Elections Alabama Special Senate Election Live Results Thread

[44nutman]

Fox had Jones up 9 before the election

 

[Satanical Eve]

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones

NYT 90% Jones to win!

 

[waiguoren]

52% reporting!

Moore Rep. 278,188 51.7%
Jones Dem. 252,600 47.0
Write-Ins — 7,130 1.3

 

[Swing]

Wtf does the NYT know that no one else does?

I think they're just running constant calculations.

 

[Daverisimo]

Is there a district bump expected for Jones or something? Blue pockets not reporting in yet?

I wouldn't be surprised. Isn't AL gerrymandered to shit?

 

[HereticBD]

Wtf does the NYT know that no one else does?

Gotta be a lot of blue not reported in yet, with red blowing it's wad early.

Or Russia hacked them.

 

[waiguoren]

I skimmed the first page and didn't see your prediction @waiguoren. How's your system looking?

No prediction for me on this one, buddy. I'd rather give no prediction than flip a coin. How you been?

 

[Swing]

I think they're just running constant calculations.

And it's down to 76% for Jones. Seems haphazard.

 

[waiguoren]

54% reporting!

Moore Rep. 278,188 51.7%
Jones Dem. 252,600 47.0
Write-Ins — 7,130 1.3

 

[Cirris]

Gotta be a lot of blue not reported in yet, with red blowing it's wad early.

Or Russia hacked them.

This is Alabama. Not Pennsylvania.

 

[waiguoren]

56% reporting!

Moore Rep. 308,911 52.7%
Jones Dem. 269,232 45.9
Write-Ins — 8,209 1.4

 

[kpt018]

I think they're just running constant calculations.

Gotcha, thanks. I also just learned that their model assumes the GOP is having a big turnout problem. The big differences in polling seem to be driven by different turnout assumptions.

Well see if they’re accurate or not really soon!

 

[Fluffernutter]

I assume there would be more write-ins

 

[cincymma79]

This the same group that gave hilldo a 2672938363% chance of winning

 

[Limbo Pete]

https://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/alabama-senate-special-election-roy-moore-doug-jones

NYT 90% Jones to win!

What are they smoking lol
There's either some blue districs not in or an intern been hitting the pipe too hard

 

[waiguoren]

58% reporting!

Moore Rep. 323,314 52.7%
Jones Dem. 281,190 45.9
Write-Ins — 8,762 1.4

 

[waiguoren]

 

[waiguoren]

59% reporting!

Moore Rep. 334,077 53.0%
Jones Dem. 287,440 45.6
Write-Ins — 8,992 1.4

 

[Satanical Eve]

What are they smoking lol
There's either some blue districs not in or an intern been hitting the pipe too hard

Its now back to 67%. Its swinging up and down like crazy

 

[Culombo]

down to 67% chance for jones .. who knows