Elections 2016 Super Saturday to March 14th Primary Thread

[Lead]

A few more states up for grabs in this one

Saturday
GOP Side
Kansas Caucus (40 Delegates)
Kentucky Caucus (46 Delegates)
Louisiana Primary (46 Delegates)
Maine Caucus (23 Delegates)

Democratic Side
Kansas Caucus (33 Delegates)
Louisiana Primary (51 Delegates)
Nebraska Caucus (25 Delegates)

Sunday
Puerto Rico Primary (23 Delegates)
Maine Caucus (25 Delegates)

Tuesday
Hawaii Caucus (19 Delegates)
Idaho Primary (32 Delegates)
Michigan Primary (59 Delegates)
Mississippi Primary (40 Delegates)
Michigan Primary (130 Delegates)
Mississippi Primary (36 Delegates)

Not as crazy as Super Tuesday but still around 5%-10% of the delegates.

Discuss

 

[Gandhi]

On the R side things could not be any more confusing. Kasich had his best night ever while Rubio over played himself.

Rubio seemed to be in the sweat spot of establishment but still conservative enough to still get the base moving (whatever that is these days). But he just seems so bush league.

Kasich is too moderate even if I want him to wn.

These upcoming states look like trump / Cruz states except main

 

[Sycho Sid]

Are there really enough delegates up for grabs to call this "super" saturday? Texas alone last week had more.

EDIT: To answer the questin, Dem side at least.

Hillary will win more delegates, though Bernie may win more states.

 

[Adamant]

Isn't Bernie just wasting his time at this point?

 

[Diamond Jim]

Isn't Bernie just wasting his time at this point?

Hipsters of the revolution will tell you different.

 

[JohnnySagebrush]

Trump hadn't played as well in caucuses as primaries, I could see Cruz picking up a couple and Rubio winning one.
Kentucky, Lousiana-Trump
Kansas-Cruz
Maine-Rubio

Just a guess, haven't seen any polling data.

 

[KOQ24]

Isn't Bernie just wasting his time at this point?

Hillary indictment is always lurking around the corner.
If i was Bernie id go until the convention as well in case the Dems need a replacement

 

[GearSolidMetal]

Trump hadn't played as well in caucuses as primaries, I could see Cruz picking up a couple and Rubio winning one.
Kentucky, Lousiana-Trump
Kansas-Cruz
Maine-Rubio

Just a guess, haven't seen any polling data.

It's also worth mentioning that Cruz has exceeded the poll numbers in states with closed caucuses. Meaning polling is exclusive to registered Republicans, and Independents aren't allowed.

I don't know about the other states, but the highest chance of Cruz beating Trump is in Kansas, and Trump has a 10 point lead according to real-clear-politics. That said, these polls for smaller states are commonly of very small pools, sometimes as low as 150, and just registered Republicans, and not those planning on attending.

There's ALOT of speculation the main reason why Cruz did so poorly in SC, is because it was an open primary, and Independents and Democrats could vote, and they voted in mass with Trump.

That said, Trump and Rubio's attacks on Cruz for being a liar stuck like glue, temporarily.

 

[NelmarksGhost]

There is a theory that Trump is likely to lose closed contests. All of the contest this Saturday are closed. If he loses 3 out of 4 that theory will become gospel.

 

[in the]

 

[Lead]

Kansas caucus in less than an hour

 

[wlu29]

Rooting for Bernie

 

[The Diplomat]

Looks like Cruz will probably win Kansas.

 

[GearSolidMetal]

Looks like Cruz will probably win Kansas.

I just checked before seeing your post. It's early with only 3% in, but these results are impressive.

Cruz - 53%
Trump - 27%

If that split stays, Cruz will potentially get the overwhelming majority of the delegates in Kansas.

And to think, the last polls had Trump up by 10 points.

 

[carlos cadona]

Cruz is far and away leading with 18% of the vote in.

 

[GearSolidMetal]

Cruz is far and away leading with 18% of the vote in.

It was just called for Cruz, the entire Kansas Caucus, by a local news station.

Only question is if he'll get over 50% of the vote.

He started with 52% with 1% in, went up to 54%, and now down to 49.8%.

Still a huge statement, but it'd be even bigger with over half the vote.

 

[Juventud]

No matter who wins the majority today (Trump/Cruz) you can bet Rubio will give a speech like he won every state.

 

[ShoelessRye]

Cruz winning big in Maine as well. Looks like the Trump boom might be over, but bad new for GOP it looks like it as replaced by the Cruz boom. Trump likely only wins Louisiana today now, with Cruz taking the others. Ky could be more a toss-up.

 

[GearSolidMetal]

No matter who wins the majority today (Trump/Cruz) you can bet Rubio will give a speech like he won every state.

Which will make his defeat in FL all the sweeter.

 

[carlos cadona]

Cruz winning big in Maine as well. Looks like the Trump boom might be over, but bad new for GOP it looks like it as replaced by the Cruz boom. Trump likely only wins Louisiana today now, with Cruz taking the others. Ky could be more a toss-up.

Jeez, big day for Ted.