Whoever hits the other guy first wins this fight.
Not at all.
Both Mir & Overeem have better chins than fans give them credit for. Mir took tons of shots from Carwin before finally going out, same in his fight against Junior. Junior also said he was surprised at how much it took for him to finally finish Mir off and that he has a better chin than he expected.
With Overeem, it seems he actually does well throughout the early goings of the fight when a shot connects on him. The only time Overeem reacts badly to being hit is when he's very tired.
Almost every time Alistair has been knocked out was when he was gassed. I'm sure you know that being very tired in a fight makes you far more susceptible to being finished by knock out, Alistair has taken some very heavy shots in his career and has actually come back to win.
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I bet that kick would have spelled the end of many other fighters. Overeem took it cleanly, went down and immediately popped back up and he actually went on to win the fight by TKO.
If Overeem was very tired when he took that kick, I bet that he would have been finished from a follow up barrage.
I'm not saying either Mir or Reem have great chins, but they're better than people think they are. The biggest issues for Mir is he does a poor job at defending himself after being cracked good and then he often takes more shots until he's put out, just like in the Carwin fight that I already mentioned, and he took some serious shots from JDS in the 1st round and wasn't finished.
With Overeem, his cardio fails him and it seems when he can't get a finish of his own, his heart sinks to the floor. When he's tired, he does a poor job at defending himself and takes many clean shots and eventually gets the lights shut off.
They both do have issues when a fighter pressures them, but they have taken some very serious shots and either shrugged them off well or recovered and came back to win.
If anybody's getting finished in this fight between Mir/Overeem from strikes, it's Mir. He just got finished by Barnett from a knee (early stoppage IMO), just imagine what Overeem is going to do to him.. ouch.
Will cheer for Mir though.