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i also think izzy has this fight in the bag on paper, but the intangible things not on paper will spell his demise.
that's how i see it going
Biggest thing speaking against Izzy is he seems to have lost the dog.
Which is normal, especially for someone who has already been on the top of the mountain and also is getting older.
In the Strickland fight he was just happy not taking more damage and riding out the rounds when it was clear he was losing instead of wading into danger and trying to get it done somehow.