Created a MMA fight Picker GPT

Is this thing no more?
 
Still waiting for a better OpenAI gpt to drop 4o didn't seem to change much. Wishing on a strawberry might drop with some reason. ;)
Don't know what the strawberry reference means but I click on this thread every time as soon as I see it bumped.
I'm very interested in how it might play out in the long run.
 
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Don't know what the strawberry reference means but I click on this thread every time as soon as I see it bumped.
I'm very interested in how it might play out in the long run.
There is a rumor that OpenAI is working on an LLM that does reasoning. this would be a big thing if it true. This reasoning is need to push AI toward AGI and at some point ASI. GPT and LLM are not good at reasoning puzzles that they never seen in training. These puzzles are pretty trivial to humans to solve. Check out this site for an example of a puzzle. https://arcprize.org/
 
I ran the analysis of Fedor vs Lesnar in a cage considering Fedor's past performances. Here is what Chat GPT gave me.

Prediction​

  • Winner: Brock Lesnar
  • Confidence: 60%
  • Method: TKO (Ground and Pound)
  • Round: 2

Final Analysis

Given Fedor Emelianenko's struggles in the cage and the fact that Fabio Maldonado, a fighter with lesser credentials than Brock Lesnar, nearly defeated him, it’s reasonable to reassess the matchup.
Lesnar’s Path to Victory:
  • Wrestling Dominance: Lesnar’s wrestling could prove overwhelming, especially if he can secure early takedowns and maintain top control.
  • Ground and Pound: Lesnar’s ground-and-pound could exploit Fedor’s vulnerabilities, leading to a potential TKO.
Fedor’s Path to Victory:
  • Surviving Early Pressure: If Fedor can survive Lesnar’s initial onslaught, his striking and submission skills could become more effective as the fight progresses.
  • Finding Openings: Fedor’s experience and adaptability would allow him to capitalize on any mistakes made by Lesnar.
Conclusion :While Fedor Emelianenko’s prime skills and versatility make him a formidable opponent, Brock Lesnar’s size, strength, and wrestling, combined with Fedor’s noted struggles in the cage against less dominant fighters, give Lesnar a slight edge in this hypothetical matchup. Lesnar’s ability to control the fight and apply ground-and-pound effectively would likely lead to a TKO victory.
 
I ran the analysis of Fedor vs Lesnar in a cage considering Fedor's past performances. Here is what Chat GPT gave me.

Prediction​

  • Winner: Brock Lesnar
  • Confidence: 60%
  • Method: TKO (Ground and Pound)
  • Round: 2

Final Analysis

Given Fedor Emelianenko's struggles in the cage and the fact that Fabio Maldonado, a fighter with lesser credentials than Brock Lesnar, nearly defeated him, it’s reasonable to reassess the matchup.
Lesnar’s Path to Victory:
  • Wrestling Dominance: Lesnar’s wrestling could prove overwhelming, especially if he can secure early takedowns and maintain top control.
  • Ground and Pound: Lesnar’s ground-and-pound could exploit Fedor’s vulnerabilities, leading to a potential TKO.
Fedor’s Path to Victory:
  • Surviving Early Pressure: If Fedor can survive Lesnar’s initial onslaught, his striking and submission skills could become more effective as the fight progresses.
  • Finding Openings: Fedor’s experience and adaptability would allow him to capitalize on any mistakes made by Lesnar.
Conclusion :While Fedor Emelianenko’s prime skills and versatility make him a formidable opponent, Brock Lesnar’s size, strength, and wrestling, combined with Fedor’s noted struggles in the cage against less dominant fighters, give Lesnar a slight edge in this hypothetical matchup. Lesnar’s ability to control the fight and apply ground-and-pound effectively would likely lead to a TKO victory.
I'm interested in the prompt you used. Can you share?
 
