Created a MMA fight Picker GPT

[Rapa]

Nah AI has no info ass about ilias win over volk

 

[Koala]

Ilia Topuria vs. Max Holloway - Fight Analysis and Prediction​

Weight Class: Featherweight (145 lbs)
Fight Type: 5 Rounds
Prediction: Holloway vs. Topuria
Confidence: 60-65% in Holloway
Predicted Outcome: Holloway by Decision (5th Round)

---

Fighter Profiles and Metric Breakdown​

Metric	Max Holloway	Ilia Topuria
Striking
Striking Accuracy	80	75
Striking Defense	78	70
Significant Strikes Landed per Minute (SLpM)	7.16	3.32
Striking Power	65	85
Striking Variety	85	70
Grappling
Takedown Accuracy	55	85
Takedown Defense	83	60
Ground Control	65	75
Submission Threat	55	70
Physical Attributes
Cardio	95	85
Chin	90	80
Reach (69 in. vs. 71 in.)	71	69
Fight IQ	85	75
Fight Team & Training
Training Camp Quality	90	80
Training Partners Quality	90	80

Key Analysis Points​

1. Striking
   • Max Holloway: Known for his relentless pace, Holloway's high striking output and exceptional accuracy can be overwhelming. He maintains a range that forces his opponents to cover distance to engage. Holloway’s reach and height advantage, along with elite defensive movement, allow him to land combinations while avoiding counterattacks. His striking variety, including elbows, body shots, and combinations, is among the most diverse in the division.
   • Ilia Topuria: Topuria is a powerful striker with knockout potential in both hands. While his output is not as high as Holloway's, he has the ability to counter aggressively, making each strike dangerous. Topuria may look for overhand punches and hooks to close the distance and disrupt Holloway’s rhythm, but his lower reach and high risk of overextending could leave him vulnerable to Holloway’s range attacks.
2. Grappling and Ground Control
   • Max Holloway: Holloway’s takedown defense has shown to be one of his strengths, nullifying attempts from several accomplished grapplers. Although not known for his offensive wrestling, his grappling defense has kept him on his feet, forcing opponents to engage in striking. In this matchup, Holloway will likely focus on maintaining distance, using his jab and movement to evade takedowns.
   • Ilia Topuria: Topuria is a solid grappler with a high submission threat, especially effective with strong positioning in top control. His takedown attempts could be crucial in breaking Holloway’s striking rhythm. If he secures takedowns, he may gain critical points and potentially threaten submissions, though Holloway's durability and cardio make it difficult to secure a finish.
3. Cardio and Durability
   • Max Holloway: Holloway’s cardio is almost unmatched, and his capacity to maintain high output through all five rounds has been proven against elite opponents. His chin has also withstood considerable punishment, even in extended exchanges.
   • Ilia Topuria: While Topuria has solid cardio, he has yet to go a full five rounds in a competitive fight, especially against a volume striker like Holloway. His explosive style may face diminishing returns if he can't control Holloway early on, and his cardio could be tested heavily if the fight extends into the later rounds.
4. Fight IQ and Strategy
   • Max Holloway: Holloway has shown incredible adaptability within fights, often changing pace or game plans to exploit opponents’ weaknesses. His approach to high-volume striking and his range control is likely to be a pivotal element in dealing with Topuria’s power and grappling.
   • Ilia Topuria: Topuria will likely aim to either finish Holloway early or implement a grappling-heavy approach, given Holloway's high volume and cardio advantage. However, his approach may need to adapt if Holloway’s output proves challenging to keep up with, especially if Topuria's gas tank starts to deplete.

Scoring Summary​

Metric	Holloway	Topuria
Striking Total	80	70
Grappling Total	67	73
Physicality Total	90	83
Fight IQ Total	85	75
Training and Team	90	80
Total Score	412	381

---

Final Prediction and Rationale​

Prediction: Max Holloway by Decision (5th Round)
Confidence Level: 60-65%

This matchup leans toward Holloway due to his cardio, striking output, and overall adaptability. His experience with high-volume striking over five rounds may overwhelm Topuria, especially if the fight becomes a drawn-out battle. Holloway’s proven durability against power strikers and his exceptional ability to defend takedowns give him an edge to control the fight's rhythm and positioning.

Topuria’s path to victory would likely require early dominance through effective grappling or landing heavy strikes. However, if Holloway can avoid Topuria's power shots and maintain a high volume, he will likely secure a decision victory by consistently outpointing Topuria across the rounds.

 

[TSaL]

Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic – Prediction and Analysis​

• Prediction: Jon Jones to win
• Confidence: 75%
• Predicted Winner: Jon Jones
• Round: 3
• Method: TKO

---

Fighter Profiles and Analysis​

Jon "Bones" Jones​

• Record: 27-1 (1 NC)
• Age: 36
• Height: 6'4"
• Reach: 84.5 inches
• Stance: Orthodox
• Fighting Out of: Albuquerque, NM, USA (Jackson-Wink MMA, now with various camps)

Key Strengths​

1. Striking: (88/100)
   • Style: Jones is known for his unique striking style, blending long-range kicks and unpredictable strikes such as spinning elbows and oblique kicks.
   • Power and Precision: While not known for knockout power, he effectively uses range and reach to keep opponents at bay and mix up strikes.
2. Grappling: (95/100)
   • Wrestling Background: Jones has strong wrestling credentials, known for controlling opponents against the cage and using ground-and-pound effectively.
   • Submissions: Jones has a variety of submissions in his arsenal, making him a threat on the ground. His jiu-jitsu skills are underrated, and his submission game is often set up by his control on the mat.
3. Physical Attributes and Fight IQ: (97/100)
   • Reach Advantage: Jones has one of the longest reaches in MMA, which he uses effectively to control distance.
   • Fight IQ: Jones excels in reading opponents and adjusting his game plan mid-fight, capitalizing on any weaknesses he identifies.
4. Cardio: (90/100)
   • Five-Round Experience: Jones is accustomed to high-intensity championship rounds and has demonstrated excellent endurance in several title fights.

