UFC 204 - Bisping vs Hendo II - England

[Joseph Budden]

took roberts for a couple units -135

considering U1.5 -110

Took that under at -140. Already -165

Keeping my eye on Diakiese and o1.5 for Santos vs Martins. They might get parlayed with each other or with Yuri or the o2.5 in that fight

 

[mkess101]

odds inc on ufc 204, rest of the prelims

hitting danny roberts -135 vs perry -105.

so fucking angry that a.martins is -350 vs leo santos, WTF. i was praying for evens. -350 fuckkkkk.

-280 now but still don't know how the hell anyone could consider Martins that steep. -200 mabye, MAYBE but I don't think I'd personally bet him worse than -160. Don't love Santos +200 either though. Just kind of...shrug. Gun to my head I'd rather make a small stab on Santos +200 than Martins -280 though.

 

[EzFlyer]

@EzFlyer wheres that pic of the odds you usually post ahead of time? Trying to be prepared for when they drop lol

sorry scrambling cause watching props too

 

[Joseph Budden]

Diakiese -230 now?!?! Nooooo

 

[SBJJ]

odds inc on ufc 204, rest of the prelims

hitting danny roberts -135 vs perry -105.

so fucking angry that a.martins is -350 vs leo santos, WTF. i was praying for evens. -350 fuckkkkk.

Why Roberts. I thought he looked incredibly vulnerable to a power puncher last fight.

 

[Brick Top]

This guys picks were good once upon a time but Jesus Christ they've been trash lately. MFer picked Vitor lol.

 

[Officer_Brown]

This guys picks were good once upon a time but Jesus Christ they've been trash lately. MFer picked Vitor lol.

At least he is not LucaDonkeyFury who always picks favorites. This dude knows few dogs will win every card so he made the Vitor pick. I agree with him Vitor can win this one.

 

[AxeMurderer]

I am betting bisping/hendo ITD. Much safer play IMO as I think bisping wins, but the H-Bomb is ALWAYS there. I seriously doubt this goes the distance so you get both options. -280 itd to -235 on bisping. i will take the -280 itd all day and feel safe that the H-Bomb doesnt ruin my night.

 

[Officer_Brown]

Damn fuck Martins line is so juiced. Thought the odds will be more even fuck. This card isn't good for betting

 

[Officer_Brown]

Anyone else think the big boys could go to a decision at I'm sure what will be big odds?

OSP/Manuwa
Struve/Omie

Both imo
Omielancuk doesn't pack enough power and speed to KO struve. Struve's chin sucks but he can survive this dude.
OSP Manuwa both tough. I see this going for dec also

 

[Brick Top]

I am betting bisping/hendo ITD. Much safer play IMO as I think bisping wins, but the H-Bomb is ALWAYS there. I seriously doubt this goes the distance so you get both options. -280 itd to -235 on bisping. i will take the -280 itd all day and feel safe that the H-Bomb doesnt ruin my night.

I have 10 units on ITD @ -200. Still in two minds whether to hedge it with Bisping dec (best I can get is +400 right now) for guaranteed profit or let it ride

 

[AxeMurderer]

I have 10 units on ITD @ -200. Still in two minds whether to hedge it with Bisping dec (best I can get is +400 right now) for guaranteed profit or let it ride

Hedging is for pussies just kidding. I just dont see how 99 year old hendo could last 5 rounds with bisping. Bisping is very active and can go all day. If hendo doesnt ko him I think bisping will eventually finish dan. But I dont blame you one bit if you hedge, some of these "sure thing" fights have been brutal.

 

[Brick Top]

Hedging is for pussies just kidding. I just dont see how 99 year old hendo could last 5 rounds with bisping. Bisping is very active and can go all day. If hendo doesnt ko him I think bisping will eventually finish dan. But I dont blame you one bit if you hedge, some of these "sure thing" fights have been brutal.

I never hedge but this is an obvious one where it's 100% without a doubt free money

 

[TheDawg]

Can Omielanczuk KO Struve? Probably not. His last KO was against 3-1 guy. Don't think he can sub or KO Struve. I'm kinda big on Stefan here. Omialnxuk is terrible.

Plus Danny O has bad cardio and he's taking this on 2 weeks notice

 

[TheDawg]

LOL @ -350 for Martins. Santos all day at those odds.

Yeah I wanted Santos but fuck that price

 

[TheDawg]

This guys picks were good once upon a time but Jesus Christ they've been trash lately. MFer picked Vitor lol.

He's probably joking

 

[Brick Top]

He's probably joking

What's funny about picking Vitor? He didn't even provide reasoning.

 

[TheDawg]

What's funny about picking Vitor? He didn't even provide reasoning.

I think it's funny to pick Vitor, he's the most likely fighter to lose on the card IMO.

The guy was very caviler when he said it so I think he was joking but who cares what some guy on youtube thinks. He also constantly gets facts wrong when breaking down fights but he's still better than most ufc predictions youtube people. Bookie Beatdown is the only show I like listening to when it comes to predictions/betting.

Oh and I can't forget my man Lou from Gamblou.com, always appreciate his expert analysis, high level capper.

 

[RyuDave]

If you don't think Edwards grappling has improved, then you are completely biased. I know you are new to this sport, but when guys make improvements to their game you see it in their fights. Watch edwards take waters back in the transitions and if you can't see the improvements in his skills then you are blind.

One thing you need to learn is that putting juiced favorites in parlays is a terrible idea, I have watched you do it for months, one thing you said a few months ago "I don't make parlays that don't pay out better thank +100" made me laugh out loud. Parlays are the exact same thing as a straight bet, they are just chained together. The term "parlay fodder" is used by someone who is green. When you are betting thousands of dollars on juiced faves, I don't think you have ANY idea how many units could be riding on a juiced fave in the final leg of a parlay. It's not "parlay fodder", in the end leg of these parlays you have SO MUCH riding on a juiced line, it actually exposes you more than if you were betting them at moderate sizes straight.

For someone who didn't know who Will Brooks is, you should learn more about mma gambling and basic theory before acting so cocky.

Oh I think you'll find he's doing just fine without your expert help, probably better telling someone who cares what you think.

 

[MacPherson911]

This guys picks were good once upon a time but Jesus Christ they've been trash lately. MFer picked Vitor lol.

I love this dude big time but I think he's been hitting the ganja just a leeeeeetle bit too hard the past few fights. Here he picks both Santos and, inexplicably, Vitor. At least he justifies his Belfort pick by explaining that his brain simply can't process picking against Vitor. I get that, I'm the same way with the Seahawks. I can't possibly bet them objectively. But he does seem to be phoning these in the past few weeks. Still he's my fave of the youtube fight betting analysts because he's the only on who seems like a person i'd hang with in real life and not an MRA douche.