Here is for if they fought in 2009:
Predicted Winner: Georges St-Pierre (GSP)
Expected Round: 5
Manner of Victory: Decision


Detailed Breakdown for a 2009 Matchup:​

Georges St-Pierre (GSP) - Circa 2009:​

  1. Striking Accuracy: 78 - Effective and precise, particularly with his jab and superman punch.
  2. Wrestling Ability: 97 - At his peak in wrestling, exceptionally dominant in controlling opponents.
  3. BJJ Skills: 85 - Strong defensive and control-oriented BJJ.
  4. Cardio and Stamina: 95 - Known for his unparalleled cardio, crucial over 5 rounds.
  5. Fight IQ: 96 - Exceptional at devising and adapting strategies mid-fight.
  6. Weight Cut: 85 - Efficient, with a well-managed approach to making welterweight.
  7. Reach: 76 - Adequate reach, utilized well in combination with his diverse skill set.
  8. Training Center/Team: 92 - Trained with some of the best coaches and training partners available.
  9. Recent Performance: 93 - In 2009, was at the top of his game, dominating the welterweight division.
  10. Mental Strength: 95 - Known for his focus and mental fortitude, especially in high-stakes fights.

Anderson Silva - Circa 2009:​

  1. Striking Accuracy: 95 - At his striking peak, with extraordinary precision and power.
  2. Wrestling Defense: 80 - Good takedown defense, but not as tested against elite wrestlers like GSP.
  3. BJJ Skills: 92 - Offensively very dangerous, with a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu.
  4. Cardio and Stamina: 88 - Reliable cardio, though not as tested in longer, grueling wrestling-based fights.
  5. Fight IQ: 94 - Known for his creativity and adaptability, but sometimes prone to underestimating opponents.
  6. Weight Cut: 80 - Consistent in making middleweight, with no major issues.
  7. Reach: 88 - Significant reach advantage, very effective in his striking game.
  8. Training Center/Team: 90 - Trained with top-tier teams, contributing to his well-rounded skills.
  9. Recent Performance: 95 - Dominating the middleweight division with spectacular finishes.
  10. Mental Strength: 92 - Confident and composed, but occasionally overconfident in his approach.
In this 2009 matchup, both fighters were arguably in their primes. GSP's superior wrestling and game planning give him the edge, allowing him to control Silva and mitigate his striking advantage. Silva's striking and BJJ prowess are significant threats, but GSP's ability to dictate the pace and location of the fight likely leads to a decision victory for him.
GSP by decision is always a safe prediction lol.
 
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Iran the analysis of Fedor vs Lesnar in a cage considering Fedor's past performances. Here is what Chat GPT gave me.

Prediction​

  • Winner: Brock Lesnar
  • Confidence: 60%
  • Method: TKO (Ground and Pound)
  • Round: 2

Final Analysis

Given Fedor Emelianenko's struggles in the cage and the fact that Fabio Maldonado, a fighter with lesser credentials than Brock Lesnar, nearly defeated him, it’s reasonable to reassess the matchup.
Lesnar’s Path to Victory:
  • Wrestling Dominance: Lesnar’s wrestling could prove overwhelming, especially if he can secure early takedowns and maintain top control.
  • Ground and Pound: Lesnar’s ground-and-pound could exploit Fedor’s vulnerabilities, leading to a potential TKO.
Fedor’s Path to Victory:
  • Surviving Early Pressure: If Fedor can survive Lesnar’s initial onslaught, his striking and submission skills could become more effective as the fight progresses.
  • Finding Openings: Fedor’s experience and adaptability would allow him to capitalize on any mistakes made by Lesnar.
Conclusion :While Fedor Emelianenko’s prime skills and versatility make him a formidable opponent, Brock Lesnar’s size, strength, and wrestling, combined with Fedor’s noted struggles in the cage against less dominant fighters, give Lesnar a slight edge in this hypothetical matchup. Lesnar’s ability to control the fight and apply ground-and-pound effectively would likely lead to a TKO victory.
It knew what I knew all along..
14024e2b6a74d44b4be3c1fcc0208ac0cdd88851.gifv
 
I'm interested in the prompt you used. Can you share?

Not sure what the user you replied to is using but on my Chat GPT, I have 4 tabs on the left. All 4 come up with different layouts, if that's what you're implying when you said 'prompts'.

1.

Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad​

Fighter Profiles:​

Leon Edwards:

  • Age: 31
  • Height: 6'0"
  • Reach: 74"
  • Record: 21-3 (7 KOs, 3 Submissions, 11 Decisions)
  • Weight Class: Welterweight (170 lbs)
  • Gym: Team Renegade BJJ & MMA
  • Training Partners: Tom Breese, Jai Herbert
  • Last 5 Fights: 5-0
Belal Muhammad:

  • Age: 35
  • Height: 5'11"
  • Reach: 72"
  • Record: 23-3 (5 KOs, 1 Submission, 17 Decisions)
  • Weight Class: Welterweight (170 lbs)
  • Gym: Roufusport
  • Training Partners: Anthony Pettis, Gerald Meerschaert
  • Last 5 Fights: 5-0

Scoring Metrics:​

  1. Striking (1-100):
    • Leon Edwards: 88
    • Belal Muhammad: 80
  2. Grappling (1-100):
    • Leon Edwards: 82
    • Belal Muhammad: 85
  3. Physical Traits (Height, Reach) (1-100):
    • Leon Edwards: 80
    • Belal Muhammad: 78
  4. Weight Cut (Ease and Efficiency) (1-100):
    • Leon Edwards: 80
    • Belal Muhammad: 80
  5. Gym Quality (1-100):
    • Leon Edwards: 85
    • Belal Muhammad: 85
  6. Training Partners (1-100):
    • Leon Edwards: 85
    • Belal Muhammad: 83
  7. Striking Diversity (1-100):
    • Leon Edwards: 85
    • Belal Muhammad: 80
  8. Power Punches Landed (1-100):
    • Leon Edwards: 83
    • Belal Muhammad: 78
  9. Takedown Defense (1-100):
    • Leon Edwards: 82
    • Belal Muhammad: 85

Weighted Scores Calculation:​

  • Striking (20%):
    • Leon Edwards: 88 * 0.20 = 17.6
    • Belal Muhammad: 80 * 0.20 = 16
  • Grappling (20%):
    • Leon Edwards: 82 * 0.20 = 16.4
    • Belal Muhammad: 85 * 0.20 = 17
  • Physical Traits (10%):
    • Leon Edwards: 80 * 0.10 = 8
    • Belal Muhammad: 78 * 0.10 = 7.8
  • Weight Cut (10%):
    • Leon Edwards: 80 * 0.10 = 8
    • Belal Muhammad: 80 * 0.10 = 8
  • Gym Quality (10%):
    • Leon Edwards: 85 * 0.10 = 8.5
    • Belal Muhammad: 85 * 0.10 = 8.5
  • Training Partners (10%):
    • Leon Edwards: 85 * 0.10 = 8.5
    • Belal Muhammad: 83 * 0.10 = 8.3
  • Striking Diversity (10%):
    • Leon Edwards: 85 * 0.10 = 8.5
    • Belal Muhammad: 80 * 0.10 = 8
  • Power Punches Landed (5%):
    • Leon Edwards: 83 * 0.05 = 4.15
    • Belal Muhammad: 78 * 0.05 = 3.9
  • Takedown Defense (5%):
    • Leon Edwards: 82 * 0.05 = 4.1
    • Belal Muhammad: 85 * 0.05 = 4.25

Total Scores:​

  • Leon Edwards: 83.75
  • Belal Muhammad: 79.75

Prediction Summary:​

  • Predicted Winner: Leon Edwards
  • Confidence Percentage: 65%
  • Method of Victory: Unanimous Decision
  • Round: Final round (5)
Additional Considerations:

  • Striking Matchup: Edwards has a significant edge in striking and striking diversity, making him more dangerous on the feet.
  • Grappling: Muhammad has a slight advantage in grappling, but Edwards' takedown defense is strong enough to neutralize this threat.
  • Physical Traits: Edwards' reach advantage will help him manage distance effectively.
  • Experience and Training: Both fighters come from top-quality gyms and have strong training partners, ensuring they are well-prepared for this bout.
Leon Edwards is expected to win by unanimous decision, utilizing his superior striking and distance management to outpoint Belal Muhammad over five rounds.

