Official UFC 191 Betting Thread - Post Your Bets!

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wack3d said:
i might be way off but i love the line on pearson.. he got better hands and i dont see felder finishing pearson unless he lands some crazy spinning crap. i love watching felder fight but i do feel he is a bit overated. still need to watch more tape but ya will most likely place a decent sized bet on pearson.
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Was going to b/d further on felder/ross but the regulars mentioned it well enough pretty much the same thoughts on felder I think he is a great solid fighter and the rightful favourite but ross is a pretty good point scorer with his jabs and boxing he could still snatch a close decision here, against barboza we saw felder getting out gunned most of the fight. Pearson's footwork, speed and keeping his chin tucked may give him a good chance more so if felder attempts to time a heavy shot the whole fight.

I think felder ko, pearson decision.

 
rille31 said:
They propably just want to screw us, no point in giving out better lines if they dont need to
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Maybe it has to do with at what percentage the $ is coming in on each line and who they think will win?

If they currently are receiving bets at around 41% on Gegard and 59% Uriah, then they will roughly break even on payout of bets and collect risk free profit on the juice at -400 Gegard and +280 Uriah, if Uriah Wins.

If Gegard wins, they collect profit payout of bets as well as the juice charged. It is as if they see Gegard winning so they have set the lines in regards to the current % split of bets coming in so that they collect risk free juice if Uriah wins but collect juice and profit on bets payout if Gegard wins.
 
Anyone thinking of betting Trator is crazy. Wouldn't put money on him against anyone. Dude is a flake, zero fight IQ, and not even that skillful.
 
waiguoren said:
What are your thoughts on the Johnson/Manuwa fight?
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I think both are going to come out blazing in the first round esp AJ. Both have a tendency to bring it on heavy in the opening round. Think AJ comes out with a KO midway through the first. Sorry this was no MMAGF breakdown but just my thoughts. Anybody else agree?
 
Ukram said:
Was going to b/d further on felder/ross but the regulars mentioned it well enough pretty much the same thoughts on felder I think he is a great solid fighter and the rightful favourite but ross is a pretty good point scorer with his jabs and boxing he could still snatch a close decision here, against barboza we saw felder getting out gunned most of the fight. Pearson's footwork, speed and keeping his chin tucked may give him a good chance more so if felder attempts to time a heavy shot the whole fight.

I think felder ko, pearson decision.



its tempting to not go big on the firm favourites ! Did not do so well last event so may do some parlay plays with heavy favourites and some props.
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I like that Felder + AJ + MM parlay, I am somewhat concerned since Pearson has good boxing but I think I may lay a couple units on that and small hedge with Pearson KO.
 
"Going to go for the KO in the first or second round"

 
Media call today at 5pm EST

 
Ukram said:
Was going to b/d further on felder/ross but the regulars mentioned it well enough pretty much the same thoughts on felder I think he is a great solid fighter and the rightful favourite but ross is a pretty good point scorer with his jabs and boxing he could still snatch a close decision here, against barboza we saw felder getting out gunned most of the fight. Pearson's footwork, speed and keeping his chin tucked may give him a good chance more so if felder attempts to time a heavy shot the whole fight.

I think felder ko, pearson decision.



its tempting to not go big on the firm favourites ! Did not do so well last event so may do some parlay plays with heavy favourites and some props.
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I watched Felder's three UFC fights and the Saggo fight you can disregard as its basically a grappling affair albeit Saggo did hurt Felder with a knee right at the end. He chopped Castillo down but mainly with leg kicks i was pleased to see in the Barboza fight he used his hands more and mixed his full arsenal in. Yes he lost but it was pretty close and this Barboza is a better fighter than the one Ross nearly beat 4 years ago. Ross has hit his ceiling IMO he isnt improving as we saw against Dunham. His biggest career win is over a badly faded Maynard beating Felder would be the biggest win of his career. Ross's chin is a big concern for me Cole Miller badly hurt him which allowed him to sub him and Cub and Al both sparked him. Felder has something to prove and i think he will come out and find that dodgy chin. I will lb in case as Pearsin does have good hands and he could win a decision but recent wins over badly faded fighters in Stout and Maynard alongside recent losses to Al and Dunham make me think Ross's time is coming to an end. Being wrestlefucked by Dunham shows a major lack of improvement.
 
Ps Ross always takes a round to find his range so id recommend lb Ross second round onwards if hes still conscious.
 
HuntoGoato said:
I like that Felder + AJ + MM parlay, I am somewhat concerned since Pearson has good boxing but I think I may lay a couple units on that and small hedge with Pearson KO.
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IMO i think Pearson decision is more likely to hit.
 
HuntoGoato said:
I like that Felder + AJ + MM parlay, I am somewhat concerned since Pearson has good boxing but I think I may lay a couple units on that and small hedge with Pearson KO.
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Yeah can be confident with AJ+MM I think felder excels his striking against guys that are more thicker and slower his timing and power excels more naturally guys with good footwork and pitter patter point scoring may prove difficult having said that guys that dance and avoid can look bad ie against sanchez, barboza strikes were more significant where as pearson's style may not be he tends to hold back full power to avoid getting ko himself usually.

Card said:
"Going to go for the KO in the first or second round"
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Another pay slip for Dodson, no way is he the fastest that is reserved for MM and as for the ko in r1-2, MM has a good chin and recovery and just does everything right and if you believe rogan he is the best mma fighter on the planet lol
 
Bellator Fighting Money Line Total Points
Bellator 141 - Lightweight 3 rounds - Pechanga Resort & Casino - Temecula, California - Spike TV
Fri 8/28 3001 Brandon Girtz +200 o1
 
cberasi said:
Rashad may be 1 fight away from a title fight as well. If him and Cormier both win on Oct. 2 they very well may make that the next title fight at LHW.
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No way Shad gets a shot so easy. He has been looking horrible in his last fights (I still have nightmares because of his loss against Lil Nog - thats where I lost any faith in Suga) and then the layoff. Just no way.

I see him getting Glover should he win. Both coming off of wins after layoffs.

If he's out of luck he might get AJ and after that fight he wont be coming back into that octagon no more. Johnson would steal what's left of his soul like Shang Tsung
 
priderulez said:
Johnson would steal what's left of his soul like Shang Tsung
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Mk2_arc_cage_otomix.png
 
priderulez said:
No way Shad gets a shot so easy. He has been looking horrible in his last fights (I still have nightmares because of his loss against Lil Nog - thats where I lost any faith in Suga) and then the layoff. Just no way.

I see him getting Glover should he win. Both coming off of wins after layoffs.

If he's out of luck he might get AJ and after that fight he wont be coming back into that octagon no more. Johnson would steal what's left of his soul like Shang Tsung
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No way Rashad would fight AJ. Friends and training partners for years.
 
Bet a small amount on Girtz, because I think Guillard has really a multitude of ways he can lose, and even before his UFC release, was always a guy I looked at as being just so easily beatable, whether by KO/TKO due to his weak chin, or by Sub due to his terribad jits, or even decision due to his really understated passivity... Don't know a lot about Girtz, but I'll still play him because it really brings me great pleasure to not only see Guillard lose, but to also know that I made some cash while it happened.

And lol @ Justin Wren -600 after not having fought for 5 years. Seriously just cannot believe that they're still booking Josh Burns for fights. Bellator gonna Bellator...
 
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