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UFC 207 - Nunes vs Rousey - Vegas

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I won't be surprised if Smolka was champ at some point. I would peg him as a fave over the whole division save MM. I think he should be the fave in this match up as well. I like Borg and he is good so I don't feel the need to fade him in any way. Smolka is faster and more tenacious. I will take Smolka at even money but not interested in paying juice as it will be close.
That's high praise of Smolka to favor him over everyone. I just don't see it, but we'll see starting this fight
 
I can't play Honda based on her mental state. However, looking at Nunes' past losses I am a bit concerned. Losses to Alexis Davis in 2011, Sarah D'Alello in 2013 and Cat Zingano in 2014.

Jeez none of these girls are that great and Honda would have destroyed them back in the day. Honda's fights are so volatile and hard to play for more than a couple units. This shit is unpredictable imo.
I think there's value in her ML. She's had a nice break from fighting and she'll be back stronger than ever imo. Nunes is the kind of fighter Ronda was tearing through before the Holm loss. Imagine getting her at -161 back then, you'd have put your entire BR on it.
 
Sounds more like he has one foot out the door and wants to eat X-mas turkey and get fat. I'll take the younger, more disciplined, and hungry fighter over the guy whose every pore screams at him to pull a Ricky Hatton.

evidence is stacked against what you're saying here, midgard.

(in regards to which fighter is hungrier)
 
that was quick, They've changed the cruz unan decision from +275 to +100. Insane drop
+100 makes sense, +275 was crazy huge value. Are you sure +275 wasn't an error?
 
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^^ idk about betvictor, but 5d has cruz dec -145.. and both guys dec -145, lol
 
So my GF wants me to "Invest" 50k via betting? She knows the risks. Gonna start her off this event.

Told her I'd try to double it in 5 months
 
I can't play Honda based on her mental state. However, looking at Nunes' past losses I am a bit concerned. Losses to Alexis Davis in 2011, Sarah D'Alello in 2013 and Cat Zingano in 2014.

Jeez none of these girls are that great and Honda would have destroyed them back in the day. Honda's fights are so volatile and hard to play for more than a couple units. This shit is unpredictable imo.
Meh I think this whole mental state thing is being overblown. She had a meltdown when she lost, yeah. But she's had a long while to get back into it. I'm sure she's hungry as ever to win
 
Meh I think this whole mental state thing is being overblown. She had a meltdown when she lost, yeah. But she's had a long while to get back into it. I'm sure she's hungry as ever to win

Yea. I'm pumping brakes a bit on Nunes. This is an Olympic athlete. If she is serious again. Could be bad for Nunes. Maybe wait for pre fight interviews and weigh ins

I do think Rousey is gonna get bet
 
Who remembers the barry challenge? @iGnP

We should rename it the SBJJ challenge and add some balls to it. 5u bets (since none of us are trying to ball as hard as SBJJ) on your fave play of the card, first to 50u is recognized as the most gangsta bettor there is
 
Keep in mind these would be Vegas bets.

ML and O/U only
 
+100 makes sense, +275 was crazy huge value. Are you sure +275 wasn't an error?

if you mean by error that i saw it wrong then no. If it was an error on their part i have no idea. But it was 3.75 for a while. Still relatively short since they changed it today back to +100 but yeah insane value. Unfortunately my account got closed there so i couldn't benefit from it.
 
I got 2u on Nunes at +150 about a month ago, assuming it would drop and she is currently +125 on Bovada. If it keeps dropping I hope to get a good price on Ronda sub or ITD to possibly hedge a bit. Will probably end up on the under as well.
 
Also saw Jouban butt raping Perry was the last straw for Robbie, huh? Wish he would of just kept to the fights and actually cared about helping others win instead of turning everything into a pissing contest. I really do think he has good insight, but never would share it with more than a post like "Jouban is garbage, his chin sucks, Perry punches hard". Oh well, his loss!
 
Also saw Jouban butt raping Perry was the last straw for Robbie, huh? Wish he would of just kept to the fights and actually cared about helping others win instead of turning everything into a pissing contest. I really do think he has good insight, but never would share it with more than a post like "Jouban is garbage, his chin sucks, Perry punches hard". Oh well, his loss!
The tone of this thread is so much better than the last one. The last one was a shit show :P
 
Meh I think this whole mental state thing is being overblown. She had a meltdown when she lost, yeah. But she's had a long while to get back into it. I'm sure she's hungry as ever to win

It could be. She has had losses in Judo in the past and has seemed to bounce back. However, if her head is into retiring and having babies and making movies then it spells trouble. Probably best to go with what SBJJ said and just pay attn to interviews leading up to the fight.

It just feels like Nunes has everything to gain and will be hungry as ever to beat the goat OTOH Honda is just back for another fight after her worst loss ever.
 
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