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Reality is truly crazier than fiction. So Joaquin secretly worked with the CIA to forge a plan to double cross Mayo in order to help his brother?
There still has to be something deeper that led Joaquin to do this since Ovidio will still face trial and Joaquin will face trial now as well, right? Or do you think the US will quietly, indefinitely postpone those trials and put both into witness protection or CIA agents?
Well with cartels there's a universe of internal politics that will always be hidden so it's totally unpredictable and you just hear rumours and speculation for the most part
El Mayo is a goldmine of intelligence just because he has been a top player for decades. He is far more valuable an asset to authorities than Joaquin and Ovidio. Joaquin is fairly minor compared to his brothers, and was a target for authorities anyway so they probably considered him a worthy sacrifice knowing he'd get a favorable deal for cooperating. Likely getting Ovidio a deal at the same time, and probably getting Los Chapitos a more favorable relationship with US authorities too.
Interesting context here is that one of El Mayo's sons, Vincentillo, was captured years back and testified against El Chapo in order to get a better deal. Now El Chapo's sons have turned in El Mayo apparently to get themselves a better deal.
Probably at the end, Ovidio and Joaquin end up witness protection. Probably El Mayo cuts a deal and throws a bunch of people under the bus to save himself, because he has always been rumoured to cooperate with authorities whenever he's needed to (Lots of rumours about him backstabbing people over history, including El Chapo)
Interesting thing yesterday was the Mexican military launched a big operation to capture El Piyi who was part of the Los Chapitos faction. So it seems the Mexican government is pissed at El Mayo getting caught and is still going after Los Chapitos, even as Los Chapitos may be cutting deals with the US to save their asses.
So remains to be seen if this play pans out for Los Chapitos since they're gonna have the Mexican government and now El Mayo's faction gunning for them. The US probably doesn't mind because if Los Chapitos gets buttfucked in this war there's a good chance they could lure Ivan, the most important of the brothers, into their custody looking for a deal/protection
El Mayo's faction especially was and is fighting a bloody war with CJNG, a powerful rival cartel, so in all this confusion there'll be opportunities for other cartels to expand and take advantage too. There is also a third major faction within the Sinaloa cartel which is run by El Chapo's brother (who recently escaped a major government operation to capture him), and it's unknown where he really falls into this as he is one of the most secretive and low key cartel bosses.
Shit like this is why the cartels are so interesting to follow
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