Cotto-Gomez, worth it at +500?

Discussion in 'Boxing Discussion' started by efloridacoupons, Apr 5, 2008.

  1. efloridacoupons

    efloridacoupons Purple Belt

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    I won a lot on Gomez against Gatti, I love the way Gomez fights.
    At +500, I put a lot on him again against Cotto.
    Anyone else think Gomez has a good chance of upsetting Cotto?
     
  2. Tobacco

    Tobacco --------------------------------------------------

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    Plus 500 translates to Gomez winning one out of every 5 times they fight? Is that right?

    If so, I think the proper odds would be more like +700. So I don't think it's worth it.

    PS: Gatti was totally washed up. Cotto sure as hell isn't.

    But good luck with your bets whatever you choose. :)
     
  3. cottagecheesefan

    cottagecheesefan Silver Belt

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    i'd say more like +950.
     
  4. DaKine460

    DaKine460 Green Belt

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    hey why not but some money on him, the payout would be great but dont go overboard
     
  5. Teedoh74

    Teedoh74 Black Belt

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    Gomez blocks shots with his head, not good.
     
  6. Too $hort

    Too $hort Guest

    no!!!!!but you never know,put 20 bucks on it,a freak accident could happen like him koing himself or he could break a hand or something.
     
  7. Tobacco

    Tobacco --------------------------------------------------

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    Kind of funny the mentality of gamblers. It's simply a risk versus reward tradeoff.

    It's like roulette, do you just bet on one number because a freak thing can happen and you'll hit? In the long run, the outcome is always the same because of the mathematics.

    If you want to bet Gomez, bet because you think the odds of him winning are better than the gambling line. Not because it's a longshot and you win more when longshots win. that's already adjusted for.
     
  8. 5acrossYOeye

    5acrossYOeye Silver Belt

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    i can't see gomez hurting cotto.

    gomez was much bigger than gatti and thats not the case here.
     
  9. Tam-Tam

    Tam-Tam Management vs Labour

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    Sure the odds are fat, but they should be fatter. If you can get Gomez @ +500, it means Cotto is WAY undervalued. Gomez should be at least +900.

    Besides, you don't make money betting on losers.
     
  10. Chute Stomp

    Chute Stomp Brown Belt

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    Holy shit, Alfonso Gomez? He has NO chance here. It's just not gonna happen.
     
  11. pulpduff

    pulpduff Red Belt

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    This reminds me of that commercial that says something like: A good deal, is only a good deal on something you want.
    Then it shows some stereo sales guy giving a dude a sweet deal on an 8-track.


    Dude, if you bet on Gomez you may as well give your money to a street person.

    Seriously, this is such a long shot, the odds should be 100:1 or better.

    I like Gomez, he seems like a nice kid, and I don't begrudge him this payday in any way. He is the quintisential no-hoper here however.

    This would be the most far fetched upset I've ever seen in ALL of sports, not just boxing.
     
  12. GlassJaw

    GlassJaw SBC hustler.

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    I thought he'd seriously open at +800 and above... I'd wait till the fight gets closer, i bet it slides.
     
  13. cottagecheesefan

    cottagecheesefan Silver Belt

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    i have only gambled a few times, and not too familiar with it. I have only noticed it slide to make odds closer, never further apart as the fight drew closer. Would they do that because not enough people bet on gomez?
     
  14. Tam-Tam

    Tam-Tam Management vs Labour

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    All the late money is gonna come from the Rican fanbase, on Cotto. He will firm, Gomez ill get fatter.
     
  15. BobbyBrez

    BobbyBrez Brown Belt

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    Spoken like a true degenerate! I'm so proud!
     
  16. jrdenn

    jrdenn Guest

    Wow! If you're betting on Gomez just give your money to an orphanage. They need it more than a bookie and you're losing it either way!
     
  17. iownyoupunk

    iownyoupunk White Belt

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    I guess Miguel needs a soft fight for once. Gomez will get spanked. He is a tough SOB but I think Cotto by TKO (accumulation of body shots) in round 8.
     
  18. lukeviacoolhand

    lukeviacoolhand Blue Belt

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    What's a lot?

    The last and only time I took a flyer on a line like that was when Serra was +620 against GSP. But, I actually thought Serra had a chance, and I only bet $20.
     
  19. I would bet that Mayorga would Knock Cotto out
     
  20. BootyDaddy

    BootyDaddy Big Bad

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    I would bet that you would lose your money.
     

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