2.
Fight Analysis: Leon Edwards (c) vs. Belal Muhammad - Welterweight

Leon Edwards


  • Strengths: Edwards is a well-rounded fighter with exceptional striking, especially in his kickboxing. He has precise and technical striking, with a solid jab and effective kicks. Edwards also has strong clinch work and grappling, often using his defensive wrestling to keep the fight standing where he is most comfortable.
  • Weaknesses: While Edwards is highly skilled, he can sometimes start slowly and be cautious in the early rounds. His approach can sometimes lack aggression, which can be an issue against high-pressure fighters.
  • Physical Attributes: Edwards is 6'0" with a reach of 74 inches. His height and reach advantage allow him to maintain distance and control the pace of the fight.
Belal Muhammad

  • Strengths: Muhammad is known for his relentless pressure and cardio. He has a well-rounded game with solid striking and strong wrestling. Muhammad’s ability to mix his striking with takedowns makes him a versatile threat. His durability and pace can overwhelm opponents over the course of a fight.
  • Weaknesses: Muhammad lacks finishing power, often relying on volume and control to win decisions. His striking, while effective, is not as technical or powerful as some of the elite strikers in the division.
  • Physical Attributes: Muhammad is 5'11" with a reach of 72 inches. His physical conditioning and cardio are top-notch, allowing him to push a high pace for all five rounds.

Scoring Comparison​

Striking:

  • Edwards: 90/100
  • Muhammad: 80/100
Grappling:

  • Edwards: 80/100
  • Muhammad: 85/100
Physical Traits:

  • Edwards: 85/100
  • Muhammad: 85/100
Gym Quality & Training Partners:

  • Both fighters train at high-level gyms with access to elite training partners. Edwards’s camp focuses on developing his striking and defensive wrestling, while Muhammad’s camp emphasizes a well-rounded approach with a focus on conditioning and pressure fighting.

Prediction​

This fight is likely to feature a contrast in styles, with Edwards looking to use his striking and distance control, while Muhammad will aim to pressure and mix in his wrestling.

  • Prediction Confidence: 70%
  • Predicted Winner: Leon Edwards
  • Round: 5
  • Method of Victory: Decision

Additional Considerations​

  • Weight Class Impact: At welterweight, both fighters possess the strength and endurance necessary to compete at the highest level. Edwards’s striking precision and ability to manage distance will be key against Muhammad’s relentless pressure.
  • Recent Form: Edwards’s recent performances, including his win over Kamaru Usman to capture the title, demonstrate his ability to compete and win against the elite of the division. Muhammad’s recent winning streak and improvements in his overall game also make him a formidable challenger.

Summary​

This analysis suggests that while Muhammad’s pressure and wrestling can pose significant challenges, Edwards’s superior striking, defensive wrestling, and ability to manage distance give him the edge. The prediction is that Edwards will retain his title by decision after effectively countering Muhammad’s pressure and utilizing his striking to control the fight.

Muhammad’s path to victory involves closing the distance, implementing his wrestling, and maintaining a high pace to disrupt Edwards’s rhythm. If Muhammad can consistently pressure Edwards and mix in takedowns, he could potentially edge out a decision victory.
 
3.
Leon Edwards (c) vs. Belal Muhammad

Fighter Profiles​

Leon Edwards​

  • Striking:90
    • Diversity: 88
    • Power: 85
    • Accuracy: 90
  • Grappling:85
    • Takedowns: 80
    • Takedown Defense: 90
    • Submissions: 85
  • Physical Traits:90
    • Strength: 88
    • Cardio: 90
    • Durability: 88
  • Weight Cut: 90
  • Gym Quality:90
    • Fight Team: 90
    • Training Partners: 90

Belal Muhammad​

  • Striking:85
    • Diversity: 83
    • Power: 80
    • Accuracy: 85
  • Grappling:88
    • Takedowns: 90
    • Takedown Defense: 85
    • Submissions: 80
  • Physical Traits:88
    • Strength: 88
    • Cardio: 92
    • Durability: 88
  • Weight Cut: 88
  • Gym Quality:88
    • Fight Team: 88
    • Training Partners: 88

Comparative Analysis​

Striking​

  • Power and Accuracy: Edwards has a slight edge in striking power and accuracy, with more technical and precise stand-up skills.
  • Diversity: Edwards’ striking diversity gives him the ability to adapt and change his approach during the fight.

Grappling​

  • Submissions and Takedowns: Muhammad has a slight edge in takedown ability and overall grappling, but Edwards' strong takedown defense can neutralize many of Muhammad’s attempts.
  • Defense: Edwards’ excellent takedown defense will be crucial in keeping the fight standing where he has an advantage.

Physical Traits​

  • Cardio and Durability: Both fighters have excellent cardio and durability, but Muhammad might have a slight edge in cardio, which is critical in a five-round fight.
  • Strength: Both fighters are equally strong, making physical exchanges evenly matched.

