedown Tim will grind him out
 
I'm going with Elliott. Didn't love some of his answers at the presser but I'll still say he's got an okay chance to avoid the big KO shot and drag Kai down and make him grapple.
 
Lots of live dogs on this card it seems. Glad I am not the only one thinking that The Elder Tim Elliott has some old dog tricks left in him to teach that younger pup. I hope Elliott does not let me down like that old Pitbull has done. Also rooting for DDP.
 
Lerone Murphy if you want to pick an underdog
Alex Hernandez at +255 is a good line if you want to max the money. Hooper has been beating old fighters (I think Miller and Guida are close to 40 yo), and Hernandez is very physical
Koala on a 3 pick win streak I believe, it’s good to hear you’re sharing my pick for tonight.
 
Picking Murphy seems like a lay-up.

That's my pick but I'll make a secondary one in GM3.
 
Is Hernandez injured or something? Was thinking of a play but must be a reason why line moved to +320ish from +250.
 
ddp-israel-adesanya.gif
 
Is Hernandez injured or something? Was thinking of a play but must be a reason why line moved to +320ish from +250.
It might have to do with which site I got my odds. Or depending on when the lines were each number odds shifting that much across a full week isn’t uncommon. I doubt either person has a disclosed injury but possible.
 
Virtually every card there is a fighter who beats the odds. Which fighter do you think is most likely to this card?

Khamzat Chimaev (-260) vs. Dricus Du Plessis (+196) dog
• Aaron Pico (-184) vs. Lerone Murphy (+142) dog
• Carlos Prates (-265) vs. Geoff Neal (+200) dog
• Michael Page (-205) vs. Jared Cannonier (+158) dog
• Kai Asakura (-350) vs. Tim Elliott (+255) dog
• Michal Oleksiejczuk (-250) vs. Gerald Meerschaert (+190) dog
• Baysangur Susurkaev (-850) vs. Eric Nolan (+750) dog
• Loopy Godinez (-160) vs. Jessica Andrade (+124) dog
• Chase Hooper (-350) vs. Alexander Hernandez (+255) dog
• Edson Barboza (-146) vs. Drakkar Klose (+114) dog
• Karine Silva (-235) vs. Dione Barbosa (+180) dog
• Alibi Idiris (-450) vs. Joseph Morales (+375) dog

Hill lost for me this week bringing my picks to 14-13 over all. This coming card I’m going to go with Murphy

Tough night for the dogs with only 2 dogs winning. Shoutout to last weeks winners. @mkess101 @Koala @theincognito
Chris Elliot via sub
 
There are few dogs that I will think will win but the safest bet is IMO Lerone Murphy. I am surprised that Pico is favorite.

Honorable mentions : DDP, Neal , Andrade and Drakkar Klose.
 
Damn, didnt even realize Hernandez fight was so early. Only realized from midway first round. Got in less than half what I wanted but still a decent score.

Seemed the sprawl and brawl went well, but was worried something was up last night when pinny line went 250>+320 all of a sudden.

Had a lot on him when he beat Dariush too.
 
Hmm, some run good. Got to be on the right side of all them highlights.

Still annoyed I missed not properly updating position on the Hernandez fight.
 

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