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Created a MMA fight Picker GPT

Hdfi said:
Thanks bruh. Can you post the full analysis of DDP's fight here?
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Fight Breakdown: Israel Adesanya vs. Dricus du Plessis​

Overview​

The UFC 305 Middleweight Title fight between Israel Adesanya and Dricus du Plessis is a high-stakes battle with contrasting styles. Adesanya, the former champion, is known for his elite striking and precision, while Du Plessis has made his name through relentless pressure, powerful grappling, and finishing ability. This fight will likely be determined by which fighter can impose their style on the other.

Israel Adesanya​

  • Record: 24-3-0
  • Height: 6'4" (193 cm)
  • Reach: 80 inches (203 cm)
  • Stance: Orthodox
  • Striking: Adesanya is widely regarded as one of the best strikers in MMA. His background in kickboxing has made him an elite counter-striker with exceptional timing and accuracy. He averages 3.93 significant strikes landed per minute with a 50% striking accuracy (ClutchPoints) (Sherdog).
  • Strengths: Adesanya excels at maintaining distance, utilizing his reach advantage to pick apart opponents from the outside. His head movement and footwork allow him to avoid damage while setting up counter shots. Adesanya's takedown defense is also strong, with a 77% success rate, which could be crucial against Du Plessis (FanSided).
  • Weaknesses: Recent fights have shown potential signs of decline, with Adesanya suffering losses to Jan Blachowicz, Alex Pereira, and Sean Strickland. His reliance on striking and occasional lapses in defensive awareness have led to difficulties against pressure fighters (Sherdog).

Dricus du Plessis​

  • Record: 21-2-0
  • Height: 6'1" (185 cm)
  • Reach: 76 inches (193 cm)
  • Stance: Orthodox
  • Striking: Du Plessis is not as technical as Adesanya, but he makes up for it with volume and power. He lands 6.72 significant strikes per minute with a 55% accuracy rate. His aggressive style puts constant pressure on his opponents, forcing them to fight at a pace they are uncomfortable with (Sherdog) (FanDuel).
  • Strengths: Du Plessis is well-rounded with a strong grappling game, averaging 3.0 takedowns per 15 minutes. His relentless forward pressure, coupled with his grappling, creates openings for both strikes and submissions. He also has excellent cardio, which allows him to maintain his high pace throughout the fight (Sherdog).
  • Weaknesses: Du Plessis' takedown defense is only 40%, which could be a vulnerability if Adesanya decides to mix in grappling. Additionally, his aggressive style sometimes leaves him open to counters, which could be dangerous against a striker of Adesanya's caliber (FanDuel).

Fight Dynamics​

  • Adesanya's Path to Victory: Adesanya will need to use his reach and footwork to keep Du Plessis at bay. If he can maintain distance and land counters as Du Plessis pressures forward, he could find success with a knockout or a decision victory. Avoiding the clinch and grappling exchanges will be key for Adesanya.
  • Du Plessis' Path to Victory: Du Plessis must close the distance quickly and force Adesanya into uncomfortable exchanges. His best chance is to mix in takedowns and clinch work to wear down Adesanya, limiting his ability to strike effectively. If Du Plessis can drag Adesanya into deep waters and make it a grinding fight, he could secure a late stoppage or decision (FanDuel).

Prediction​

  • Dricus du Plessis by KO/TKO in Round 4
    • Rationale: Du Plessis’ pressure and grappling could overwhelm Adesanya as the fight progresses. With Adesanya showing signs of decline and Du Plessis riding a wave of momentum, the South African's relentless approach may lead to a stoppage in the later rounds (Sherdog) (FanDuel).
This breakdown shows that while Adesanya has the tools to win, Du Plessis' current form and style could spell trouble for "The Last Stylebender."
 
Tahvo Kankkunen said:
Reasoning (or classical logic in this context) would arrive at a binary true/false. It would never factor in probability. It would involve it using Bayesian reasoning (but...this isn't that...) - but of course you knew that, right? ;-)

LLMs don't mean what you're pretending they mean, so this is a pretty weird LARP, but I understand people need to validate themselves in many different ways and this is just your way.