Recent Form​

Jones returned after a three-year layoff to capture the heavyweight title with a quick submission win over Ciryl Gane. Despite this success, Miocic presents a completely different challenge with a wrestling base, championship experience, and strong hands. However, Jones's versatility and ring control are unmatched in the division.

---

Stipe Miocic​

• Record: 20-4
• Age: 41
• Height: 6'4"
• Reach: 80 inches
• Stance: Orthodox
• Fighting Out of: Independence, OH, USA (Strong Style MMA)

Key Strengths​

1. Striking: (85/100)
   • Boxing Skill: Miocic is known for his boxing-heavy approach, with crisp, accurate punches and the ability to land devastating shots.
   • Power: He has knockout power in both hands, especially in short-range exchanges, and his timing has enabled him to score finishes against elite heavyweights.
2. Grappling: (88/100)
   • Wrestling Base: Miocic has a solid wrestling foundation, which has historically allowed him to keep fights standing or take opponents down when needed.
   • Takedown Defense: He boasts strong takedown defense, especially against non-heavyweight wrestlers, and is adept at sprawling and countering takedown attempts.
3. Fight IQ and Physicality: (86/100)
   • Fight Strategy: Miocic is patient in his approach, often feeling out his opponents and waiting for the right moment to capitalize on openings. He’s a calculated striker, known for his precision and timing.
   • Durability and Heart: Miocic has displayed significant resilience in fights, though the heavy damage he's taken in some of his recent bouts could impact his durability.
4. Cardio: (85/100)
   • Championship Round Experience: Miocic has shown solid cardio, but he has at times slowed down in later rounds against high-paced opponents. Jones may look to wear him down over time.

Recent Form​

Miocic last fought in 2021, suffering a knockout loss to Francis Ngannou. Though he is known for his resilience and durability, a two-year layoff and his age may affect his performance against a dynamic fighter like Jones.

---

Head-to-Head Comparison​

Attribute	Jon Jones	Stipe Miocic
Striking	88	85
Grappling	95	88
Fight IQ	97	86
Physicality	92	88
Reach Advantage	84.5"	80"
Cardio	90	85

Scoring Summary​

Jones's reach, versatility in striking, and superior grappling edge give him a definitive advantage on paper. Miocic’s best path to victory is to use his boxing and keep the fight in mid-to-close range, avoiding extended grappling exchanges. However, Jones’s diversity in attack, adaptability, and his ability to manage range effectively make it difficult for Miocic to impose his game plan consistently.

Final Prediction​

Jones’s overall fight IQ and his ability to neutralize his opponent's strengths make him the favorite. Expect him to utilize leg kicks, range control, and clinch work to wear Miocic down over the first two rounds, setting up opportunities for takedowns and control. Miocic may struggle to handle Jones’s reach and dynamic striking from distance. Jones is likely to secure a TKO finish by Round 3 through sustained ground-and-pound, overwhelming Miocic’s defenses and potentially exhausting him.

• Winner: Jon Jones via TKO, Round 3

 

[TCE]

Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic – Prediction and Analysis​

• Prediction: Jon Jones to win
• Confidence: 75%
• Predicted Winner: Jon Jones
• Round: 3
• Method: TKO

---

Fighter Profiles and Analysis​

Jon "Bones" Jones​

• Record: 27-1 (1 NC)
• Age: 36
• Height: 6'4"
• Reach: 84.5 inches
• Stance: Orthodox
• Fighting Out of: Albuquerque, NM, USA (Jackson-Wink MMA, now with various camps)

Key Strengths​

1. Striking: (88/100)
   • Style: Jones is known for his unique striking style, blending long-range kicks and unpredictable strikes such as spinning elbows and oblique kicks.
   • Power and Precision: While not known for knockout power, he effectively uses range and reach to keep opponents at bay and mix up strikes.
2. Grappling: (95/100)
   • Wrestling Background: Jones has strong wrestling credentials, known for controlling opponents against the cage and using ground-and-pound effectively.
   • Submissions: Jones has a variety of submissions in his arsenal, making him a threat on the ground. His jiu-jitsu skills are underrated, and his submission game is often set up by his control on the mat.
3. Physical Attributes and Fight IQ: (97/100)
   • Reach Advantage: Jones has one of the longest reaches in MMA, which he uses effectively to control distance.
   • Fight IQ: Jones excels in reading opponents and adjusting his game plan mid-fight, capitalizing on any weaknesses he identifies.
4. Cardio: (90/100)
   • Five-Round Experience: Jones is accustomed to high-intensity championship rounds and has demonstrated excellent endurance in several title fights.

Recent Form​

Jones returned after a three-year layoff to capture the heavyweight title with a quick submission win over Ciryl Gane. Despite this success, Miocic presents a completely different challenge with a wrestling base, championship experience, and strong hands. However, Jones's versatility and ring control are unmatched in the division.