Weight Cut and Gym Quality​

  • Both fighters manage their weight cuts well and train at top-tier gyms, ensuring they come into the fight well-prepared and conditioned.

Scoring​

MetricLeon EdwardsBelal Muhammad
Striking9085
Grappling8588
Physical Traits9088
Weight Cut9088
Gym Quality9088
Total445437

Prediction​

  • Predicted Winner: Leon Edwards
  • Confidence: 55%
  • Method of Victory: Decision
  • Round: 5
Summary: This welterweight championship bout between Leon Edwards and Belal Muhammad is a highly competitive matchup. Edwards’ striking superiority and diverse skill set give him a slight edge over Muhammad. While Muhammad’s grappling and cardio are exceptional, Edwards’ excellent takedown defense and precise striking should allow him to control the fight’s pace. Both fighters are durable and well-conditioned, making it likely that the fight will go the distance. Edwards’ ability to defend takedowns and maintain striking superiority should result in a decision victory after five rounds.

4.
Fight Analysis: Leon Edwards vs. Belal Muhammad – Welterweight Title Bout

1. Fighter Overview:


  • Leon Edwards
    • Striking: Edwards is an exceptional striker with a versatile skill set. He utilizes his reach effectively with a mix of precise punches, powerful kicks, and elbows. His striking defense is also top-notch.
    • Grappling: Strong grappling skills, with excellent defensive wrestling and solid Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. He has good takedown defense and can scramble well if taken down.
    • Physical Traits: Tall and athletic for the division, with excellent conditioning and endurance. He is known for his ability to maintain a high pace throughout five rounds.
    • Weight Cut: Regularly competes at welterweight without significant issues making weight.
    • Gym & Training Partners: Trains at Team Renegade BJJ & MMA, known for producing high-level, well-rounded fighters.
  • Belal Muhammad
    • Striking: Muhammad has a well-rounded striking game focused on volume and pressure. He mixes up his punches and kicks well and is effective at closing the distance and controlling the pace.
    • Grappling: Excellent grappling with a strong wrestling base. He excels in takedowns, ground control, and defensive grappling. His ability to chain wrestle and maintain pressure is a key strength.
    • Physical Traits: Durable and well-conditioned, with the ability to maintain a high work rate throughout the fight. His physical strength and cardio are standout attributes.
    • Weight Cut: Consistently makes weight at welterweight without significant issues.
    • Gym & Training Partners: Trains at Roufusport, known for producing well-rounded fighters with strong striking and grappling skills.
2. Metric Scoring (out of 100):

  • Striking:
    • Edwards: 90
    • Muhammad: 80
  • Grappling:
    • Edwards: 85
    • Muhammad: 90
  • Physical Traits:
    • Edwards: 85
    • Muhammad: 85
  • Weight Cut:
    • Edwards: 85
    • Muhammad: 85
  • Gym Quality:
    • Edwards: 85
    • Muhammad: 85
3. Prediction Analysis:

  • Striking: Edwards' versatile and precise striking gives him a clear advantage in stand-up exchanges. Muhammad's volume and pressure will be challenging, but Edwards' ability to maintain distance and land significant strikes is a key factor.
  • Grappling: Muhammad's wrestling and grappling skills provide an edge in grappling exchanges. Edwards has strong defensive wrestling, but Muhammad's relentless pressure and takedown ability could be pivotal.
  • Physical & Conditioning Factors: Both fighters are well-conditioned and durable. Edwards' ability to maintain a high pace over five rounds contrasts with Muhammad's relentless work rate and pressure.
4. Confidence and Outcome:

  • Confidence Level: 70%
  • Predicted Winner: Leon Edwards
  • Round: 5th round
  • Method of Victory: Decision
5. Additional Considerations:

  • Weight Class: Both fighters are experienced welterweights, so weight management and physical size should not be major differentiators.
  • Fight Dynamics: The key to this fight will be whether Edwards can keep the fight standing and utilize his striking effectively. Muhammad will aim to close the distance, apply pressure, and use his wrestling to control the fight.
In this matchup, Leon Edwards' versatile striking and ability to maintain distance give him a slight edge. While Belal Muhammad's relentless pressure and grappling skills make him a formidable opponent, Edwards' superior striking, defensive grappling, and experience in five-round fights should lead to a victory by decision after a highly competitive bout.
 
