Official UFC 173 Betting Thread - Post Your Bets!

Status
Not open for further replies.
dbsh209 said:
I'll play Tito small. Size could be a factor and he could hold him down. Not that impressed with Shlemenko anyway.
Click to expand...

how can you not be impressed by shlemenko? he is relentless. one of the most entertaining fighters in all of MMA. top 5 for me (entertainment value)

again, if betting tito, just wait for tito DEC line, right?

Mga223 said:
In Australia unless you are at a tab you must phone up to live bet. It's the stupidest sh*t ever and costs me money cause I don't hedge or miss out on the good odds.

So tempted to sign up to bookmaker.
Click to expand...

yea, my friend who has to call it in is from australia, too... what's a tab, btw?
 
Mga223 said:
In Australia unless you are at a tab you must phone up to live bet. It's the stupidest sh*t ever and costs me money cause I don't hedge or miss out on the good odds.

So tempted to sign up to bookmaker.
Click to expand...

Calling on the telephone to live bet? That's madness!
 
MMA Goodfella said:
BM used to be awesome for lb'ing, I mean, the ability to bet during fights was just amazing and it made BM unique; however, for the past 2 months they've only opened betting up between rounds ands getting a bet in is often impossible. It sucks. If they continue I'm moving 75% of my br to 5D instead of visa versa.
Click to expand...

Just to be pedantic, it's true that Bookmaker's live betting lines are not active as much as they used to be during fights. But it's not exactly accurate to say that they were only offered between rounds either during the last few months.

They usually get frozen and unfrozen a few times during rounds for brief periods and mostly available much longer between rounds. They often were also available after the last round ended for point spread and pick the winner bets.

It's certainly not perfect, but Bookmaker and 5Dimes are the only two options we have. So as limited as it is I would be distraught if it went away.
 
True. The point spread bets are great options
 
EzFlyer said:
at what point is guerreiro bettable vs shamwow? (whenever we get the lines).. this kid has faced a murderer's row since he got to bellator..frodo khasbulaev, dez green, patricio pitbull, and now shamwow.. (then again, 145 has been their best division for a couple years)

obviously you have to favor shamwow on the feet (and in general), such good hands.. and he's actually decent on top, too, should he end up there. but guerreiro might hang in everywhere.. and if he managed to get a td... big edge...

plus he'll be 4-5" taller...
Click to expand...

agree, if I can get some good +money on Guerreiro I'll take a shot for sure. I'm a huge fan of Shamwow but like you siad Guerreiro's been in there with some really strong comp, he's young and should be improving every time out, and most of all he's the bigger dude and the better grappler.

Shamwow is a great fighter on the feet and he's somewhat capable on the ground, but a guy like Guerreiro is tough and will always be dangerous from either bottom or top position. I like Shamwow to get the job done, BUT if Guerreiro's line jumps to something like +170 or something (hell I might be tempted at +140 or 50 tbh) I agree that the value's on him, imo.

Overall I kind of expect to go against my boy Shamwow, I just think he's gonna be overpriced. He's been a killer in his wins and he deserves to be respected as far as the line goes, but there comes a point where the line on gets out of whack and it's really not that hard to see this Brazilian kid uses his size and grappling to drag him down and choke him.

So yeah I love me some shamwow, but I love me some value more. Value's on Guerreiro for me if it climbs up to the higher half of +100's.
 
I think youll get your wish.. tho I prolly wouldn't bite at +150ish.. would need higher, I think
 
Take it from someone who has royally screwed every time I've vet bellator, there's always unpredictable outcomes. I will never bet that org because anything and everything happens ,there's no consistency just random outcomes.

If you just want to gamble I'd rather bet mlb, nba, nhl, nfl or soccer.
I would actually be curious if anyone has a net profit solely from bellator. I know ufc is profitable.
 
EzFlyer said:
how can you not be impressed by shlemenko? he is relentless. one of the most entertaining fighters in all of MMA. top 5 for me (entertainment value)

again, if betting tito, just wait for tito DEC line, right?
Click to expand...

He's entertaining yeah, but the competition he's faced is mediocre, and he's done so at middleweight. Tito was huge for LHW, and he's really fighting a blown up WW. That's why I think it's worth playing him small. And yeah, waiting on the dec. prop
 
Been saying for the last few months even my bookies william hill have been highly erratic with switching on and off live betting it has been far worse in the past 3-4 months for me seem bookmaker are doing the same lately.

Even when one of the fighters accidental slips they switch it off, am lucky if its switched back on despite the fight just being boring and nothing happening! Inbetween rounds its often off but sometimes switches on. Perhaps its just taking longer for staff to update the lines or by the time the lines are updated the fights swung in the other direction.

Regardless its made making any profit much harder but still some chances are always there just have to be even faster on that button!
 
MMABetting said:
You make it sound like Tito has a good chance of winning this fight, but you fail to mention the following facts in your breakdown:

1. Tito is 39 years old.
2. Tito hasn't fought in almost 2 years.
3. Tito has won 1 fight in the last 8 years.
4. Tito has been plagued by injuries throughout his career.
5. Tito is fighting a guy 10 years younger than him, who is on a 13 fight winning streak.

Tito is my favourite fighter of all time, but I'm not naive enough to talk myself into thinking he has a legitimate chance of winning this fight.

Age, ring rust and lingering injuries are no joke. If Tito wins it'll be a miracle.

You have to favour the younger, healthier fighter in this match up, no matter how good the odds are on Tito.
Click to expand...

Tito is your favourite fighter? lol
 
I'll probably skip betting that fight, but at these odds - Tito is the bet to make excepting a decent prop on Shlemenko in either direction (I think he could finish or decision Tito, so I'd simply play the value if there is any).

Alex should win because Tito's body is just so brittle at this point, but Shlemenko's recent-year resume would also be around 1-8 if he fought those same last 9 opponents in a row. Who does he beat on that list?
 
omg, guerreiro is +550, are you shitting me!?

sportsbook got odds first, i'm limited to 9.09 to win 50 :/

look, i favor shamwow, but this is one of the nuttiest prices of the year.

also liking richman -220.. hoped cheaper, but OK with it
 
Opening odds / Current odds

795_o.png
795.png
 
richman -185 on 5d, wow, guerreirio only +180 on 5d

hammering richman
 
I'm going to bet every underdog, And I'm expecting to come out up more then likely Lol.
 
guerreiro-shamwow O1.5 -130.. what!? should be -230!
 
Status
Not open for further replies.

Latest posts

Forum statistics

Threads
1,282,518
Messages
58,444,538
Members
176,042
Latest member
ValeTudoPrideUFC

Share this page

Back
Top