---

Stipe Miocic​

• Record: 20-4
• Age: 41
• Height: 6'4"
• Reach: 80 inches
• Stance: Orthodox
• Fighting Out of: Independence, OH, USA (Strong Style MMA)

Key Strengths​

1. Striking: (85/100)
   • Boxing Skill: Miocic is known for his boxing-heavy approach, with crisp, accurate punches and the ability to land devastating shots.
   • Power: He has knockout power in both hands, especially in short-range exchanges, and his timing has enabled him to score finishes against elite heavyweights.
2. Grappling: (88/100)
   • Wrestling Base: Miocic has a solid wrestling foundation, which has historically allowed him to keep fights standing or take opponents down when needed.
   • Takedown Defense: He boasts strong takedown defense, especially against non-heavyweight wrestlers, and is adept at sprawling and countering takedown attempts.
3. Fight IQ and Physicality: (86/100)
   • Fight Strategy: Miocic is patient in his approach, often feeling out his opponents and waiting for the right moment to capitalize on openings. He’s a calculated striker, known for his precision and timing.
   • Durability and Heart: Miocic has displayed significant resilience in fights, though the heavy damage he's taken in some of his recent bouts could impact his durability.
4. Cardio: (85/100)
   • Championship Round Experience: Miocic has shown solid cardio, but he has at times slowed down in later rounds against high-paced opponents. Jones may look to wear him down over time.

Recent Form​

Miocic last fought in 2021, suffering a knockout loss to Francis Ngannou. Though he is known for his resilience and durability, a two-year layoff and his age may affect his performance against a dynamic fighter like Jones.

---

Head-to-Head Comparison​

Attribute	Jon Jones	Stipe Miocic
Striking	88	85
Grappling	95	88
Fight IQ	97	86
Physicality	92	88
Reach Advantage	84.5"	80"
Cardio	90	85

Scoring Summary​

Jones's reach, versatility in striking, and superior grappling edge give him a definitive advantage on paper. Miocic’s best path to victory is to use his boxing and keep the fight in mid-to-close range, avoiding extended grappling exchanges. However, Jones’s diversity in attack, adaptability, and his ability to manage range effectively make it difficult for Miocic to impose his game plan consistently.

Final Prediction​

Jones’s overall fight IQ and his ability to neutralize his opponent's strengths make him the favorite. Expect him to utilize leg kicks, range control, and clinch work to wear Miocic down over the first two rounds, setting up opportunities for takedowns and control. Miocic may struggle to handle Jones’s reach and dynamic striking from distance. Jones is likely to secure a TKO finish by Round 3 through sustained ground-and-pound, overwhelming Miocic’s defenses and potentially exhausting him.

• Winner: Jon Jones via TKO, Round 3

Spot on there. He won by round 3 TKO.

 

[DoctorTaco]

@TSaL your magic robot told me to pick Gabriella fernandes at +625 and it hit.

 

[MillingMeSoftly]

This is incredible - good job!

 

[TCE]

Here's what I got on the main and co-main this Saturday...

I run it through twice on both fights.

MAIN EVENT 1

Alexandre Pantoja (c) vs. Kai Asakura

Fighter Profiles​

Alexandre Pantoja​

• Striking:88
  • Diversity: 85
  • Power: 85
  • Accuracy: 88
• Grappling:92
  • Takedowns: 88
  • Takedown Defense: 85
  • Submissions: 95
• Physical Traits:88
  • Strength: 88
  • Cardio: 90
  • Durability: 88
• Weight Cut: 90
• Gym Quality:90
  • Fight Team: 90
  • Training Partners: 90

Kai Asakura​

• Striking:90
  • Diversity: 88
  • Power: 90
  • Accuracy: 90
• Grappling:80
  • Takedowns: 78
  • Takedown Defense: 80
  • Submissions: 75
• Physical Traits:85
  • Strength: 85
  • Cardio: 88
  • Durability: 85
• Weight Cut: 85
• Gym Quality:85
  • Fight Team: 85
  • Training Partners: 85

Comparative Analysis​

Striking​

• Power and Accuracy: Asakura has a slight edge in striking power and accuracy, known for his explosive knockouts and precision. Pantoja is also a dangerous striker but relies more on aggression and volume than sheer power.
• Diversity: Both fighters have diverse striking arsenals. Asakura is more technical and calculated, while Pantoja uses his striking to set up grappling exchanges.

Grappling​

• Submissions and Takedowns: Pantoja has a significant advantage in grappling, with elite submission skills and the ability to control opponents on the ground. Asakura has shown improvement in grappling but is unlikely to match Pantoja’s level.
• Defense: Asakura’s takedown defense will be critical. If he can keep the fight standing, his striking might carry him to success. However, Pantoja’s relentless grappling could overwhelm him if the fight goes to the mat.

Physical Traits​

• Cardio: Pantoja’s cardio is a major strength, allowing him to maintain a high pace throughout five rounds. Asakura has solid cardio but has not been tested as extensively in prolonged battles against elite competition.
• Durability: Both fighters are tough, but Pantoja’s durability and experience against top-tier opponents give him a slight edge.

Weight Cut and Gym Quality​

• Pantoja has a slight edge in preparation due to his high-level gym and training partners, ensuring a well-rounded game plan.

Scoring​

Metric	Alexandre Pantoja	Kai Asakura
Striking	88	90
Grappling	92	80
Physical Traits	88	85
Weight Cut	90	85
Gym Quality	90	85
Total	448	425

Prediction​

• Predicted Winner: Alexandre Pantoja
• Confidence: 60%
• Method of Victory: Submission
• Round: 3

Summary: This flyweight championship bout between Alexandre Pantoja and Kai Asakura is a compelling matchup of styles. Asakura’s striking power and precision give him a chance to score a knockout, especially if he can keep the fight standing. However, Pantoja’s elite grappling, relentless pace, and ability to transition seamlessly between striking and grappling make him the favorite. Asakura’s takedown defense will be tested early and often, and if Pantoja can secure a takedown, his submission skills are likely to lead to a finish in the third round. Pantoja’s championship experience and durability should allow him to withstand Asakura’s striking while implementing his game plan effectively.





