• Xenforo Cloud is upgrading us to version 2.3.8 on Monday February 16th, 2026 at 12:00 AM PST. Expect a temporary downtime during this process. More info here

Elections 2016 Super Saturday to March 14th Primary Thread

Who wins the most delegates in Super Saturday? (Pick one for each party)

  • Total voters
    13
  • Poll closed .
sodapopinski said:
If Bernie's plan is to lock us in a game that is playing out in western European countries, then I want no part in it.

You're right that it's not Soviet-style communism, but it's closer to that paradigm than what we have today. I'm hesitant to move more in that direction.
Click to expand...

Out of curiosity, have you been to a central / western European country lately?
 
Rubio won Puerto Rico
 
CEROVFC said:
Out of curiosity, have you been to a central / western European country lately?
Click to expand...
It's crazy, I went to Cologne on New Years Eve and hung out with a bunch of "southern" guys. We got sooooo lucky that night! Twas fun.
 
sodapopinski said:
It's crazy, I went to Cologne on New Years Eve and hung out with a bunch of "southern" guys. We got sooooo lucky that night! Twas fun.
Click to expand...

Yeah, the German crime rate is really out off control. Their murder rates and prison population is YUGE!
 
CEROVFC said:
Yeah, the German crime rate is really out off control. Their murder rates and prison population is YUGE!
Click to expand...
Nah, me and my buddies don't even have to worry about that. In fact, ze Germans only care about the people who leaked the incident, not our nocturnal proclivities. German girls are so easy! Not to mention sexy when they're mad.
 
sodapopinski said:
Nah, me and my buddies don't even have to worry about that. In fact, ze Germans only care about the people who leaked the incident, not our nocturnal proclivities. German girls are so easy! Not to mention sexy when they're mad.
Click to expand...
Not really sure what Merkel's naive/bizarre immigration policies in Germany have to do with how the economies in Western Europa are structured.
 
CEROVFC said:
Sure sounds like a serious problem.
Click to expand...
I know. Burying crime stats and punishing whistleblowers. Nothing to see here.
gspieler said:
Not really sure what Merkel's naive/bizarre immigration policies in Germany have to do with how the economies in Western Europa are structured.
Click to expand...
It was a nonsensical reply to a nonsensical question.
 
sodapopinski said:
I know. Burying crime stats and punishing whistleblowers. Nothing to see here.

It was a nonsensical reply to a nonsensical question.
Click to expand...

Yeah, for sure, crime of the century. I bet Germany would have the worse crime rate in the West if it weren't for burying crime stats. Probably have more people in jail per capital than any western country as well. They just bury stats. Better stay out of Deutscheland. Very very dangerous.
 
Once again, I think we can just continue the race through this thread, I'll likely make a new thread for March 15th when Florida and Ohio occur.

For now, Tuesday we will see

Hawaii Caucus (19 Delegates)
Idaho Primary (32 Delegates)
Michigan Primary (59 Delegates)
Mississippi Primary (40 Delegates)
Michigan Primary (130 Delegates)
Mississippi Primary (36 Delegates)
 
CEROVFC said:
Yeah, for sure, crime of the century. I bet Germany would have the worse crime rate in the West if it weren't for burying crime stats. Probably have more people in jail per capital than any western country as well. They just bury stats. Better stay out of Deutscheland. Very very dangerous.
Click to expand...
So, the genius plan was that there's some sort of magical sorcery in Germany that will prevent the growth of future crime, even though it didn't in the first half of last century? It's not all about the here and now, it's about the next few decades. And I wasn't even talking about crime, but the economic factors (low birth rates) that are driving your societies into committing sudoku.
dqkY0o1.png
 
Bernie won the Maine Caucus.
 
Regional dominance continues for bernie. Can't wait to see how Michigan plays out. Michigan will tell us so much about how the rust belt will play out, and if bernie is still in this.

Would give my left nut for a breakdown after Michigan of delegates won by votes, not superdelegates, and a statistical prediction that factors in regional trends.
 
Some quick math:

1237 needed to win, 2472 total, 880 allocated so far. By percentage:

Trump 384, 43.6%
Cruz 300, 34.1%
Rubio 151, 17.2%
Kasich 37, 4.2%

There are 1592 delegates left. If Trump performs as well as he has been he will get 43.6% of these. That would earn him 694 more delegates for a total of 1078.

In other words Trump must perform better overall than he has previously to pick up 1237, but all indicators show his campaign is slowing not gaining momentum. He needs to win 53.6% of the remaining delegates to make it to1237. I for one don't see this happening.
 
Not if trump wins florida, where he has a 20%+ lead.

Cruz is not going to continue to do this well, as we leave the south, and corn belt, and get away from the evangelical states.

Rubio needs to remain competitive, and he is diving right now. Perhaps Kasich picks up momentum, but there is no evidence of that to date. Without one of these two coming on as the election shifts to the coasts and rust belt, trump will run away as the contest moves on. Cruz won't play there.
 
HendoRuaGOAT said:
Not if trump wins florida, where he has a 20%+ lead.

Cruz is not going to continue to do this well, as we leave the south, and corn belt, and get away from the evangelical states.

Rubio needs to remain competitive, and he is diving right now. Perhaps Kasich picks up momentum, but there is no evidence of that to date. Without one of these two coming on as the election shifts to the coasts and rust belt, trump will run away as the contest moves on. Cruz won't play there.
Click to expand...

I disagree. Cruz, Rubio, and Kasich will play well up north. Donald won't win the 53.6% he needs. He peaked, and now with the all out attack he will never get back to full strength. Let alone increase his percentages.

After the 15th we will know a lot more, and be able to make more certain predictions. But as it stands my money is on a brokered convention. I say 65%. Not quite a certainty, but enough for this gambler.
 
NelmarksGhost said:
I disagree. Cruz, Rubio, and Kasich will play well up north. Donald won't win the 53.6% he needs. He peaked, and now with the all out attack he will never get back to full strength. Let alone increase his percentages.

After the 15th we will know a lot more, and be able to make more certain predictions. But as it stands my money is on a brokered convention. I say 65%. Not quite a certainty, but enough for this gambler.
Click to expand...

You could very possibly be right, but I do think trump has a wider path to the nomination than the establishment has to a brokered convention. If trump wins Florida and ohio, which are both winner take all, it is over. I guess we will see if trump has any real ground game. I'm sure he has the advertising side of things down. My question has always been about what kind of ground game he has.
 
HendoRuaGOAT said:
You could very possibly be right, but I do think trump has a wider path to the nomination than the establishment has to a brokered convention. If trump wins Florida and ohio, which are both winner take all, it is over. I guess we will see if trump has any real ground game. I'm sure he has the advertising side of things down. My question has always been about what kind of ground game he has.
Click to expand...

He's being outspent on television ad buys. It's not even close. His "air game" is basically doing interviews and rallies. No real targeted ads, or attack ads. He doesn't have the money. The data his team is working with is basically the same that we are going off of. Polls on television, and in the papers. His ground game is basically winging it. It's not really an organization at all that's why Cruz burned them in closed caucuses. Cruz has a very good ground game.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Latest posts

Forum statistics

Threads
1,281,612
Messages
58,379,342
Members
176,017
Latest member
KTFOPerformance

Share this page

Back
Top