Would suggest building and maintaining a local SQL .db file with historical data and then writing a python script that will use something like a forest tree regression operation on it using dynamic probability floats for each variable you assign. Baseball bettors have been doing low-tech versions of this for 20+ years and it consistently keeps professionals at a steady 55-57% win rate. Football to a lesser extent.
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Move on you not wanted here :)
 
HavokHarmon said:
Unpopular but this was my basically my prediction at the time. Still is in retrospect. Fedor was better in basically every possible position except the most likely one; Brock on top. Both standing? Fedor. Clinch? Fedor. Fedor on top? Fedor. Brock on top is the only position I think Lesnar had the edge and unfortunately for Fedor I think that was probably where most of the fight would have played out.
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Fedor would also need to be able to defend takedowns against the cage. Rogers was overpowering him there.
 
Tahvo Kankkunen said:
It's an LLM (which TS can't even define LOL). It repeats the biases you feed it back to you and TS sniffs his own farts thinking he cured cancer.

No shit.
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Holy fuck, you sound so angry at something the OP made in his spare time and shared with us for free.

How about you make your own with your apparent expertise, until then STFU.
 
Came out 80 bucks up following the magic robot with my bets
 
What's the predictions for this card on Saturday please?
 
TSaL said:

Fight Breakdown: Israel Adesanya vs. Dricus du Plessis​

Overview​

The UFC 305 Middleweight Title fight between Israel Adesanya and Dricus du Plessis is a high-stakes battle with contrasting styles. Adesanya, the former champion, is known for his elite striking and precision, while Du Plessis has made his name through relentless pressure, powerful grappling, and finishing ability. This fight will likely be determined by which fighter can impose their style on the other.

Israel Adesanya​

  • Record: 24-3-0
  • Height: 6'4" (193 cm)
  • Reach: 80 inches (203 cm)
  • Stance: Orthodox
  • Striking: Adesanya is widely regarded as one of the best strikers in MMA. His background in kickboxing has made him an elite counter-striker with exceptional timing and accuracy. He averages 3.93 significant strikes landed per minute with a 50% striking accuracy (ClutchPoints) (Sherdog).
  • Strengths: Adesanya excels at maintaining distance, utilizing his reach advantage to pick apart opponents from the outside. His head movement and footwork allow him to avoid damage while setting up counter shots. Adesanya's takedown defense is also strong, with a 77% success rate, which could be crucial against Du Plessis (FanSided).
  • Weaknesses: Recent fights have shown potential signs of decline, with Adesanya suffering losses to Jan Blachowicz, Alex Pereira, and Sean Strickland. His reliance on striking and occasional lapses in defensive awareness have led to difficulties against pressure fighters (Sherdog).

Dricus du Plessis​

  • Record: 21-2-0
  • Height: 6'1" (185 cm)
  • Reach: 76 inches (193 cm)
  • Stance: Orthodox
  • Striking: Du Plessis is not as technical as Adesanya, but he makes up for it with volume and power. He lands 6.72 significant strikes per minute with a 55% accuracy rate. His aggressive style puts constant pressure on his opponents, forcing them to fight at a pace they are uncomfortable with (Sherdog) (FanDuel).
  • Strengths: Du Plessis is well-rounded with a strong grappling game, averaging 3.0 takedowns per 15 minutes. His relentless forward pressure, coupled with his grappling, creates openings for both strikes and submissions. He also has excellent cardio, which allows him to maintain his high pace throughout the fight (Sherdog).
  • Weaknesses: Du Plessis' takedown defense is only 40%, which could be a vulnerability if Adesanya decides to mix in grappling. Additionally, his aggressive style sometimes leaves him open to counters, which could be dangerous against a striker of Adesanya's caliber (FanDuel).