MAIN EVENT 2

Fight Analysis: Alexandre Pantoja (c) vs. Kai Asakura - Flyweight​

Alexandre Pantoja (Champion)

• Strengths: Pantoja is an elite flyweight with world-class Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, strong grappling, and underrated striking. His aggressive style allows him to dictate the pace of fights, both on the feet and on the ground. Pantoja’s scrambling ability and submission game make him a constant threat in grappling exchanges. His striking features powerful punches and effective combinations, often setting up takedowns or ground control.
• Weaknesses: Pantoja’s aggressive style sometimes leaves him vulnerable to absorbing damage, particularly from technical counter-strikers. While his cardio is strong, he can occasionally slow down in the later rounds of high-paced fights.
• Physical Attributes: Pantoja stands 5'5" with a reach of 67 inches. His compact build and physical strength make him difficult to control in grappling exchanges.

---

Kai Asakura

• Strengths: Asakura is a dynamic and explosive striker with knockout power. He uses his unorthodox striking style and excellent timing to land significant shots, making him a dangerous opponent in the stand-up department. Asakura’s footwork and ability to create angles allow him to keep opponents guessing. While his grappling is serviceable, he prefers to keep fights standing and use his striking to overwhelm opponents.
• Weaknesses: Asakura’s grappling, particularly his defensive wrestling and submission defense, has been a vulnerability in past fights. Against high-level grapplers like Pantoja, his ability to stay off the ground and return to his feet will be critical.
• Physical Attributes: Asakura is 5'8" with a reach of 69 inches, giving him a height and reach advantage over Pantoja. This helps him maintain range in striking exchanges.

---

Scoring Comparison​

Category	Alexandre Pantoja	Kai Asakura
Striking	85/100	90/100
Grappling	95/100	70/100
Cardio	85/100	80/100
Physical Traits	85/100	85/100

---

Gym Quality & Training Partners

• Pantoja: Trains at American Top Team (ATT), a premier MMA camp known for producing champions. His training focuses on integrating his BJJ with improved striking and fight IQ.
• Asakura: Trains at a respected gym in Japan with a heavy emphasis on striking. While his striking is world-class, the depth of his grappling training may not be on par with someone like Pantoja.

---

Prediction​

This fight presents a classic striker vs. grappler matchup, with Pantoja likely aiming to close the distance and use his grappling, while Asakura will look to keep the fight standing and capitalize on his striking advantage.

• Prediction Confidence: 75%
• Predicted Winner: Alexandre Pantoja
• Round: 3
• Method of Victory: Submission

---

Fight Dynamics​

• Pantoja’s Path to Victory: Pantoja will aim to pressure Asakura early, use his striking to set up takedowns, and work towards a submission on the ground. His ability to control the fight with his grappling will be key to neutralizing Asakura’s striking.
• Asakura’s Path to Victory: Asakura will need to maintain distance, use his reach advantage, and land powerful counter-strikes to keep Pantoja from closing the distance. If Asakura can avoid the grappling exchanges, he could outstrike Pantoja and potentially score a knockout.

---

Summary​

While Asakura’s striking makes him a dangerous opponent, Pantoja’s grappling edge and ability to mix in takedowns give him a clear path to victory. The prediction is that Pantoja will secure a submission in the third round, capitalizing on Asakura’s weaknesses in grappling exchanges.

Asakura’s best chance lies in landing a clean knockout shot early or frustrating Pantoja with range management and high-output striking. However, Pantoja’s championship-level experience and grappling superiority make him the favorite in this matchup.

 

[TCE]

CO-MAIN EVENT 1

Fight Analysis: Shavkat Rakhmonov vs. Ian Machado Garry - 5 Rounds (Welterweight)​

---

Shavkat Rakhmonov​

• Strengths: Rakhmonov is a highly versatile and dangerous fighter with a perfect finishing rate. He combines elite grappling, submission skills, and striking precision to overwhelm his opponents. His grappling transitions are smooth, and his ability to mix striking and takedowns makes him a complete fighter. He is also durable, with excellent composure under pressure.
• Weaknesses: While Rakhmonov is well-rounded, he sometimes absorbs unnecessary damage when closing the distance. Against a technical striker like Garry, this could expose him to counters. His cardio, though solid, hasn’t been extensively tested in a five-round war.
• Physical Attributes: Rakhmonov stands 6'1" with a reach of 77 inches. His height and reach enable him to manage distance well in striking exchanges and set up takedowns effectively.

---

Ian Machado Garry​

• Strengths: Garry is a precise and technical striker with excellent footwork and range management. His striking arsenal includes clean combinations, effective kicks, and an ability to maintain composure in high-pressure situations. Garry’s defensive skills and counter-striking are among his strongest assets, making him difficult to hit cleanly.
• Weaknesses: Garry’s grappling, while improving, isn’t at the elite level of someone like Rakhmonov. If taken down or pressured in clinch exchanges, he could struggle against Rakhmonov’s relentless grappling. Additionally, Garry’s power is effective but not overwhelming, often relying on accumulation rather than one-shot finishes.
• Physical Attributes: Garry is 6'3" with a reach of 74 inches. His height and reach allow him to fight effectively at range, but his shorter reach compared to Rakhmonov could make it difficult to keep the fight at his preferred distance.

---

Scoring Comparison​

Category	Shavkat Rakhmonov	Ian Machado Garry
Striking	85/100	90/100
Grappling	95/100	75/100
Cardio	85/100	85/100
Physical Traits	90/100	85/100

---

Gym Quality & Training Partners​

• Rakhmonov: Trains at a camp known for producing complete MMA fighters, focusing heavily on grappling, transitions, and striking integration.
• Garry: Trains at an elite gym with a focus on technical striking, defensive grappling, and conditioning, giving him the tools to handle high-pressure situations.

