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Official UFC 191 Betting Thread - Post Your Bets!

Discussion in 'UFC Discussion' started by Oblivian, Aug 25, 2015.

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  1. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    Same drill as always - post bets, discuss bets/matchups, and other sports in spoilers.

    I don't like this card at all for betting.

    Singles
    Malegerie: $3.75 to win $2.88
    Dodson: $2.50 to win $10
    Manuwa: $2.50 to win $10
    Pearson: $2.50 to win $7.50
    Pennington: $2.50 to win $5.38
    Guillard/Girtz under 1.5: $2.50 to win $2.63 Loss
    Burns: $1.25 to win $5.31 Loss
    AJ Matthews: $1.25 to win $2.63 $3.88
    Primus: $1.25 to win $1.81 $3.06

    Risk of $20

    Parlays
    California (LLWS over Kentucky) + Japan (LLWS over Venezuela) + Field over Spieth (Barclays) + PVZ: $5 to win $3.59
    Coenen + Butler/Hood under 1.5: $5 to win $.84 $5.84
    Field over Rory (Deutsche) + Stallings: $3.75 to win $3.09
    California (LLWS over Texas) + Girtz/Guillard under 1.5: $2.50 to win $3.47 Loss
    Field over Stenson (Deutsche) + Lineker: $2.50 to win $2.50
    Field over Spieth (Deutsche) + Collard/Trator starts 2: $2.50 to win $1.93
    Penn over Texas (LLWS) + Field over Stenson (Barclays) + Johnson/Manuwa ITD: $2.50 to win $1.73
    Japan (LLWS over Mexico) + Field over Watson (Barclays) + Mir/Arlovski ITD: $2.50 to win $1.69
    Field over Day (Deutsche) + PVZ + Dodson/MM over 3 rounds: $2.50 to win $1.37
    Pennsylvania (over Japan LLWS) + Field over Day (Barclays) + Mir/Arlovski ITD: $1.25 to win $2.92 Loss
    Patricky + Banks: $1.25 to win $1.56 $2.81
    Araujo + Penn over Texas (LLWS): $1.25 to win $1.53 Loss

    Risk of $32.50

    TOTAL RISK OF $52.50

    TOTALS FOR 2015: Initial Risk was $95, Running total is $135.90 Running Profit: $40.90 Approximate ROI for year 1.2682%)
    TOTALS FOR 2014: Initial Risk was $127.50 Running Total is $148.35 Running Profit = $20.85 (Approximate ROI for year 0.74%)
    TOTALS FOR 2013: Initial Risk was $232.50, Running total is $583.75 Running Profit = $351.25 (Approximate ROI for year: 9.34%)
    TOTALS FOR 2012: Initial Risk was $275, Running Total is $1030.18 Running Profit = $755.18 (Approximate ROI for year: 15.56%)
    TOTALS FOR 2011: Initial Risk was $44, Running Total $1271.39 Running Profit = $1227.39 (Approximate ROI for year: 27%)
    TOTALS FOR 2010: Initial Risk was $29, Running Total $225.92 Running Profit = $196.92 (Approximate ROI for year: 13%)
    GRAND TOTAL FOR 2010 THROUGH 2014: $29 into $2596.43 Total Profit = $2567.43 (Approximate ROI: 12.8067%)
     
    Last edited: Sep 5, 2015
  2. Kowboy Karl Black Belt

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    I'm total opposite
     
  3. Oblivian Aging Platinum Member

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    I'm not pumped on the event at all for betting. Everything seems dog or pass.
     
  4. Bels89 Blue Belt

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    I don't see any one of those underdogs winning. Mighty Mouse has only gotten better, Manuwa is like a poor mans rumble and felder is going to pick pearson apart - boxing isn't going to cut it against felder. Pearson does have the best chance out of the 3 IMO.
     
  5. Turtleguard Brown Belt

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    Dodson looked kinda poopy in his last fight and I thought he might have lost. Maybe he underperformed or was hurt. +400 seems pretty good to me, anyone else?
     
  6. BROWNPRIDE Red Belt

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    horrible picks
     
  7. OneWarrior1 Brown Belt

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    There, there
     
  8. BobsyaUncle Brown Belt

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    They are bets not picks.
     
  9. iGnP Silver Belt

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    There's gotta be value in Dodson by tko. I can't see what else you could bet in that fight
     
  10. SalvadorAllende Interim Belt

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    Im already 2 units on Jan B and 2 in Francisco Rivera. I loved both!

    Agree with MM odds. No bet for me but I think he beats Dodson easier this time.
     
  11. iGnP Silver Belt

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    Why do you love a bet on Jan b?
     
  12. jwms Blue Belt

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    Agreed. I'm big on Rivera and medium on Jan B.
     
  13. Bet Me Guest

    Felder + Rumble + PVZ + AA + MM

    5 fighter parlay for $50, possibly more.
     
  14. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    As far as the Jan and Rivera fights. I'm on Rivera but liking Anderson at + odds. Will likely play him if they get a little better
     
  15. Timurd123 Andy Hug Belt

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    Masvidal vs. Stun Gun on the Korea card

    Im gonna be on Masvidal, probably at dog odds and his decision line im hoping will be over +300, he has great footwork, great balance and tdd, and above all I think Dong comes out wild, hes fighting at home, no way hes gonna want to lnp his way to a decision , and if he doesnt I think Masvidal edges him here
     
  16. OneWarrior1 Brown Belt

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    For those with BBM and want to discuss strategy on mobile devices and take advantage of live betting opportunities. You can download BBM on Android and iPhone. Just scan the barcode to join.

    [​IMG]
     
  17. HuntoGoato Banned Banned

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    If I make this parlay on betonline for $5, I win $10.43. It is a solid parlay, only worry is AA and maybe MM getting clipped.
     
  18. MMA Goodfella #Engaged + a Joe-Jitsu Piano Belt Capper

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    My God I cannot wait until October 3! This card is amazing and the bottom six flights could make a UFC fight night event in and of itself.


    Daniel Cormier vs. Alexander Gustafsson
    for light heavyweight title
    Johny Hendricks vs. Tyron Woodley
    Ryan Bader vs. Rashad Evans
    Shawn Jordan vs. Ruslan Magomedov
    Jessica Eye vs. Julianna Pena
    Ali Bagautinov vs. Joseph Benavidez
    Daniel Hooker vs. Yair Rodriguez
    Angela Hill vs. Rose Namajunas
    Alan Jouban vs. Albert Tumenov
    Chris Cariaso vs. Sergio Pettis
    Derrick Lewis vs. Viktor Pesta
     
  19. zomb No soap for you Platinum Member

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    lol fuck, I've bet 2u on Anderson when I was supposed to bet on Jan B. just noticed
     
  20. Jae Gibbz Black Belt

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    If it makes you feel any better, I think it's a close fight and will probably back Anderson at slightly better odds. Also, you can always buy out of your bet, but at worse odds
     
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