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War Room Lounge v148: all tip and no shaft

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Kafir-kun said:
I am not sure if I believe GSP. Tbh he looked good even in the first fight, I just think he got a little too careless towards the end of the round and started to relax waiting for the buzzer and gave Hughes the opportunity to get the finish.

He has said that the only fight he wasn't nervous for was the first Serra fight.
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They have the whole story for that down though. Mentioning how he wouldn’t make eye contact with Hughes, talking up how he was such a huge deal for him. I don’t really care if it did or didn’t. I agree with MMA, there’s always some type of excuse for a lose. I understand why fighters need that but fans and commentators feed into what they say too much. A loss is a loss and a win is a win. There’s some technicalities or ones that need some context (Hamil/Jones) but I’m not going to regularly carry the excuses those guys give. I think that’s why a lot of people hated Penn fans in the heavies. They would frequently write off every loss to the point where they acted he was undefeated. Even the second Pierre fight, I think there was grease gate. Just a complete refusal of admitting the guy was mortal.
 
Sara said:
Best bad tattoo ever.
I’ve loved him since Armageddon, he does not wrong.
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He is a terrible actor and that may be his worst movie.

Sara, Sara....


tenor.gif
 
Sara said:
He was never going to fight 3-4 times in a year, COVID or not
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Probably not but now he’s at least been given an out. I feel like the community was really starting to turn on him before that fight with Cowboy. People were really getting tired of constant tweets and him doing absolutely nothing aside from getting in trouble.
 
Lead said:
I had no idea he had that back tattoo. Wtf was he thinking there?
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He’s a Phoenix rising from the ashes bro.
Meanwhile, the sagratta familia will be completed before Frank Mir’s horrific back tattoo
 
Anung Un Rama said:
He’s a Phoenix rising from the ashes bro.
Meanwhile, the sagratta familia will be completed before Frank Mir’s horrific back tattoo
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At least Affleck has a quality girlfriend I guess. Even if she is like 15 years younger than him
 
Jack V Savage said:
Performance doesn't vary predictably by individual on the basis of apparent importance of the situation. So, like, if someone's wOBA overall is .350, any attempt to improve the accuracy of your expectation for him by including a "clutch factor" (e.g., this guy's a choker and it's a tie game in the ninth, so he should be downgraded to .340) will fail.

Of course, you can't disprove that any particular event is "clutch." Say a guy hits a HR every 20 ABs, and it's a key situation, and he hits one. Is that because a 1/20 chance came through or because he "stepped up in the clutch"? Can't tell. But you can say that if you give him 1,000 more ABs in the same situation over the course of his life, he's not going to hit 1,000 HRs, and about 50 is the best guess.
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But what about fucking up the routine ground ball in a clutch situation?
 
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