---

Fight Dynamics​

• Rakhmonov’s Path to Victory: Rakhmonov will look to close the distance, mix his striking to set up takedowns, and control Garry on the ground. His submission skills are a significant threat, especially in scrambles or when Garry tries to return to his feet.
• Garry’s Path to Victory: Garry must keep the fight at range, utilizing his striking and footwork to frustrate Rakhmonov. Countering Rakhmonov’s forward pressure while avoiding the clinch and takedowns will be critical to his success.

---

Prediction​

This fight presents a fascinating clash of styles, with Rakhmonov’s grappling and finishing ability going up against Garry’s technical striking and range management.

• Prediction Confidence: 70%
• Predicted Winner: Shavkat Rakhmonov
• Round: 4
• Method of Victory: Submission

---

Additional Considerations​

• Cardio in a Five-Round Fight: Both fighters have solid cardio, but Rakhmonov’s ability to maintain a grappling-heavy pace over five rounds could test Garry’s endurance.
• Striking vs. Grappling: Garry’s striking is sharper, but Rakhmonov’s grappling is a clear advantage. If Rakhmonov can drag the fight to the mat, Garry will face significant challenges.

---

Summary​

Rakhmonov’s well-rounded skill set, grappling advantage, and ability to finish fights make him the favorite in this matchup. The prediction is that Rakhmonov will secure a submission in the fourth round after wearing Garry down with relentless grappling pressure.
Garry’s path to victory lies in keeping the fight standing and using his technical striking to outpoint Rakhmonov over five rounds or land a significant strike to finish the fight. However, Rakhmonov’s ability to mix striking and grappling effectively gives him the edge in this highly competitive fight.



CO-MAIN EVENT 2


Shavkat Rakhmonov vs. Ian Machado Garry – 5 Rounds

Fighter Profiles​

Shavkat Rakhmonov​

• Striking:90
  • Diversity: 88
  • Power: 90
  • Accuracy: 90
• Grappling:92
  • Takedowns: 88
  • Takedown Defense: 85
  • Submissions: 95
• Physical Traits:92
  • Strength: 90
  • Cardio: 90
  • Durability: 92
• Weight Cut: 90
• Gym Quality:90
  • Fight Team: 90
  • Training Partners: 90

Ian Machado Garry​

• Striking:93
  • Diversity: 90
  • Power: 88
  • Accuracy: 93
• Grappling:80
  • Takedowns: 75
  • Takedown Defense: 82
  • Submissions: 78
• Physical Traits:90
  • Strength: 85
  • Cardio: 90
  • Durability: 88
• Weight Cut: 90
• Gym Quality:90
  • Fight Team: 90
  • Training Partners: 90

---

Comparative Analysis​

Striking​

• Power and Accuracy: Garry has a slight edge in striking accuracy and overall technical precision, utilizing range and timing exceptionally well. Rakhmonov, however, has significant power and diverse striking setups, including his ability to mix striking into his grappling transitions.
• Diversity: Both fighters have diverse striking arsenals, but Garry’s use of angles and range gives him a slight advantage in striking exchanges.

Grappling​

• Submissions and Takedowns: Rakhmonov has a significant advantage in grappling, with elite submission skills and strong takedowns. He is highly efficient at chaining grappling sequences and controlling opponents. Garry has solid takedown defense but hasn’t faced someone with Rakhmonov’s caliber of grappling.
• Defense: Garry will need to use footwork and range to avoid Rakhmonov’s takedown attempts and grappling pressure.

Physical Traits​

• Strength and Durability: Rakhmonov’s physicality and durability give him an edge in grinding exchanges and prolonged battles. Garry is resilient but has yet to face someone with Rakhmonov’s relentless style.
• Cardio: Both fighters have excellent cardio, making them well-suited for a high-paced, five-round fight.

Weight Cut and Gym Quality​

• Both fighters manage weight cuts efficiently and train at elite gyms with high-level sparring partners. This factor is evenly matched.

---

Scoring​

Metric	Shavkat Rakhmonov	Ian Machado Garry
Striking	90	93
Grappling	92	80
Physical Traits	92	90
Weight Cut	90	90
Gym Quality	90	90
Total	454	443

---

Prediction​

• Predicted Winner: Shavkat Rakhmonov
• Confidence: 58%
• Method of Victory: Submission
• Round: 4

---

Summary​

This five-round welterweight bout is a clash of elite technical striking versus relentless grappling and finishing ability. Ian Machado Garry’s striking accuracy, range management, and ability to keep opponents at bay make him a serious threat on the feet. However, Shavkat Rakhmonov’s well-rounded skills, grappling dominance, and durability give him a slight overall edge.

If Rakhmonov can close the distance and implement his grappling, he is likely to wear Garry down over the course of the fight. Garry’s path to victory lies in maintaining range and out-striking Rakhmonov while avoiding prolonged grappling exchanges. Ultimately, Rakhmonov’s ability to mix striking with grappling and his relentless pressure should allow him to secure a late-round submission in this highly competitive matchup.

 

[DoctorTaco]

I ran the card through and was going to make Tapology picks based off of it but got frustrated at their bullshit system and gave up.

But, I’ve got;
Doo ho Choi +124
Vincent Luque +145
Cody durden +136
Eryk anders -120
Aljo +210
guida at +550.

45 bucks on each, but I was up enough that I only stand to lose 65 dollars if they all flop.

 

[TCE]

I ran the card through and was going to make Tapology picks based off of it but got frustrated at their bullshit system and gave up.

But, I’ve got;
Doo ho Choi +124
Vincent Luque +145
Cody durden +136
Eryk anders -120
Aljo +210
guida at +550.

45 bucks on each, but I was up enough that I only stand to lose 65 dollars if they all flop.

How much would you win if all came through?

 

[TCE]

This was someone on my channel. What a fucking win.

 

[DoctorTaco]

How much would you win if all came through?

