Official UFC 173 Betting Thread - Post Your Bets!

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So far for Bellator 120:

1u Guerrero at +225
1u Lawal by decision at +368
2u Chandler/Brooks under 2.5 rounds at -120
1u Ortiz/Shlemenko over 1.5 rounds at -160


Got some parlays going as well. I have a feeling we're gonna see some crazy upsets on this card, in regular Bellator fashion. I just wanted a little action to hold me off until UFC 173.
 
NBA WEDNESDAY

im liking brooklyn at +7 tonight. they are down 3-1 and as in desperation mode while miami might take it a bit easy since they have a commanding hold of the series. i wouldnt be surprised if the nets come out flat but i think aging stars like pierce and garnett dont go out without a fight. conversely, i dont like the trailblazers tonight in a game similar to the heat-nets because of the big difference in bench play and due to how much the spurs value added rest time. i think the spurs get the job done tonight. actually going to parlay the two plays together

Brooklyn +7 + SA ML @+139 for 1u

good luck, everyone
 
Anyone that have done any reaserach on Ricky Rainey? Michael Page have "only" crushed cans from what I can see, sure he did look impressive but really unproven imo and are still -500.
 
Mga223 said:
In Australia unless you are at a tab you must phone up to live bet. It's the stupidest sh*t ever and costs me money cause I don't hedge or miss out on the good odds.

So tempted to sign up to bookmaker.
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Yeah it's pretty stupid hey? And I think there's a minimum bet of like $20 for that sort of thing as well, $20 is a pretty big bet for me.

FWIW I usually do 10-12 leg parlay bets in MMA going over several cards, trying to pick my certainties, usually doesn't profit heaps but keeps me interested. For 173 I've got Cormier and Barao, the first 4 legs were Soa Palelei from last week and Broner, Khan and Floyd from the PPV the other week.
 
F ME, i hate how random the prop releases are. would've hit tito DEC +1150.. it's now +600. sigh.

i am hitting NOT volkov ITD +145.. 1.45u. also 0.2u on rainey DEC +1000.

considering the NOT shlemenko ITD -120..
 
how could you consider not shlemenko itd?

how does this end any other way than shlemenko body shot KO?
 
it very well could happen, but 50% of the time? idk
 
conmemay said:
man im glad to see you on Mo in this fight. Reading about how bad he has looked after his staph infection worried me. If he box way outside and clinch on the inside and wrestle, he can take this fight.
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Yea, I think Mo can beat Rampage the exact same way Bader did, with forward pressure, a lot of clinch work, and sprinkle in td's. Indeed, Rampage was injured (allegedly) for the Bader fight which may have contributed to his performance, but keep in mind that Mo is 5 x the fighter Badr is IMO especially considering the wrestling. Additionally,while the Bader fight may have been due to injury, in his Bellator debut Joey Beltran was having similar success until getting caught. It isn't as if we're taking Mo at EVENS, but instead we're getting +215.



EzFlyer said:
yea, i'm in same boat. i normally keep approx 40 units available in bookmaker for it, and it's just freakin wasted. rather put my $ to work elsewhere. going to do some big cashouts. if they get back to the better LB'ing, i'll load back up. i'll still leave $ in there, but not nearly as much.

and about freakin time you get to 5d :P
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lol yea, after seeing all the props 5d has plus their lb'ing I was soooooo jealous of you guys last week. :icon_neut

MMABetting said:
You make it sound like Tito has a good chance of winning this fight, but you fail to mention the following facts in your breakdown:

1. Tito is 39 years old.
2. Tito hasn't fought in almost 2 years.
3. Tito has won 1 fight in the last 8 years.
4. Tito has been plagued by injuries throughout his career.
5. Tito is fighting a guy 10 years younger than him, who is on a 13 fight winning streak.

Tito is my favourite fighter of all time, but I'm not naive enough to talk myself into thinking he has a legitimate chance of winning this fight.

Age, ring rust and lingering injuries are no joke. If Tito wins it'll be a miracle.

You have to favour the younger, healthier fighter in this match up, no matter how good the odds are on Tito.
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You're starting from the POV that Tito is +100 or so; I said I would play him at +300 meaning I do think Alex wins only that I see value on Tito at those odds.

Sure, Alex is on a 13 fight win streak, but who has he beat?

Would he be on that streak had he fought even 3 of Tito's last 7 opponents? Would he have won even won 8 of 13 had he fought Titos last bakers dozen? Forrest, Bader, Machida, Evans, Lil Nog, and Hammill? What's his record coming out of here? 2-4? 3-3 at best?
 
5/15
Took an absolute drubbing today (5/14) b/c -900 Federer lost. Ww! Gotta cash tom. Right?

______________

Soccer:
Belguim- anderlecht under 3.. 62-50
German- hamburg under 2.5/3..62-50
Russia-Cska Moscow 60-50
Russia- Anzhi 60-50
Swiss- Basel 90-50
Swiss-grasshoppers 70-50

ATP:
Nadal -5.5..60-50
Tsonga over 23.5..60-50
Wawrinka/Murray/Novak 100-69
Gulbis +3.5.. 55-50
Dimitrov 40-42

WTA:
Li/radwanska 100-86
Ivanovic +4.5.. 57-50
Radwanska/Errani 100-61
 
MMA Goodfella said:
5/15
Took an absolute drubbing today (5/14) b/c -900 Federer lost. Ww! Gotta cash tom. Right?