Fight Dynamics​

  • Adesanya's Path to Victory: Adesanya will need to use his reach and footwork to keep Du Plessis at bay. If he can maintain distance and land counters as Du Plessis pressures forward, he could find success with a knockout or a decision victory. Avoiding the clinch and grappling exchanges will be key for Adesanya.
  • Du Plessis' Path to Victory: Du Plessis must close the distance quickly and force Adesanya into uncomfortable exchanges. His best chance is to mix in takedowns and clinch work to wear down Adesanya, limiting his ability to strike effectively. If Du Plessis can drag Adesanya into deep waters and make it a grinding fight, he could secure a late stoppage or decision (FanDuel).

Prediction​

  • Dricus du Plessis by KO/TKO in Round 4
    • Rationale: Du Plessis’ pressure and grappling could overwhelm Adesanya as the fight progresses. With Adesanya showing signs of decline and Du Plessis riding a wave of momentum, the South African's relentless approach may lead to a stoppage in the later rounds (Sherdog) (FanDuel).
This breakdown shows that while Adesanya has the tools to win, Du Plessis' current form and style could spell trouble for "The Last Stylebender."
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Dude what the fuck
 
TCE said:
What's the predictions for this card on Saturday please?
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DoctorTaco said:
@TSaL any picks for tonight’s card?
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You can try it yourselves. These GPTs are free for anyone to use now. They have a message limit but reset after a few hours.

Here's what it gave me for the main card:

Middleweight: Jared Cannonier vs. Caio Borralho

Prediction: Jared Cannonier (Confidence: 70%)

Striking:
Cannonier: 88 - Powerful and diverse striker, high knockout power, solid striking accuracy.
Borralho: 76 - Decent striking with some power, but relies more on grappling.
Grappling:
Cannonier: 75 - Adequate defensive grappling, strong takedown defense.
Borralho: 83 - Strong grappler with solid Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu skills, prefers taking the fight to the ground.
Physical Traits:
Cannonier: 85 - Extremely durable and powerful, good conditioning.
Borralho: 80 - Physically strong, good cardio but not as explosive as Cannonier.
Fight IQ:
Cannonier: 82 - Experienced with good fight management.
Borralho: 78 - Good grappling game plans but can struggle against high-level strikers.
Overall Score: Cannonier 82 vs. Borralho 79

Summary: Cannonier's striking power and experience should allow him to keep the fight standing and outpoint Borralho. If the fight remains on the feet, Cannonier has a significant edge. Borralho will need to rely on his grappling, but Cannonier's takedown defense is solid. The most likely scenario is Cannonier winning via TKO in Round 2.

Women's Strawweight: Angela Hill vs. Tabatha Ricci

Prediction: Tabatha Ricci (Confidence: 65%)

Striking:
Hill: 78 - Volume striker with good technique and experience.
Ricci: 74 - Improving striking, still more comfortable in grappling exchanges.
Grappling:
Hill: 70 - Average grappling with decent defense but vulnerable to takedowns.
Ricci: 82 - Strong jiu-jitsu and wrestling, excels in controlling opponents.
Physical Traits:
Hill: 75 - Good cardio and durability, but lacks physical strength.
Ricci: 78 - Strong and athletic with good conditioning.
Fight IQ:
Hill: 80 - Very experienced, makes good in-fight adjustments.
Ricci: 76 - Still developing but shows good grappling awareness.
Overall Score: Hill 76 vs. Ricci 78

Summary: Ricci's grappling will be the key to her success. If she can take Hill down, she should be able to control the fight and possibly secure a submission. Hill will look to keep it standing, but Ricci’s relentless pressure could overwhelm her. A decision win for Ricci is the most likely outcome.

Middleweight: Robert Valentin Frey vs. Ryan Loder

Prediction: Ryan Loder (Confidence: 68%)

Striking:
Frey: 72 - Basic striking, lacks power and diversity.
Loder: 75 - Slightly better striker, mixes up techniques.
Grappling:
Frey: 74 - Average grappling skills, can be taken down.
Loder: 79 - Strong wrestling background, solid control on the ground.
Physical Traits:
Frey: 73 - Decent conditioning, but lacks physical strength.
Loder: 76 - Strong and durable, good cardio.
Fight IQ:
Frey: 70 - Struggles against stronger competition.
Loder: 75 - Utilizes wrestling effectively, understands his strengths.
Overall Score: Frey 72 vs. Loder 76

Summary: Loder’s wrestling should dominate this fight, allowing him to control Frey on the ground. Frey will struggle to keep the fight standing, and Loder should secure a decision victory through grappling dominance.