A little more than 900. I’ll getcha something nice if I clear 1k in the account

 

[Gregoire1]

Jones vs Aspinall - do it!

 

[DoctorTaco]

Jones vs Aspinall - do it!

Jon Jones vs. Tom Aspinall Prediction​

Fight Details​

• Weight Class: Heavyweight (265 lbs)
• Scheduled Rounds: 5 (assuming a championship fight)
• Key Context: Jon Jones, widely regarded as one of the greatest mixed martial artists, is the reigning UFC Heavyweight Champion, having recently transitioned from a dominant Light Heavyweight career. Tom Aspinall, a rising contender with elite speed, striking, and grappling for a heavyweight, presents a unique challenge.

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Fighter Profiles and Scoring​

Jon Jones​

• Record: 27-1 (1 NC)
• Height: 6'4"
• Reach: 84.5"
• Stance: Orthodox
• Gym: Jackson Wink MMA Academy
• Style: Well-rounded, elite fight IQ, exceptional clinch game, wrestling, and striking diversity.

Metrics Analysis

1. Striking (85/100):
   Jones uses an unorthodox striking arsenal, including oblique kicks, spinning elbows, and long-range jabs. While not a power puncher, he excels in control and volume.
2. Grappling (95/100):
   Elite wrestler with superb clinch control, takedowns, and devastating ground-and-pound.
3. Physical Traits (90/100):
   Incredible reach advantage and durability, though his heavyweight cardio remains somewhat untested in a long fight.
4. Fight IQ (98/100):
   Arguably his strongest asset. Jones excels at reading opponents and adapting mid-fight.
5. Training Partners (80/100):
   Training at Jackson Wink offers high-level partners, though the camp lacks modern heavyweights for direct preparation.

Total Score: 448/500

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Tom Aspinall​

• Record: 14-3
• Height: 6'5"
• Reach: 78"
• Stance: Orthodox
• Gym: Team Kaobon
• Style: Explosive striking, quick movement, and high-level grappling for a heavyweight.

Metrics Analysis

1. Striking (90/100):
   Aspinall is one of the most fluid and fast heavyweights, with excellent boxing fundamentals and knockout power.
2. Grappling (88/100):
   Skilled Brazilian jiu-jitsu practitioner with solid takedown defense and submission skills.
3. Physical Traits (85/100):
   Strong, fast, and athletic for the division but lacks Jones's unique reach and frame.
4. Fight IQ (85/100):
   Aspinall is improving rapidly, but he hasn't faced an opponent as cerebral as Jones.
5. Training Partners (85/100):
   Working with high-level grapplers and strikers in Europe but without the depth of Jones's experience.

Total Score: 438/500

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Fight Breakdown and Prediction​

1. Striking:
   • Jones will use his reach advantage and diverse techniques to keep Aspinall at bay, using oblique kicks and sidekicks to disrupt Aspinall's rhythm.
   • Aspinall's speed and boxing could pose problems early, but Jones's ability to control distance may neutralize these advantages.
2. Grappling:
   • Aspinall is skilled, but Jones's wrestling pedigree and clinch dominance give him the edge in grappling exchanges.
   • If the fight goes to the ground, Jones's top control and elbows are devastating.
3. Physical Factors:
   • Jones's durability and composure under pressure are proven, while Aspinall's explosiveness makes him dangerous early. However, if the fight drags into later rounds, Jones has the cardio edge.
4. Fight IQ and Experience:
   • Jones has consistently outclassed elite opponents with his adaptability. Aspinall, while talented, lacks experience against someone as seasoned and versatile as Jones.

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Prediction Summary​

• Winner: Jon Jones
• Method: Submission (rear-naked choke)
• Round: 3
• Confidence: 75%

Rationale:​

While Aspinall's speed and athleticism pose a significant challenge, Jon Jones's reach, fight IQ, and grappling superiority should allow him to control the fight and secure a finish. Aspinall's best chance lies in an early blitz, but Jones's defensive acumen makes this unlikely. If Aspinall doesn't capitalize early, Jones will systematically wear him down and finish him in the mid-rounds.

 

[DoctorTaco]

@TSaL broke Even on the last card, came out 4 bucks ahead.

I’m wondering if there’s some merit to waiting til the last minute to ask the ai to pick winners so that it has opportunity to scour and consider the last minute breakdown articles people write and post

 

[TCE]

Hey @TSaL not sure if you're still improving this thing but I just put Colby/Buckley through, and it seems to be out of date on their records. It says Buckley is 16 - 6, but he's 20 - 6 now. Any chance this can be updated to current times please? Will likely change the predictions on a lot of these fights.

Colby Covington vs. Joaquin Buckley (5 Rounds)​

Fighter Profiles:​

Colby Covington:

• Age: 35
• Height: 5'11"
• Reach: 72"
• Record: 17-3 (4 KOs, 4 Submissions, 9 Decisions)
• Weight Class: Welterweight (170 lbs)
• Gym: MMA Masters
• Training Partners: Ricardo Lamas, Vicente Luque
• Last 5 Fights: 3-2

Joaquin Buckley:

• Age: 29
• Height: 5'10"
• Reach: 76"
• Record: 16-6 (12 KOs, 0 Submissions, 4 Decisions)
• Weight Class: Welterweight (170 lbs)
• Gym: Finney's MMA
• Training Partners: Anthony Pettis, Tyron Woodley
• Last 5 Fights: 3-2

