What is Brady's path to victory against Burns?

JoeRowe

JoeRowe

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-Will Brady take Burns down & outgrapple him? I very much doubt it as Burns is an elite grappler, even Khamzat couldn't do anything to him on the ground.

-Is Brady going beat up Burns on the feet, the same Burns that went toe-to-toe with Khamzat & JDM in kickboxing matches? The same Brady who got tooled on the feet by Belal & Chiesa?

-Is Brady going to have a better gas-tank than Burns? Maybe but I've seen no evidence that this would be the case.

I'm kind of surprised Brady is such a big favorite solely because he beat Kelvin, who is 3-6 I'm his last 9 & hasn't won a fight at WW in over 8 years. Did Burns look washed vs JDM? I thought he looked as good as ever but I've definitely been wrong before lol.

How do you guys see Brady winning this fight?
 
I do think he will try wrestling and using top control to wear Burns down. Will he interesting to see what his game plan is
 
I doubt he wants to go to the ground with Gilbert - but he does have more technical boxing than Gilbert does

The problem for Brady is he isn't very durable as shown by him folding to strikes from Belal, so one of those less technical haymakers from Gilbert might finish him. But in fairness to Brady, Belal is a very underrated boxer who also boxed up Leon
 
JoeRowe said:
-Will Brady take Burns down & outgrapple him? I very much doubt it as Burns is an elite grappler, even Khamzat couldn't do anything to him on the ground.

-Is Brady going beat up Burns on the feet, the same Burns that went toe-to-toe with Khamzat & JDM in kickboxing matches? The same Brady who got tooled on the feet by Belal & Chiesa?

-Is Brady going to have a better gas-tank than Burns? Maybe but I've seen no evidence that this would be the case.

I'm kind of surprised Brady is such a big favorite solely because he beat Kelvin, who is 3-6 I'm his last 9 & hasn't won a fight at WW in over 8 years. Did Burns look washed vs JDM? I thought he looked as good as ever but I've definitely been wrong before lol.

How do you guys see Brady winning this fight?
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All I know is I probably dislike watching Brady's style of fighting more than anyone in the UFC. I wish he would get cut, he's painful to watch.
 
Harlekin said:
Age

Burns is 38, just got finished and was seriously injured versus Bernard.
Brady is 16-1 at 31 in his prime.
That influences the odds.

I got Burns in this fight, Brady doesn't look like as if he will reach the top 3
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Burns is on the down turn, Brady outpressures him. Even if Brady isn't top 3 material, neither is Burns anymore IMO
 
I think brady can mix the takedowns in to break burn's rhthym, and I especially expect him to try to hit takedowns towards the end of the rounds and try to bank a minute of control time here and there like that. Burns is very good, but Brady is one of the few Elite bjj guys who will probably feel like he can get on top of burns and control a bit. On the feet, I don't see burns having a significant advantage to be honest. It's a competitive match up everywhere ,but I'll favor the younger guy here.
 
Burns is 38 years old. Even if Brady doesn't finish him, he'll still be faster and likely the better wrestler.
 
fortheo said:
I think brady can mix the takedowns in to break burn's rhthym, and I especially expect him to try to hit takedowns towards the end of the rounds and try to bank a minute of control time here and there like that. Burns is very good, but Brady is one of the few Elite bjj guys who will probably feel like he can get on top of burns and control a bit. On the feet, I don't see burns having a significant advantage to be honest. It's a competitive match up everywhere ,but I'll favor the younger guy here.
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I can see the takedowns & some rop control, but I absolutely disagree about it being even on the feet. I would advise you to do watch footage of Brady's striking lol. We're talking about a guy who outstruck nearly 2-1 over 15 minutes by Michael Chiesa 😂
 
JoeRowe said:
What makes you think he will be able to do that? I would argue Khamzat has been a much more dominant grappler than Brady and he could barely get Burns down, let alone keep him there.
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Khamzat landed 2/3 TDs, Burns went 0/5. He still got the better of the wrestling, he just didn't try to grapple that much.
 
nostradumbass said:
Khamzat landed 2/3 TDs, Burns went 0/5. He still got the better of the wrestling, he just didn't try to grapple that much.
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He did try, Burns just kicked him off or got back up with ease. I just watched that fight, suggest you do the same.
 
Harlekin said:
Age

Burns is 38, just got finished and was seriously injured versus Bernard.
Brady is 16-1 at 31 in his prime.
That influences the odds.

I got Burns in this fight, Brady doesn't look like as if he will reach the top 3
Click to expand...

This right here

He’s a 38 year old former LW on a two fight losing streak. I’m placing a bet on Burns anyways because the odds still seem out of whack to me
 
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