Elections Alabama Special Senate Election Live Results Thread

[Captain Davis]

If Moore doesn't win I will be shocked.

 

[Swing]

Is there a district bump expected for Jones or something? Blue pockets not reporting in yet?

My limited understanding of how this works goes back to when Fox, I think, called the election for Obama against Romney and one of their people at the desk kept insisting it was too early to tell.

I can't remember any of the names in this scenario, but a female anchor took it upon herself, sporting a grin, to walk down to the statisticians and ask them to explain why they had called the election despite so much of the vote not being in.

They explained that it was just a matter of cross referencing the remaining counties/states with past election results.

 

[waiguoren]

43% Reporting!

Moore Rep. 228,585 52.2%
Jones Dem. 203,064 46.4
Write-Ins — 5,911 1.4

 

[Culombo]

I'm contemplating whether to stay in and watch this or go to the gym and hit the weights .. I think I'm gonna go and just keep the phone on me lol

 

[waiguoren]

NYT: Jones 71% chance of victory!

 

[Limbo Pete]

If Moore doesn't win I will be shocked.

Me too

 

[waiguoren]

 

[waiguoren]

NYT: Jones 73% chance of victory!

 

[waiguoren]

Moore Rep. 254,321 51.0%
Jones Dem. 238,023 47.7
Write-Ins — 6,599 1.3

48% reporting!

 

[kpt018]

NYT: Jones 71% chance of victory!

Wow seems like an awful prediction. I saw 538 had Jones at 30% two days ago (didn’t follow up to see if it changed).

According to just about everyone I read that follows this stuff said this race was really difficult to predict.

 

[waiguoren]

NYT: Jones 86% chance of victory!

 

[Swing]

NYT: Jones 73% chance of victory!

Haha now it's 90%. Man, if it turns around at this point nobody is going to ever trust a statistical model from a news source for years.

 

[waiguoren]

50% reporting!

Moore Rep. 264,419 51.2%
Jones Dem. 245,679 47.5
Write-Ins — 6,814 1.3

 

[FIMN]

NYT at 86%

 

[SBJJ]

Man. The Times better not F this up again

 

[kpt018]

Wtf does the NYT know that no one else does?

 

[SBJJ]

50% reporting!

Moore Rep. 264,419 51.2%
Jones Dem. 245,679 47.5
Write-Ins — 6,814 1.3

Jones narrowed it a bit

 

[Swing]

Wow seems like an awful prediction. I saw 538 had Jones at 30% two days ago (didn’t follow up to see if it changed).

According to just about everyone I read that follows this stuff said this race was really difficult to predict.

Their prediction has been adjusting as the votes have come in. It was at 50/50 less than an hour ago.

 

[elfeliz]

roy moore is going to win its a given

 

[Law Talkin’ Guy]

NYT: Jones 86% chance of victory!