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Scoring Metrics:​

1. Striking (1-100):
   • Colby Covington: 82
   • Joaquin Buckley: 85
2. Grappling (1-100):
   • Colby Covington: 92
   • Joaquin Buckley: 75
3. Physical Traits (Height, Reach) (1-100):
   • Colby Covington: 78
   • Joaquin Buckley: 80
4. Weight Cut (Ease and Efficiency) (1-100):
   • Colby Covington: 85
   • Joaquin Buckley: 80
5. Gym Quality (1-100):
   • Colby Covington: 90
   • Joaquin Buckley: 83
6. Training Partners (1-100):
   • Colby Covington: 90
   • Joaquin Buckley: 80
7. Striking Diversity (1-100):
   • Colby Covington: 80
   • Joaquin Buckley: 83
8. Power Punches Landed (1-100):
   • Colby Covington: 75
   • Joaquin Buckley: 90
9. Takedown Defense (1-100):
   • Colby Covington: 88
   • Joaquin Buckley: 80

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Weighted Scores Calculation:​

• Striking (20%):
  • Colby Covington: 82 * 0.20 = 16.4
  • Joaquin Buckley: 85 * 0.20 = 17
• Grappling (20%):
  • Colby Covington: 92 * 0.20 = 18.4
  • Joaquin Buckley: 75 * 0.20 = 15
• Physical Traits (10%):
  • Colby Covington: 78 * 0.10 = 7.8
  • Joaquin Buckley: 80 * 0.10 = 8
• Weight Cut (10%):
  • Colby Covington: 85 * 0.10 = 8.5
  • Joaquin Buckley: 80 * 0.10 = 8
• Gym Quality (10%):
  • Colby Covington: 90 * 0.10 = 9
  • Joaquin Buckley: 83 * 0.10 = 8.3
• Training Partners (10%):
  • Colby Covington: 90 * 0.10 = 9
  • Joaquin Buckley: 80 * 0.10 = 8
• Striking Diversity (10%):
  • Colby Covington: 80 * 0.10 = 8
  • Joaquin Buckley: 83 * 0.10 = 8.3
• Power Punches Landed (5%):
  • Colby Covington: 75 * 0.05 = 3.75
  • Joaquin Buckley: 90 * 0.05 = 4.5
• Takedown Defense (5%):
  • Colby Covington: 88 * 0.05 = 4.4
  • Joaquin Buckley: 80 * 0.05 = 4

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Total Scores:​

• Colby Covington: 84.25
• Joaquin Buckley: 81.1

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Prediction Summary:​

• Predicted Winner: Colby Covington
• Confidence Percentage: 65%
• Method of Victory: Unanimous Decision
• Round: Final round (5)

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Additional Considerations:​

• Striking Matchup: Buckley holds the edge in power and explosiveness, but Covington’s high-volume striking and pace could wear Buckley down over five rounds.
• Grappling: Covington’s elite wrestling and cardio advantage are likely to dictate the fight’s pace and location, neutralizing Buckley’s striking with clinch work and takedowns.
• Physical Traits: Buckley’s reach advantage and compact build make him dangerous in exchanges, but Covington’s overall durability and movement will mitigate these threats.
• Cardio and Durability: Covington’s legendary cardio and ability to push the pace over five rounds heavily favor him in this longer fight.

Colby Covington is expected to win by unanimous decision, leveraging his wrestling, pace, and pressure to control Joaquin Buckley across five rounds, negating Buckley’s power and explosiveness.

 

[DoctorTaco]

Main Card Predictions​

1. Colby Covington vs. Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight Main Event)
   • Prediction: Colby Covington via unanimous decision (Round 5).
   • Reasoning: Covington's elite cardio, pressure-heavy wrestling, and striking volume edge out Buckley's explosiveness and power. Covington is likely to neutralize Buckley's stand-up with constant takedowns and control.
2. Cub Swanson vs. Billy Quarantillo (Featherweight)
   • Prediction: Billy Quarantillo via TKO (Round 3).
   • Reasoning: Swanson is a veteran with strong technique, but Quarantillo’s pace, durability, and striking volume could wear him down in the later rounds.
3. Manel Kape vs. Bruno Silva (Flyweight)
   • Prediction: Manel Kape via KO (Round 2).
   • Reasoning: Kape’s knockout power and timing give him the advantage over Silva’s well-rounded game, especially on the feet.
4. Vitor Petrino vs. Dustin Jacoby (Light Heavyweight)
   • Prediction: Dustin Jacoby via decision.
   • Reasoning: Jacoby’s kickboxing experience and ability to manage range can outpoint Petrino, despite the latter’s heavy hands.
5. Adrian Yanez vs. Daniel Marcos (Bantamweight)
   • Prediction: Adrian Yanez via KO (Round 3).
   • Reasoning: Yanez’s sharp boxing and counter-striking should overwhelm the undefeated Marcos, though it could be competitive early.

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Preliminary Card Predictions​

1. Navajo Stirling vs. George Tokkos (Light Heavyweight)
   • Prediction: George Tokkos via submission (Round 1).
   • Reasoning: Tokkos' grappling expertise makes him dangerous in the opening exchanges, particularly against a less experienced Stirling.
2. Michael Johnson vs. Ottman Azaitar (Lightweight)
   • Prediction: Michael Johnson via decision.
   • Reasoning: Johnson’s speed and striking should allow him to stay ahead of Azaitar, though his defensive lapses remain a concern.
3. Joel Alvarez vs. Drakkar Klose (Lightweight)
   • Prediction: Joel Alvarez via submission (Round 2).
   • Reasoning: Alvarez’s size, submission skills, and recent performances give him a solid edge against the gritty but less dynamic Klose.
4. Sean Woodson vs. Fernando Padilla (Featherweight)
   • Prediction: Sean Woodson via decision.
   • Reasoning: Woodson’s height, reach, and volume striking should control the fight against Padilla’s power.
5. Miles Johns vs. Felipe Lima (Bantamweight)
   • Prediction: Felipe Lima via decision.
   • Reasoning: Lima’s youth and aggressive striking could prove too much for the veteran Johns, despite his durability.
6. Miranda Maverick vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth (Women’s Flyweight)
   • Prediction: Miranda Maverick via submission (Round 2).
   • Reasoning: Maverick’s well-rounded skill set and grappling advantage make her a favorite in this matchup.
7. Davey Grant vs. Ramon Taveras (Bantamweight)
   • Prediction: Davey Grant via TKO (Round 3).
   • Reasoning: Grant’s unorthodox striking and experience should overwhelm Taveras late in the fight.
8. Josefine Knutsson vs. Piera Rodriguez (Women’s Strawweight)
   • Prediction: Josefine Knutsson via decision.
   • **Reasoning

