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I'm looking at the Ellenberger line movement, it says that some 10 days or so ago it was actually at +400. That's insane. After the square as fuck of the year card yesterday...
I'm looking at the Ellenberger line movement, it says that some 10 days or so ago it was actually at +400. That's insane. After the square as fuck of the year card yesterday...
Hindsight, but I didn't like the Davis bet, especially not in a parlay. Tough break with Bouchard. Getting owned by Schiavone on any surface is terrible.
I would like to think that too, but I'm still disgusted by that Macdonald fight in which he didn't do sh%t. Gets jabbed to death, doesn't try to do a single thing to try to switch it up (ie, takedowns, getting the fight against the fence, etc). We're in the last round and he's clearly en route to losing a decision, Rory throws a lazy kick, Ellenberger catches it and gets a free takedown. Does he go for broke and gnp? No, he spends the rest of the round resting in Rory's guard. Unbelievable.
It's always been a pet peeve of mine when it's a foregone conclusion you're going to lose on points and you've got like 1 minute left and aren't doing everything in your power to finish the fight. Especially when you got dynamite in your hands and turning it into a brawl would dramatically increase your chances of winning, or at least give you a coinflip chance of turning it around.
Might still make a play on Ellenberger, but I want better than the +200 he's currently sitting at. Sorry if that comes off as a bit self-entitled, I used to be pretty big on Ellenberger actually, but that last fight was just so frustrating to watch.
Yeah, I would have maxxed +400 regardless of my reservations about Ellenberger's mindset. He's +220 now, he might get to +250-275 around fight time if it follows the trend of moderate dogs becoming bigger dogs nearing an event.Yeah the Rory fight was terrible I do think he was just "off" that night but who really knows. I know he has had issues with Cardio before (The kampmann fight was a great example) so betting on Ellenberger isn't without it's risks.
Its amazing how things change in MMA if I would of told you 18 Months ago that Lawler would be a -300 favourite over Jake Ellenberger you would of slapped me for talking nonsense!
So many times a fighter under performs after a title shot loss its almost an automatic bet for me. Anyone who got +400 got a bargain
is the lawler/burger 5 round fight?
if its 3 I like burger to steal 2 decisive rounds and slow down in r3, yes much faith in him not respecting robbie but at same time he is not going to let this guy enter ufc and get 1-2 top wins and get a ufc shot. Robbies great don't get me wrong but it was not so long ago he lost against larkin and kennedy..... one solid win against the so called future champ rory and retiring a spent koshcheck and almost besting hendricks or beating him as some may say does bring his stock up but I feel jake prevails and snatchs a close decision here.
And then ill lay my disclaimer of LB lol ill see how R1 goes....
Your argument against lawler is his MW run though isn't it? Was larkinz at MW?
It's hard to lay money on ellenburger because he hasn't ever really looked that good in the 2nd rounds of fights.
NBA
Went to throw $20 on miami -2.5 over 188.5 and accidentally did Miami half time over 94.5.. Hopefully it hits
Lucky break Brooklyn made a come back but typical lebron performance.
Last $10 on miami -2.5 o187.5
Also lebron o27.5 is looking really good also.