LOL but you don't even know what you are betting against. GSP might show up, look good and take Bisping down all night, just like Kennedy did.
GSP is a former GOAT, you can't compare him to normal fighters that are coming off a long layoff, he's special fighter, he's only ever lost twice.
Bisping is older than GSP, considering retirement and he nearly lost to a 50 year old man, he is far from the best middleweight in the world.
GSP wanted this fight cause he thinks he can win, he didn't want Anderson, Weidman, Rockhold.
Being overly confident on either side of this fight is foolish, so many unknowns, you are going in blind.
I'm simply playing devils advocate, I think Bisping at +money is the right play but I wouldn't be confident.
It doesn't matter how smart he is, or how good he was in a completely different era. He's human like everyone else, and the layoff will affect him the same as it does everyone else. He's also clearly delusional. Doesn't matter that he only lost twice either, he's not the same guy. He was already not the same guy in the Hendricks fight (which he clearly lost).
Facts, not guesses:
- 36 years old, coming off a 4 year layoff
- Retired because he couldn't deal with the pressure and "personal issues"
- Was clearly on roids throughout his career (everyone knows)
- Several injuries, ACL surgeries etc
- Looks fat and slow, not a 185er
- Long-time mentor left him because he says he should've stayed retired and didn't like what he saw from him in sparring
- Blames CTE time loss on aliens
... that's just a few red flags
Say what you want about Bisping but he got the best win of his career at 37 years old. He has good takedown defence. He has endless cardio and great volume.
He's still a tough fight for a natural welterweight who mostly fought smaller guys throughout his entire career. He also said he could make 155. Bisping is a former 205er.
No disrespect my fren but Bisping is clearly a great bet at these odds, based on nothing but facts. Saying otherwise just because "GSP has only lost twice" and "Bisping got outwrestled pre USADA by huge 185ers who were on anabolic steroids" is not a sign of a top bettor.
It's OK to change your mind, I hope you do. This is easy money.