Created a MMA fight Picker GPT: https://chat.openai.com/g/g-a4l5RVxni-fight-analyst-advanced

I gave it instructions to look at a fighters then compare then on a few different criteria and give them a weighted score from 1-100. I wouldn't use it to bet on fights or anything. Let me know what you think and if you have idea on how to expand it.


can you do anything to make it not act like a little bitch?! being able to make a decision is the basis of human interaction, for right or for wrong the bot needs to make a decision.

  • Outcome: This fight could go either way, but Dumas’ striking power might give him an edge if he can keep the fight standing and finish early.
  • Likely Scenario: If Dumas can land significant strikes early, he might secure a knockout. However, if Tiuliulin can withstand the early barrage and drag the fight into the later rounds, his experience and grappling might tilt the fight in his favor.
Given these factors, a slight edge goes to Dumas due to his knockout potential, but Tiuliulin's resilience and versatility make it a competitive matchup.

This sounds like nonsense my 2 year old would say comparing pees to corn
 
can you do anything to make it not act like a little bitch?! being able to make a decision is the basis of human interaction, for right or for wrong the bot needs to make a decision.

  • Outcome: This fight could go either way, but Dumas’ striking power might give him an edge if he can keep the fight standing and finish early.
  • Likely Scenario: If Dumas can land significant strikes early, he might secure a knockout. However, if Tiuliulin can withstand the early barrage and drag the fight into the later rounds, his experience and grappling might tilt the fight in his favor.
Given these factors, a slight edge goes to Dumas due to his knockout potential, but Tiuliulin's resilience and versatility make it a competitive matchup.

This sounds like nonsense my 2 year old would say comparing pees to corn

Every time I run it through, it always makes a decision on every fight.
 
I ran the analysis of Fedor vs Lesnar in a cage considering Fedor's past performances. Here is what Chat GPT gave me.

Prediction​

  • Winner: Brock Lesnar
  • Confidence: 60%
  • Method: TKO (Ground and Pound)
  • Round: 2

Final Analysis

Given Fedor Emelianenko's struggles in the cage and the fact that Fabio Maldonado, a fighter with lesser credentials than Brock Lesnar, nearly defeated him, it’s reasonable to reassess the matchup.
Lesnar’s Path to Victory:
  • Wrestling Dominance: Lesnar’s wrestling could prove overwhelming, especially if he can secure early takedowns and maintain top control.
  • Ground and Pound: Lesnar’s ground-and-pound could exploit Fedor’s vulnerabilities, leading to a potential TKO.
Fedor’s Path to Victory:
  • Surviving Early Pressure: If Fedor can survive Lesnar’s initial onslaught, his striking and submission skills could become more effective as the fight progresses.
  • Finding Openings: Fedor’s experience and adaptability would allow him to capitalize on any mistakes made by Lesnar.
Conclusion :While Fedor Emelianenko’s prime skills and versatility make him a formidable opponent, Brock Lesnar’s size, strength, and wrestling, combined with Fedor’s noted struggles in the cage against less dominant fighters, give Lesnar a slight edge in this hypothetical matchup. Lesnar’s ability to control the fight and apply ground-and-pound effectively would likely lead to a TKO victory.
Unpopular but this was my basically my prediction at the time. Still is in retrospect. Fedor was better in basically every possible position except the most likely one; Brock on top. Both standing? Fedor. Clinch? Fedor. Fedor on top? Fedor. Brock on top is the only position I think Lesnar had the edge and unfortunately for Fedor I think that was probably where most of the fight would have played out.
 
There is a rumor that OpenAI is working on an LLM that does reasoning.
Reasoning (or classical logic in this context) would arrive at a binary true/false. It would never factor in probability. It would involve it using Bayesian reasoning (but...this isn't that...) - but of course you knew that, right? ;-)

LLMs don't mean what you're pretending they mean, so this is a pretty weird LARP, but I understand people need to validate themselves in many different ways and this is just your way.

Would suggest building and maintaining a local SQL .db file with historical data and then writing a python script that will use something like a forest tree regression operation on it using dynamic probability floats for each variable you assign. Baseball bettors have been doing low-tech versions of this for 20+ years and it consistently keeps professionals at a steady 55-57% win rate. Football to a lesser extent.
 
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