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I agree with your analysis. I'll give Jon some intangibles over GSP though. Stuff like killer instinct. I kind of want to give Jon fight IQ also. I do feel like GSP does know what to do, but he has gotten so conservative lately so he doesn't. GSP usually makes the right move defensively to keep himself out of trouble, but he doesn't use it on the offensive end that much anymore. Jon hasn't really tasted a real loss so that may be the difference between them.
With both of these guys your basically splitting hairs.
Good analysis, IMO.