______________

Soccer:
Belguim- anderlecht under 3.. 62-50
German- hamburg under 2.5/3..62-50
Russia-Cska Moscow 60-50
Russia- Anzhi 60-50
Swiss- Basel 90-50
Swiss-grasshoppers 70-50

ATP:
Nadal -5.5..60-50
Tsonga over 23.5..60-50
Wawrinka/Murray/Novak 100-69
Gulbis +3.5.. 55-50
Dimitrov 40-42

WTA:
Li/radwanska 100-86
Ivanovic +4.5.. 57-50
Radwanska/Errani 100-61
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Thanks for the plays. Indee some bad beats yesterday. I'm playing Tsonga ML and where are you getting +4.5 for the Ivanovic game? its set at +4 in 5d
 
JimGunn said:
Just to be pedantic, it's true that Bookmaker's live betting lines are not active as much as they used to be during fights. But it's not exactly accurate to say that they were only offered between rounds either during the last few months.

They usually get frozen and unfrozen a few times during rounds for brief periods and mostly available much longer between rounds. They often were also available after the last round ended for point spread and pick the winner bets.

It's certainly not perfect, but Bookmaker and 5Dimes are the only two options we have. So as limited as it is I would be distraught if it went away.
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Yea, but I'm just bitching b/c BM used to be the gold standard for livebetting, and while they're still the preeminent sports book for livebets, it is a far cry from the in-play model they used for years before tightening the noose on their configuration. What's more, I can almost pinpoint the time and date that it all changed; on one of the fights a few months back (I'd have to check to see which one) the lines were left open after the fight had already ended and ever since that day they have closed lines during rounds. They do occasionally open lines during the in-play but regardless it is still better than nothing.

MMABetting said:
Hey man,

Someone hacked my website pretty bad in the run up to UFC 172 and it was down for about a week because they kept doing it.

Everything should be fixed now though and hopefully they can't do the same again!

:icon_chee
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wQpR1.gif


EzFlyer said:
omg, guerreiro is +550, are you shitting me!?
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That. Is. Insanity!

Subli said:
Thanks for the plays. Indee some bad beats yesterday. I'm playing Tsonga ML and where are you getting +4.5 for the Ivanovic game? its set at +4 in 5d
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BM

iva_zps21151e57.jpg
 
UFC 175 adds Urijah Faber vs. Alex Caceres to star-studded lineup


Faber -800 :wink:
 
I've made a lot of $ on caceres.

...That said, hes in over his head here. Think urijah stops him, choke being most likely
 
Not getting this love for Tito at all either as a pick or because of value.

So if your betting Tito @ +385 you think that Tito would win this fight more than 2 times out of 10. I think your being a bit generous here guys.

Tito is old , injured and hasn't been active in a couple of years we have no idea about his motivation at the moment. I would hazard a guess that the fighter 10 years younger holding the title is much more motivated .

Those who say "Well who has Shlemenko Beat? you are right his resume does lack a lot of wins over "Name" guys which is why I think Shlmenko called him out in the first place. Even though a win over a 2014 Tito Ortiz isn't that great it is still a mma legends name on your resume.
 
ninjadeathcult said:
Not getting this love for Tito at all either as a pick or because of value.

So if your betting Tito @ +385 you think that Tito would win this fight more than 2 times out of 10. I think your being a bit generous here guys.

Tito is old , injured and hasn't been active in a couple of years we have no idea about his motivation at the moment. I would hazard a guess that the fighter 10 years younger holding the title is much more motivated .

Those who say "Well who has Shlemenko Beat? you are right his resume does lack a lot of wins over "Name" guys which is why I think Shlmenko called him out in the first place. Even though a win over a 2014 Tito Ortiz isn't that great it is still a mma legends name on your resume.
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Ya I would have to agree with that, I think Tito gets smoked here. Size is good to have and all but the skill difference here will make up for any size advantage Tito has. Schlemenko is a very skilled striker he will find Tito's chin and body several times with kicks and punches, this guy just knows how to win fights. Even though his comp may not be the greatest when you're winning fights your confidence soars, and Schlemenko has been winning fights whereas Tito has barely been fighting and even when he has he often loses.
 
iGnP said:
NBA WEDNESDAY

im liking brooklyn at +7 tonight. they are down 3-1 and as in desperation mode while miami might take it a bit easy since they have a commanding hold of the series. i wouldnt be surprised if the nets come out flat but i think aging stars like pierce and garnett dont go out without a fight. conversely, i dont like the trailblazers tonight in a game similar to the heat-nets because of the big difference in bench play and due to how much the spurs value added rest time. i think the spurs get the job done tonight. actually going to parlay the two plays together

Brooklyn +7 + SA ML @+139 for 1u

good luck, everyone
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Bang! Thanks man I tailed
 
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