Featherweight: Kaan Ofli vs. Mairon Santos

Prediction: Mairon Santos (Confidence: 72%)

Striking:
Ofli: 74 - Decent striking, but lacks significant power.
Santos: 80 - Dynamic striker with knockout power, fast hands.
Grappling:
Ofli: 70 - Average grappler, can be taken down.
Santos: 75 - Decent grappling with defensive skills, but prefers striking.
Physical Traits:
Ofli: 73 - Average cardio and durability.
Santos: 78 - Athletic and powerful, good endurance.
Fight IQ:
Ofli: 71 - Basic game plan, struggles with adapting mid-fight.
Santos: 75 - More experienced, adapts well to opponents.
Overall Score: Ofli 72 vs. Santos 77

Summary: Santos' striking and power should be the difference-maker in this fight. Ofli will have difficulty dealing with Santos' speed and power, making a KO/TKO victory for Santos in Round 1 the most likely outcome.

Welterweight: Neil Magny vs. Michael Morales

Prediction: Michael Morales (Confidence: 60%)

Striking:
Magny: 77 - Good volume striker, uses reach effectively.
Morales: 81 - Powerful and aggressive striker with knockout power.
Grappling:
Magny: 80 - Solid grappling, good clinch work and submissions.
Morales: 78 - Decent grappling but more comfortable on the feet.
Physical Traits:
Magny: 82 - Very durable, excellent cardio.
Morales: 84 - Strong and athletic, powerful in exchanges.
Fight IQ:
Magny: 83 - Very experienced, smart fight management.
Morales: 78 - Still developing but has shown promise.
Overall Score: Magny 80 vs. Morales 80

Summary: This is a close fight, but Morales' power and aggression could give him the edge. Magny will need to use his reach and experience to neutralize Morales' striking, but if Morales can close the distance, he might land the more significant shots. A decision victory for Morales is possible, though it could go either way.

Middleweight: Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Gerald Meerschaert

Prediction: Gerald Meerschaert (Confidence: 65%)

Striking:
Shahbazyan: 78 - Explosive striker with knockout power, but tends to fade.
Meerschaert: 72 - Average striking, mainly a grappler.
Grappling:
Shahbazyan: 74 - Decent grappling, but struggles against elite grapplers.
Meerschaert: 85 - Excellent submission grappler, highly experienced.
Physical Traits:
Shahbazyan: 75 - Athletic but has shown cardio issues.
Meerschaert: 78 - Durable with good conditioning.
Fight IQ:
Shahbazyan: 72 - Struggles under pressure, poor cardio management.
Meerschaert: 80 - Very experienced, good at finding submissions.
Overall Score: Shahbazyan 75 vs. Meerschaert 79

Summary: Meerschaert's grappling experience should give him the edge, especially if the fight goes to the ground. Shahbazyan’s best chance is an early knockout, but if he doesn't finish Meerschaert quickly, his cardio might falter, allowing Meerschaert to secure a submission in Round 3.
 
Tahvo Kankkunen said:
It's an LLM (which TS can't even define LOL). It repeats the biases you feed it back to you and TS sniffs his own farts thinking he cured cancer.

No shit.
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So to reply to this this:

I'm a a fan of MMA and emerging AI. I created a "mygpt" that tried to create an algorithm that would select the most likely winner, that's it. I do believe the future AI will be "TOO" accurate.
 
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TSaL said:
So to reply to this this:

I'm a a fan of MMA and emerging AI. I created a "mygpt" that tried to create an algorithm that would select the most likely winner, that's it. I do believe the future AI will be "TOO" accurate.
Click to expand...
Any picks for this weekend?
 
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