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A HW jones at 240 would IMO spank Barnett but like you said I don't think that has any relevance on Cormier at LHW fighting Jones.
Are you predicting that Jones will gain 20 pounds by the time this fight happens? I thought he said he weighs about 220. I agree that Jones would beat Barnett, he has the wrestling edge and while Barnett has a great ground game his guard isn't great.