The War Room Bet Thread V5

Best bet(s) settled in the last bet thread (see closed bets section in post 3)

  • Bet 16 HUNTERMANIA v. Lead

    Votes: 2 33.3%

  • Bet 21 oleDirtyBast4rd v. HomerThompson

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Bet 24 Lead v. HomerThompson

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Bet 25 waiguoren v. HomerThompson

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Bet 28 IGIT v. HomerThompson

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Bet 36 Trosky v. waiguoren

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Bet 40 PolarBearPaulVarelans v. waiguoren

    Votes: 1 16.7%

  • Bet 42 HereticBD v. waiguoren

    Votes: 3 50.0%

  • Bet 46 Jack V Savage v. Rockapotomuss

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Bet 38 ObamaPhoneLady v. VivaRevolution

    Votes: 1 16.7%
  • Total voters
    6
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HereticBD said:
Again, is that why I was tagging Lead to get it done from the very start, and you never once signed off until the very end, when you were all out of bullshit? I asked you how many times if you were good to go? LOL.
Click to expand...

I was trying to get past your bullshit. Look at the quotes you left out:

Sure. Actual election results, when they're in, though. If Trump tries to overturn it or whatever, that's irrelevant.
Click to expand...

Waiting to January IMO adds a second bet on whether American democracy survives. I'm willing to do that if we make it count as a second bet (@Lead). That is:

1. Biden will win the election, three-month sig.
2. If Biden wins the election, he will actually be allowed to take office, one-month sig.
Click to expand...

I think it's simple, too, but you keep complicating it. It's an election. We're betting on who wins it. Just want to clarify that Trump trying to steal it doesn't change the outcome of our bet. Normally an election bet would be settled on the day after the election. This might take a little longer because of the mail situation. But when that's resolved, that should be the end of it. If Trump screams, "no fair, there was a conspiracy" or something, that shouldn't affect our bet.
Click to expand...

Etc.

HereticBD said:
Nice logic there, Jackie. You can't help yourself though. You've got a complex, and are addicted to lying. I'm not mad at you, though. I just feel sorry for you, and hope that one day you get the help you need.
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Except you can't post a single example of me lying. You just throw out the accusation when you are proved wrong. And what about your lie about the bet I offered being "vague"? "One number will be higher than another number" is as unvague as it gets, is it not? You just don't want to either admit that Trump will get stomped or bet against him getting stomped.
 
I mean, I'm not an outdoorsy type, and I've never seen either a badger or a bear trap IRL, but I imagjne they get pretty vicious if they get caught in them...
 
Jack V Savage said:
I was trying to get past your bullshit. Look at the quotes you left out:
Click to expand...

And?

The very first post you quoted, is me putting your ridiculous fears to rest over Trump not conceding. Even after I clarified that it would not be an issue, you still tried to sell it like it was in the last post you quoted. LOL! Fail. The alternative bet you offered, is completely irrelevant. You wanted to add an extra layer to the bet and make another bet, and I said no, because the original bet was simple enough.

My posts speak for themselves. Not only was I the one aggressively trying to get you to sign off on the bet the whole time, I also made every concession imaginable to whatever pathetic garbage you brought up(like if Trump becomes a dictator, LOL), and I offered you the same bet months earlier, and you wouldn't take it. I also made the exact same bet with someone else prior to you. Yet, according to your brilliant logic, I was trying to avoid it. Yeah, you're not insane or anything...
 
irish_thug said:
I'm going to need the background on this one.
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Probably not as great as I make it out to be but it was an analogy of infighting in the Democratic Party between progressives and the more moderate side:

Jack V Savage said:
It's like we're all lost in the woods and we find some water and kill some rabbits to eat, and the Berniebots are like, "I want Pepsi and bacon" and then shit in the water supply and on the rabbits. Then they accuse you of hiding the Pepsi and bacon.
Click to expand...
 
Lead said:
Probably not as great as I make it out to be but it was an analogy of infighting in the Democratic Party between progressives and the more moderate side:
Click to expand...
That's pretty fucking funny tbh
 
Lead said:
Probably not as great as I make it out to be but it was an analogy of infighting in the Democratic Party between progressives and the more moderate side:
Click to expand...

@Jack V Savage I would love to like (most likely re-like) that old post of yours @Lead has quoted here criticizing the left's tendencies to drift into CT territory, yet for some reason I cannot.

I smell a conspiracy
 
I had literal just Pepsi and bacon for dinner one night last week, but didn't think about its significance at the time.

I'm interested in some kind of bet regarding mail-in voting. Anybody have any coin-flippy fun propositions in mind? Or a starting place to figure one out?
 
Fawlty Elizabeth said:
I had literal just Pepsi and bacon for dinner one night last week, but didn't think about its significance at the time.

I'm interested in some kind of bet regarding mail-in voting. Anybody have any coin-flippy fun propositions in mind? Or a starting place to figure one out?
Click to expand...

Number of states flipped by mail-in voting (i.e. where would the outcome be different for "offline" votes only).
 
Fawlty Elizabeth said:
I had literal just Pepsi and bacon for dinner one night last week, but didn't think about its significance at the time.

I'm interested in some kind of bet regarding mail-in voting. Anybody have any coin-flippy fun propositions in mind? Or a starting place to figure one out?
Click to expand...

I respect the approach (looking for a fair bet from your perspective), but I don't share it. I like to look for bets where both parties think that they're very likely to win because of some fundamental difference in thinking. Like how I believe in trying to predict elections by looking at evidence, and right now it's looking like Biden's odds are around 70%-80%, but @HereticBD seems to believe that if you wish hard enough, the universe cannot deny you so he thinks Trump's chances are 100%. Wai thought that he had a method that would work better than polls.

Theoretically, that type of bet should at least cause one party to re-evaluate things, though more often, people react like wai (who figured that his loss meant that the election was stolen or something). At least it's in the record for anyone else to see, though.
 
Jack V Savage said:
I respect the approach (looking for a fair bet from your perspective), but I don't share it. I like to look for bets where both parties think that they're very likely to win because of some fundamental difference in thinking. Like how I believe in trying to predict elections by looking at evidence, and right now it's looking like Biden's odds are around 70%-80%, but @HereticBD seems to believe that if you wish hard enough, the universe cannot deny you so he thinks Trump's chances are 100%. Wai thought that he had a method that would work better than polls.

Theoretically, that type of bet should at least cause one party to re-evaluate things, though more often, people react like wai (who figured that his loss meant that the election was stolen or something). At least it's in the record for anyone else to see, though.
Click to expand...
That's a good thing too, I just like action and preferably swingy or odd proposals for funsies.
 
Okay here's a proposition:

We will (or will not) know the winner of the presidential election before 12am Nov 4th.

May be able to pin down some terms that work, and I think this one might actually be close to 50/50.
 
Fawlty Elizabeth said:
Okay here's a proposition:

We will (or will not) know the winner of the presidential election before 12am Nov 4th.

May be able to pin down some terms that work, and I think this one might actually be close to 50/50.
Click to expand...

What are you predicting?
 
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