UFC 217 - Bisping vs GSP - NYC

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I love Randy Brown at -120.

Brown fought Belal in his last fight someone who had a style that was a tough matchup for him. In Gall you have someone who he will have the standup & speed advantage on. In Gall’s fight with Sage he would panic wrestle, throw looping punches, and get caught pretty easy by Sage whenever they were in boxing distance. Brown has a huge reach for the weight, and actually has a clue on the ground (I believe he is a purple belt, and I have seen him look good in grappling matches) unlike Sage. Gall also doesn’t have a great gas tank in my opinion and hasn’t gone 3 rounds as a pro. Short of Gall latching onto Brown’s back and having the energy to finish from there I don’t see a path to victory.

This is honestly a 3-5 unit play for me. I’ll start medium and see how the line moves, but at almost a pickem how can you not bet Brown?
 
BatBoyJG said:
I love Randy Brown at -120.

Brown fought Belal in his last fight someone who had a style that was a tough matchup for him. In Gall you have someone who he will have the standup & speed advantage on. In Gall’s fight with Sage he would panic wrestle, throw looping punches, and get caught pretty easy by Sage whenever they were in boxing distance. Brown has a huge reach for the weight, and actually has a clue on the ground (I believe he is a purple belt, and I have seen him look good in grappling matches) unlike Sage. Gall also doesn’t have a great gas tank in my opinion and hasn’t gone 3 rounds as a pro. Short of Gall latching onto Brown’s back and having the energy to finish from there I don’t see a path to victory.

This is honestly a 3-5 unit play for me. I’ll start medium and see how the line moves, but at almost a pickem how can you not bet Brown?
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I'm surprised to see you going big on this. I have not been very impressed with Brown. From what I've seen of Gall's grappling, I think he's the better grappling for sure. I could definitely see Brown getting taken down here and a lot of the fight happening on the mat.
 
I think gall is the real deal. He’s a finisher and I think he subs Brown

Will be watching tape this week before I commit. Already made my plays for the big fights

Need Cody’s line to drop

Hit tj decision but I think Cody gets it done
 
Anyone like OSP? I’m not sure Corey’s chin can take a shot from him.
 
timmyclax22 said:
Anyone like OSP? I’m not sure Corey’s chin can take a shot from him.
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Line looks good. Going to watch some tape

Both guys are flakey but as you said Corey’s chin is bad and osp can crack. He should be able to hang with Corey wrestling and if the the fight stays standing he’ll likely catch him
 
Oleinik is the right side for me. I think value in the over too. Blades not as good as I remembered after tape. Both these guys are hittable. blaydes got great blast double when he's fresh. But it ain't over when he gets it there and guys end up getting up. He's ended up on bottom a few times too. With oleiniks sub threat and blaydes being relatively new to the game gotta think he can get caught by something he ain't seen before too.
 
Props coming. Took Harris itd a few times before the -200s. Also playing Not Blaydes itd at -105 and ill make that a 1-2u play for the fight if it stays around that area enough for me to add to get that amount on it
 
Anderson Dec +295
Vick dec +495 (small)
Rose ITD +760
Brown dec +341
 
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