 

[TSaL]

Hey @TSaL not sure if you're still improving this thing but I just put Colby/Buckley through, and it seems to be out of date on their records. It says Buckley is 16 - 6, but he's 20 - 6 now. Any chance this can be updated to current times please? Will likely change the predictions on a lot of these fights.

Colby Covington vs. Joaquin Buckley (5 Rounds)​

Fighter Profiles:​

Colby Covington:

• Age: 35
• Height: 5'11"
• Reach: 72"
• Record: 17-3 (4 KOs, 4 Submissions, 9 Decisions)
• Weight Class: Welterweight (170 lbs)
• Gym: MMA Masters
• Training Partners: Ricardo Lamas, Vicente Luque
• Last 5 Fights: 3-2

Joaquin Buckley:

• Age: 29
• Height: 5'10"
• Reach: 76"
• Record: 16-6 (12 KOs, 0 Submissions, 4 Decisions)
• Weight Class: Welterweight (170 lbs)
• Gym: Finney's MMA
• Training Partners: Anthony Pettis, Tyron Woodley
• Last 5 Fights: 3-2

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Scoring Metrics:​

1. Striking (1-100):
   • Colby Covington: 82
   • Joaquin Buckley: 85
2. Grappling (1-100):
   • Colby Covington: 92
   • Joaquin Buckley: 75
3. Physical Traits (Height, Reach) (1-100):
   • Colby Covington: 78
   • Joaquin Buckley: 80
4. Weight Cut (Ease and Efficiency) (1-100):
   • Colby Covington: 85
   • Joaquin Buckley: 80
5. Gym Quality (1-100):
   • Colby Covington: 90
   • Joaquin Buckley: 83
6. Training Partners (1-100):
   • Colby Covington: 90
   • Joaquin Buckley: 80
7. Striking Diversity (1-100):
   • Colby Covington: 80
   • Joaquin Buckley: 83
8. Power Punches Landed (1-100):
   • Colby Covington: 75
   • Joaquin Buckley: 90
9. Takedown Defense (1-100):
   • Colby Covington: 88
   • Joaquin Buckley: 80

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Weighted Scores Calculation:​

• Striking (20%):
  • Colby Covington: 82 * 0.20 = 16.4
  • Joaquin Buckley: 85 * 0.20 = 17
• Grappling (20%):
  • Colby Covington: 92 * 0.20 = 18.4
  • Joaquin Buckley: 75 * 0.20 = 15
• Physical Traits (10%):
  • Colby Covington: 78 * 0.10 = 7.8
  • Joaquin Buckley: 80 * 0.10 = 8
• Weight Cut (10%):
  • Colby Covington: 85 * 0.10 = 8.5
  • Joaquin Buckley: 80 * 0.10 = 8
• Gym Quality (10%):
  • Colby Covington: 90 * 0.10 = 9
  • Joaquin Buckley: 83 * 0.10 = 8.3
• Training Partners (10%):
  • Colby Covington: 90 * 0.10 = 9
  • Joaquin Buckley: 80 * 0.10 = 8
• Striking Diversity (10%):
  • Colby Covington: 80 * 0.10 = 8
  • Joaquin Buckley: 83 * 0.10 = 8.3
• Power Punches Landed (5%):
  • Colby Covington: 75 * 0.05 = 3.75
  • Joaquin Buckley: 90 * 0.05 = 4.5
• Takedown Defense (5%):
  • Colby Covington: 88 * 0.05 = 4.4
  • Joaquin Buckley: 80 * 0.05 = 4

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Total Scores:​

• Colby Covington: 84.25
• Joaquin Buckley: 81.1

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Prediction Summary:​

• Predicted Winner: Colby Covington
• Confidence Percentage: 65%
• Method of Victory: Unanimous Decision
• Round: Final round (5)

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Additional Considerations:​

• Striking Matchup: Buckley holds the edge in power and explosiveness, but Covington’s high-volume striking and pace could wear Buckley down over five rounds.
• Grappling: Covington’s elite wrestling and cardio advantage are likely to dictate the fight’s pace and location, neutralizing Buckley’s striking with clinch work and takedowns.
• Physical Traits: Buckley’s reach advantage and compact build make him dangerous in exchanges, but Covington’s overall durability and movement will mitigate these threats.
• Cardio and Durability: Covington’s legendary cardio and ability to push the pace over five rounds heavily favor him in this longer fight.

Colby Covington is expected to win by unanimous decision, leveraging his wrestling, pace, and pressure to control Joaquin Buckley across five rounds, negating Buckley’s power and explosiveness.

I could try and improve it but just not willing to pay to do it. This MMA Prediction stuff is everywhere now anyways. I would guess many are much better them mine.

 

[DoctorTaco]

I could try and improve it but just not willing to pay to do it. This MMA Prediction stuff is everywhere now anyways. I would guess many are much better them mine.

What would it cost?

 

[Gregoire1]

Peak Ngannou vs current Aspinall?
Merab vs Umar (current)
Islam vs Arman (current)
Belal vs Shavkat (current)
peak Chimaev vs peak GSP